1 PM Games
Cincinnati Bengals (6-9, 1-6 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (1-14, 1-6 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati beat Cleveland, 19-14; Miami lost to New England, 28-7.
This has been a lost season for the Bengals. Coming off a turbulent 2006 campaign, Cincinnati was looking to rebound. Unfortunately, this season was a disaster for them. The running game was poor, and the defense wasn't much better. Marvin Lewis is one coach on the hot seat. For now, at least, they should be able to handle the Dolphins. Miami will go down as one of the 10 worst single season teams of all-time.
Who will win: Cincinnati (15)
Buffalo Bills (7-8, 3-4 on the road) at Philadelphia Eagles (7-8, 2-5 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to New York Giants, 38-21; Philadelphia beat New Orleans, 38-23.
Buffalo rebounded nicely from a nightmare start to their season. The future looks bright for the franchise, if you forget about the fact that the team's future in Buffalo is in jeopardy. The front office needs to decide who will be their starting quarterback moving forward - JP Losman or Trent Edwards. The Eagles could have the look of a different team in 2008. Franchise QB Donovan McNabb may be gone. Early rumors are that he could end up in either Minnesota or his hometown of Chicago. For the time being, he is involved in this meaningless game. I like Philadelphia because they're at home.
Who will win: Philadelphia (2)
Seattle Seahawks (10-5, 3-4 on the road) at Atlanta Falcons (3-12, 2-5 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat Baltimore, 27-6; Atlanta lost to Arizona, 30-27.
Seattle is the dark horse team in the NFC. Dallas and Green Bay have gotten more publicity, but few players on either roster have much playoff experience. Many of the Seahawks veterans have been there before, not to mention coach Mike Holmgren has a Super Bowl ring. Atlanta is playing for roster spots next season.
Who will win: Seattle (11)
New Orleans (7-8, 4-3 on the road) at Chicago Bears (6-9, 3-4 at home)
Last Week: New Orleans lost to Philadelphia, 38-23; Chicago beat Green Bay, 35-7.
Somehow, the Saints are still mathematically alive in the NFC playoff race. It will not be an easy road, however, as they must beat Chicago and hope the Redskins and Vikings lose. Otherwise, they will be watching the postseason from home. New Orleans has had an up and down season. They started out the season by losing 4 straight, winning 4 in a row, losing the next 2, winning 1, losing 1, then winning 2 more before losing last week. Chicago had a miserable Super Bowl hangover in 2007. If you're a Bears fan, there's not much reason to go to this one.
Who will win: New Orleans (3)
Carolina Panthers (6-9, 4-3 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-6, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Carolina lost to Dallas, 20-13; Tampa Bay lost to San Francisco, 21-19.
I'm just glad 2007 was the year where everyone finally stopped making excuses for the Carolina Panthers. When they sucked in the past, there were always excuses handy. By and large, they received a free pass for a pitiful 2006 season. The fact that they lost starting QB Jake Delhomme for the season should not have hindered them as badly as it has. He hasn't played at a high level since the 2nd half of Super Bowl XXXVIII. I'm just sad that this will be Vinny Testavede's last game. Anyway, Tampa Bay has nothing to play for, as they are already locked into a home wild card round game against the Giants. If the Bucs rest their starters, Carolina may be able to avoid a double digit loss total.
Who will win: Tampa Bay (4)
San Francisco 49ers (5-10, 2-5 on the road) at Cleveland Browns (9-6, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco beat Tampa Bay, 21-19; Cleveland lost to Cincinnati, 19-14.
OK, the 49ers have looked way too competent in recent weeks. Where is that old team I loved, the one that was once sitting at 2-8? They've already killed any chance at my beloved Patriots getting a top 4 pick. I just hope the Ravens, Raiders and Chiefs all win so this doesn't get even more out of hand. The Browns need to win, then they need help. If the Titans beat the Colts, the Browns miss out on the playoffs. If the Titans lose and the Browns win, it will be Tennessee who misses out. You can count on the Browns playing well at home, and they should reach 10 wins for the first time since they were brought back in 1999.
Who will win: Cleveland (12)
Detroit Lions (7-8, 2-5 on the road) at Green Bay Packers (12-3, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Detroit beat Kansas City, 25-20; Green Bay lost to Chicago, 35-7.
Through the first half of the 2007 season, the Lions looked like the league's Cinderella team. Safe to say the clock has struck midnight. Detroit still has a shot at a .500 record, and given the team's performance in recent years, that would be a huge step forward. Green Bay doesn't want to risk having any starters get injured, but they also don't want to go into the playoffs rusty.
Who will win: Green Bay (10)
Jacksonville Jaguars (11-4, 5-2 on the road) at Houston Texans (7-8, 5-2 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville beat Oakland, 49-11; Houston lost to Indianapolis, 38-15.
This looks to be the most dangerous Jaguars team since the 1999 one that hosted the AFC Title Game. They should be favored in their playoff game next weekend. Should they advance, you know that the Colts and Patriots would prefer not to deal with them. The Texans have given the Jaguars headaches over the years. Gary Kubiak's team has made strides this year. If not for some big injuries and the fact that they play in a very tough division, the Texans could have been in the playoff mix themselves. I'd look for Jacksonville to have a strong performance in the finale.
Who will win: Jacksonville (5)
4 PM Games
San Diego Chargers (10-5, 3-4 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (4-11, 2-5 on the road)
Last Week: San Diego beat Denver, 23-3; Oakland lost to Jacksonville, 49-11.
Yes, the Chargers have reeled off 5 straight wins. Still, aren't you just waiting for their inevitable first round playoff exit? They always underachieved under Marty Schottenheimer, and Norv Turner is half the head coach that he was. You figure it out. Before they dissapoint their fanbase though, the Chargers need to dispatch the Raiders. That shouldn't be a problem.
Who will win: San Diego (14)
Kansas City Chiefs (4-11, 2-5 on the road) at New York Jets (3-12, 2-5 at home)
Last Week: Kansas City lost to Detroit, 25-20; New York lost to Tennessee, 10-6.
Talk about an unwatchable game. Kansas City started off 4-3, but the Chiefs haven't won since Week 7, due in large part to one of the league's most anemic offenses. 2007 has been a miserable year for the Jets as well. Eric Mangini's team never got into any sort of groove. 2 of their 3 wins came at the Dolphins' expense. I think the Jets are just a little more talented, and they're playing at home, so ...
Who will win: New York (1)
St Louis Rams (3-12, 2-5 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (7-8, 5-2 at home)
Last Week: St Louis lost to Pittsburgh, 41-24; Arizona beat Atlanta, 30-27.
St Louis is clearly a better team then they showed in 2007. They still have talent on offense, and the defense can only get better. If you add a top 5 pick to this team, they could once again challenge the Rams for NFC West supremacy. The Cardinals have a shot at ending the season with a .500 record, which, by their standards, calls for a parade. I think the Cardinals have too much firepower for the Rams defense.
Who will win: Arizona (9)
Dallas Cowboys (13-2, 7-0 on the road) at Washington Redskins (8-7, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: Dallas beat Carolina, 20-13; Washington beat Minnesota, 32-21.
Dallas has everything locked up. The NFC's road to Super Bowl XLII must through Big D. Even though this game technically means nothing to them, the Cowboys probably won't simply lie down at home against their arch rivals, allowing them to secure the final playoff spot. Dallas will be without a few starters, but on the bright side, this game will mark the 2007 debut of receiver Terry Glenn. The Redskins should be able to pull away in the 2nd half once the Dallas reserves are in the game.
Who will win: Washington (8)
Minnesota Vikings (8-7, 3-4 on the road) at Denver Broncos (6-9, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota lost to Washington, 32-21; Denver lost to San Diego, 23-3.
Minnesota missed out on a golden opportunity last weekend. They were at home, on prime time, and playing a Washington team they are competing with for a playoff berth. But the Vikings lost, and now they don't control their own destiny. Minnesota needs to beat Denver, and then hope that Washington loses their game. The wheels have completely fallen off for the Broncos. Mike Shanahan's team will be watching the playoffs from home for the second straight season. Denver has nothing to play for, while Minnesota is fighting to stay alive.
Who will win: Minnesota (7)
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5, 3-4 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-11, 3-4 at home)
Last Week: Pittsburgh beat St Louis, 41-24; Baltimore lost to Seattle, 27-6.
The Steelers have clinched the AFC North, but are not nearly as imposing after they lost star running back Willie Parker for the remainder of the season. The Ravens are just in an awful tailspin. They started out 4-2, but nothing has gone right for Brian Billick's team since. They even gave lowly Miami their only victory of the season. Pittsburgh should steamroll over the Ravens.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (6)
Sunday Night Game
Tennessee Titans (9-6, 4-3 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (13-2, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Tennessee beat New York Jets, 10-6; Indianapolis beat Houston, 38-15.
The Titans are in a great position to secure the last playoff spot in the AFC. That may sound odd, seeing as how they are playing on road against the defending Super Bowl Champions. But this is Week 17, which means the Colts will look to rest many of their starters. If the Titans can stay within striking distance until halftime, they should be able to come away with a victory. If they do that, they are in the postseason, while the Cleveland Browns will have to watch from home. For the Colts, future Hall of Fame receiver Marvin Harrison will play for first time since Week 7. If the Colts are to challenge for another title, they will need his services.
Who will win: Tennessee (13)
Sunday, December 30, 2007
Saturday, December 29, 2007
Week 17 in the NFL (Saturday Night Game)
New England Patriots (15-0, 7-0 on the road) at New York Giants (10-5, 3-4 at home)
Last Week: New England beat Miami, 28-7; New York beat Buffalo, 38-21.
Technically, neither team has anything at stake entering this game. No matter what happens, the Patriots will have the number 1 seed and homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Giants are already locked into a wild card match-up against the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay next weekend. Still, history is clearly on the line. The NFL Network actually bent, and now the game will be simulcast on CBS and NBC. The Patriots are gunning for a perfect regular season mark of 16-0, but that is not their ultimate goal. 16-0 means nothing without another Super Bowl title. Other marks to watch out for:
*Tom Brady is 2 TD passes away from breaking Peyton Mannning's 2004 record of 49
*Randy Moss is 2 TD receptions away from breaking Jerry Rice's 1987 record of 22
*Wes Welker can break Troy Brown's 2001 club record of 101 receptions with 1 more catch
*If a New England player scores his first touchdown of the season, the Patriots will set a new record for most players to score a TD in one season. They are currently tied with the 2000 Denver Broncos and the 1987 Los Angeles Rams, who each saw 21 different players make trips to the endzone.
*The Patriots currently have scored 551 points. With 6 more points, the Patriots will surpass the 1998 Minnesota Vikings for the most ever in a single season.
Some have said the Giants owe it to the NFL to play like their season is on the line. I say that's garbage. Teams have had 15 other games to knock the Patriots off their pedestal. New York coach Tom Coughlin has on obligation to his team to best prepare them for the postseason. If that means resting his starters to prevent injuries - thereby reducing the odds of winning - then so be it. The Patriots offensive line is banged up, and may be vulnerable to the strong Giants' pass rush. If the Patriots build a double digit lead by halftime, however, the Giants will most likely pack it in.
Who will win: New England (16)
Last Week: New England beat Miami, 28-7; New York beat Buffalo, 38-21.
Technically, neither team has anything at stake entering this game. No matter what happens, the Patriots will have the number 1 seed and homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Giants are already locked into a wild card match-up against the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay next weekend. Still, history is clearly on the line. The NFL Network actually bent, and now the game will be simulcast on CBS and NBC. The Patriots are gunning for a perfect regular season mark of 16-0, but that is not their ultimate goal. 16-0 means nothing without another Super Bowl title. Other marks to watch out for:
*Tom Brady is 2 TD passes away from breaking Peyton Mannning's 2004 record of 49
*Randy Moss is 2 TD receptions away from breaking Jerry Rice's 1987 record of 22
*Wes Welker can break Troy Brown's 2001 club record of 101 receptions with 1 more catch
*If a New England player scores his first touchdown of the season, the Patriots will set a new record for most players to score a TD in one season. They are currently tied with the 2000 Denver Broncos and the 1987 Los Angeles Rams, who each saw 21 different players make trips to the endzone.
*The Patriots currently have scored 551 points. With 6 more points, the Patriots will surpass the 1998 Minnesota Vikings for the most ever in a single season.
Some have said the Giants owe it to the NFL to play like their season is on the line. I say that's garbage. Teams have had 15 other games to knock the Patriots off their pedestal. New York coach Tom Coughlin has on obligation to his team to best prepare them for the postseason. If that means resting his starters to prevent injuries - thereby reducing the odds of winning - then so be it. The Patriots offensive line is banged up, and may be vulnerable to the strong Giants' pass rush. If the Patriots build a double digit lead by halftime, however, the Giants will most likely pack it in.
Who will win: New England (16)
Sunday, December 23, 2007
Week 16 in the NFL
1 PM Games
Oakland Raiders (4-10, 2-5 on the road) at Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4, 5-2 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Indianapolis, 21-14; Jacksonville beat Pittsburgh, 29-22.
Oakland has already doubled their win total from last year, but that doesn't really say much, now does it? Jacksonville has the makings of a very dangerous playoff team. Quarterback David Garrard makes very few mistakes, Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew give them the best rushing offense in the AFC and the defense is strong against the run and pass. Plus, Jack Del Rio is one of the better coaches in the league. The only potential drawback? Jacksonville's roster is still largely unproven in the postseason. Of course, they can worry about that in a few weeks. For now, they just have to take care of the hapless Raiders.
Who will win: Jacksonville (13)
*Bruce & Brett say Jacksonville
Kansas City Chiefs (4-10, 2-4 on the road) at Detroit Lions (6-8, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: Kansas City lost to Tennessee, 26-17; Detroit lost to San Diego, 51-14.
Talk about a match-up of two teams headed south. Kansas City has lost 7 straight, while Detroit has dropped 6 consecutive games. 2007 was clearly going to be a rebuilding year for the Chiefs, but they got fans hopes up with a 4-3 start. Injuries have piled up, and their is no offensive firepower to speak of. Detroit was looking like the feel-good team of the season, until their flaws became glaringly obvious. One team has to win, so why not the home team?
Who will win: Detroit (2)
*Bruce says Detroit; Brett says Kansas City
Houston Texans (7-7, 2-5 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (12-2, 5-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston beat Denver, 31-13; Indianapolis beat Oakland, 21-14.
Houston is building momentum for 2008. The offense is playing well, and the defense is no longer atrocious. In fact, defensive end Mario Williams has made those who questioned taking him over Reggie Bush and Vince Young eat their words. One more win will give the Texans their best single season record in their 6-year history. Even though the Colts mail in late season games that don't mean anything, their 8th win probably come this week.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
*Bruce & Brett say Indianapolis
Philadelphia Eagles (6-8, 4-3 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (7-7, 3-4 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia beat Dallas, 10-6; New Orleans beat Arizona, 31-24.
Philadelphia played well last week, but their victory was more of a byproduct of Dallas' sloppiness. Players are playing for their jobs next season, and QB Donovan McNabb may be playing his last couple of games in an Eagles uniform. The Saints need this game desperately if they want to keep pace with the Giants and Vikings in the wild card race. New Orleans is playing well lately, and they do have the home field advantage.
Who will win: New Orleans (3)
*Bruce says Philadelphia; Brett says New Orleans
New York Giants (9-5, 6-1 on the road) at Buffalo Bills (7-7, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Washington, 22-10; Buffalo lost to Cleveland, 8-0.
New York is 3-3 so far in the second half of the season, continuing their trend of trailing off after the midway point. They are in the driver's seat for a wild card spot, but if they're not careful, they could lose their final two games. Buffalo is a tough place to play, and the Bills are playing well of late. A loss this week - with the Patriots looming in the season finale - could be disastrous for the G Men.
Who will win: Buffalo (1)
*Bruce & Brett say Buffalo
Green Bay Packers (12-2, 6-1 on the road) at Chicago Bears (5-9, 2-4 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay lost to St Louis, 33-14; Chicago lost to Minnesota, 20-13.
Green Bay may only end up with the number 2 seed, but they just might be the most dangerous team in the NFC. I don't want to use the 'D word', but Green Bay could be destined for the Super Bowl. Brett Favre is playing the best football of his career, the running game is respectable all of a sudden, the defense is stout, and the Packers are young and hungry. In the meantime, they would love to avenge their early season loss to Chicago. Their long time rivals are down, and the Packers would love nothing more than to kick them.
Who will win: Green Bay (8)
*Bruce & Brett say Green Bay
Cleveland Browns (9-5, 3-4 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-9, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Buffalo, 8-0; Cincinnati lost to San Francisco, 20-13.
The Browns are one of the hottest teams in football right now. Jamal Lewis is running like it's 2003, and the rest of the young offensive stars are only getting better. Their secondary - long believed to be the glaring weakness of the team - is playing their best football of the season. This is the Bengals' Super Bowl, and they would love to spring the upset on their interestate rivals. The Browns skill players should be too much for Cincinnati to handle.
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
*Bruce says Cincinnati; Brett says Cleveland
4 PM Games
Atlanta Falcons (3-11, 1-6 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (6-8, 4-2 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay, 37-3; Arizona lost to New Orleans, 31-24.
Atlanta is in shambles. Bill Parcells turned them down, their former franchise QB is behind bars, and their teams is genuinely woeful. The only way they have a chance is the players show they still have pride, and a GREAT deal of luck. Arizona isn't great, but they should not suffer a letdown at home.
Who will win: Arizona (12)
*Bruce says Arizona; Brett says Atlanta
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-5, 3-4 on the road) at San Fransisco 49ers (4-10, 2-5 at home)
Last Week: Tampa Bay beat Atlanta, 37-3; San Francisco beat Cincinnati, 20-13.
Tampa Bay is not overly impressive, but they play in a pathetic NFC South, so they are already have the division locked up. The Bucs still have something to play for, however, as they can still get the number 3 seed in the playoffs, which would match them up with the team with the worst record. The 49ers are dreadful on both sides of the ball, particularly on defense. The offense isn't much better, as the unit is averaging a meager 13.6 points per game. I would look for a big day from Tampa wide receiver Joey Galloway.
Who will win: Tampa Bay (15)
*Bruce says Tampa Bay; Brett says San Francisco
New York Jets (3-11, 1-6 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (8-6, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to New England, 20-10; Tennessee beat Kansas City, 26-17.
Don't be fooled by the Jets keeping last week's game close vs the Patriots. They weren't playing to win; they were playing not to get blown out. They are a hapless team, and have only managed one road victory - against the 1-win Dolphins. The Titans finally came back from their long slumber with a win last weekend. Vince Young will need to continue to improve as a passer. The Titans only have 9 passing touchdowns, tied for fewest in the NFL. Their running game and defense should be enough this week.
Who will win: Tennessee (10)
*Bruce & Brett say Tennessee
Miami Dolphins (1-13, 0-7 on the road) at New England Patriots (14-0, 7-0 at home)
Last Week: Miami beat Baltimore, 22-16; New England beat New York Jets, 20-10.
Miami shattered (at least for the time being) my dream of seeing an NFL team go winless for an entire season. Oh well. Miami is better than what they've shown, but they still blow. New England is on a mission, and has already thrashed the Dolphins once this season. They only thing that may slow down the Patriots offense is the bad weather.
Who will win: New England (16)
*Bruce & Brett say New England
Baltimore Ravens (4-10, 1-6 on the road) at Seattle Seahawks (9-5, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore lost to Miami, 22-16; Seattle lost to Carolina, 13-10.
Even though they had lost 7 straight games heading into last weekend, the eventual overtime loss to Miami was the official low point of the Ravens' season. Even when they were 4-2 to start the season, Baltimore could not be trusted. Now, it's been confirmed that they are awful. Plus, they are now down to their 3rd stringer - and 2006 Heisman Award winner - Troy Smith at quarterback. Seattle had been playing very well until last week's setback against the Panthers. They are in contention with the Bucs for the 3rd seed in the NFC playoffs. Seattle is very tough to beat at home, especially for a putrid team like the Ravens.
Who will win: Seattle (9)
*Bruce says Baltimore; Brett says Seattle
Sunday Night Game
Washington Redskins (7-7, 3-4 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (8-6, 5-2 at home)
Last Week: Washington beat New York Giants, 22-10; Minnesota beat Chicago, 20-13.
Washington is still mathematically alive, but their playoff hopes could be officially dead soon. A win here, would put them ahead of Minnesota in the wild card standings, however. That won't be an easy task, as Minnesota has the top-ranked rushing attack in all of football. The Vikings also have the league's stingiest run defense, but are susceptible to the passing attack, as they are giving up 266 yards per game, worst in football. At least they get to face 'Skins back-up QB Todd Collins. Minnesota is riding a 5 game winning streak, and I would expect them to make it 6 after this prime-time showdown.
Who will win: Minnesota (4)
*Bruce & Brett say Minnesota
Monday Night Game
Denver Broncos (6-8, 2-5 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (9-5, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Houston, 31-13; San Diego beat Detroit, 51-14.
Denver's disappointing season will soon be over. Perhaps no team has underachieved more in 2007 than the Broncos. Young QB Jay Cutler has shown signs of progress, but running back Travis Henry never really got hurt, and the defense was extremely soft. Of course, injuries played a role, but that is true of most teams. The Chargers have the AFC West locked up. After getting off to a 1-3 start, the Chargers' resurgence actually began with a 41-3 blowout in Denver. Still, the Chargers are over-due for a dud. Though the possibility is there, I wouldn't expect it this week. Perhaps two weeks from now in the AFC Wild Card Round ...
Who will win: San Diego (5)
*Bruce and Brett say San Diego
Merry Christmas everyone!
Oakland Raiders (4-10, 2-5 on the road) at Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4, 5-2 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Indianapolis, 21-14; Jacksonville beat Pittsburgh, 29-22.
Oakland has already doubled their win total from last year, but that doesn't really say much, now does it? Jacksonville has the makings of a very dangerous playoff team. Quarterback David Garrard makes very few mistakes, Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew give them the best rushing offense in the AFC and the defense is strong against the run and pass. Plus, Jack Del Rio is one of the better coaches in the league. The only potential drawback? Jacksonville's roster is still largely unproven in the postseason. Of course, they can worry about that in a few weeks. For now, they just have to take care of the hapless Raiders.
Who will win: Jacksonville (13)
*Bruce & Brett say Jacksonville
Kansas City Chiefs (4-10, 2-4 on the road) at Detroit Lions (6-8, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: Kansas City lost to Tennessee, 26-17; Detroit lost to San Diego, 51-14.
Talk about a match-up of two teams headed south. Kansas City has lost 7 straight, while Detroit has dropped 6 consecutive games. 2007 was clearly going to be a rebuilding year for the Chiefs, but they got fans hopes up with a 4-3 start. Injuries have piled up, and their is no offensive firepower to speak of. Detroit was looking like the feel-good team of the season, until their flaws became glaringly obvious. One team has to win, so why not the home team?
Who will win: Detroit (2)
*Bruce says Detroit; Brett says Kansas City
Houston Texans (7-7, 2-5 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (12-2, 5-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston beat Denver, 31-13; Indianapolis beat Oakland, 21-14.
Houston is building momentum for 2008. The offense is playing well, and the defense is no longer atrocious. In fact, defensive end Mario Williams has made those who questioned taking him over Reggie Bush and Vince Young eat their words. One more win will give the Texans their best single season record in their 6-year history. Even though the Colts mail in late season games that don't mean anything, their 8th win probably come this week.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
*Bruce & Brett say Indianapolis
Philadelphia Eagles (6-8, 4-3 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (7-7, 3-4 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia beat Dallas, 10-6; New Orleans beat Arizona, 31-24.
Philadelphia played well last week, but their victory was more of a byproduct of Dallas' sloppiness. Players are playing for their jobs next season, and QB Donovan McNabb may be playing his last couple of games in an Eagles uniform. The Saints need this game desperately if they want to keep pace with the Giants and Vikings in the wild card race. New Orleans is playing well lately, and they do have the home field advantage.
Who will win: New Orleans (3)
*Bruce says Philadelphia; Brett says New Orleans
New York Giants (9-5, 6-1 on the road) at Buffalo Bills (7-7, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Washington, 22-10; Buffalo lost to Cleveland, 8-0.
New York is 3-3 so far in the second half of the season, continuing their trend of trailing off after the midway point. They are in the driver's seat for a wild card spot, but if they're not careful, they could lose their final two games. Buffalo is a tough place to play, and the Bills are playing well of late. A loss this week - with the Patriots looming in the season finale - could be disastrous for the G Men.
Who will win: Buffalo (1)
*Bruce & Brett say Buffalo
Green Bay Packers (12-2, 6-1 on the road) at Chicago Bears (5-9, 2-4 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay lost to St Louis, 33-14; Chicago lost to Minnesota, 20-13.
Green Bay may only end up with the number 2 seed, but they just might be the most dangerous team in the NFC. I don't want to use the 'D word', but Green Bay could be destined for the Super Bowl. Brett Favre is playing the best football of his career, the running game is respectable all of a sudden, the defense is stout, and the Packers are young and hungry. In the meantime, they would love to avenge their early season loss to Chicago. Their long time rivals are down, and the Packers would love nothing more than to kick them.
Who will win: Green Bay (8)
*Bruce & Brett say Green Bay
Cleveland Browns (9-5, 3-4 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-9, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Buffalo, 8-0; Cincinnati lost to San Francisco, 20-13.
The Browns are one of the hottest teams in football right now. Jamal Lewis is running like it's 2003, and the rest of the young offensive stars are only getting better. Their secondary - long believed to be the glaring weakness of the team - is playing their best football of the season. This is the Bengals' Super Bowl, and they would love to spring the upset on their interestate rivals. The Browns skill players should be too much for Cincinnati to handle.
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
*Bruce says Cincinnati; Brett says Cleveland
4 PM Games
Atlanta Falcons (3-11, 1-6 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (6-8, 4-2 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay, 37-3; Arizona lost to New Orleans, 31-24.
Atlanta is in shambles. Bill Parcells turned them down, their former franchise QB is behind bars, and their teams is genuinely woeful. The only way they have a chance is the players show they still have pride, and a GREAT deal of luck. Arizona isn't great, but they should not suffer a letdown at home.
Who will win: Arizona (12)
*Bruce says Arizona; Brett says Atlanta
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-5, 3-4 on the road) at San Fransisco 49ers (4-10, 2-5 at home)
Last Week: Tampa Bay beat Atlanta, 37-3; San Francisco beat Cincinnati, 20-13.
Tampa Bay is not overly impressive, but they play in a pathetic NFC South, so they are already have the division locked up. The Bucs still have something to play for, however, as they can still get the number 3 seed in the playoffs, which would match them up with the team with the worst record. The 49ers are dreadful on both sides of the ball, particularly on defense. The offense isn't much better, as the unit is averaging a meager 13.6 points per game. I would look for a big day from Tampa wide receiver Joey Galloway.
Who will win: Tampa Bay (15)
*Bruce says Tampa Bay; Brett says San Francisco
New York Jets (3-11, 1-6 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (8-6, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to New England, 20-10; Tennessee beat Kansas City, 26-17.
Don't be fooled by the Jets keeping last week's game close vs the Patriots. They weren't playing to win; they were playing not to get blown out. They are a hapless team, and have only managed one road victory - against the 1-win Dolphins. The Titans finally came back from their long slumber with a win last weekend. Vince Young will need to continue to improve as a passer. The Titans only have 9 passing touchdowns, tied for fewest in the NFL. Their running game and defense should be enough this week.
Who will win: Tennessee (10)
*Bruce & Brett say Tennessee
Miami Dolphins (1-13, 0-7 on the road) at New England Patriots (14-0, 7-0 at home)
Last Week: Miami beat Baltimore, 22-16; New England beat New York Jets, 20-10.
Miami shattered (at least for the time being) my dream of seeing an NFL team go winless for an entire season. Oh well. Miami is better than what they've shown, but they still blow. New England is on a mission, and has already thrashed the Dolphins once this season. They only thing that may slow down the Patriots offense is the bad weather.
Who will win: New England (16)
*Bruce & Brett say New England
Baltimore Ravens (4-10, 1-6 on the road) at Seattle Seahawks (9-5, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore lost to Miami, 22-16; Seattle lost to Carolina, 13-10.
Even though they had lost 7 straight games heading into last weekend, the eventual overtime loss to Miami was the official low point of the Ravens' season. Even when they were 4-2 to start the season, Baltimore could not be trusted. Now, it's been confirmed that they are awful. Plus, they are now down to their 3rd stringer - and 2006 Heisman Award winner - Troy Smith at quarterback. Seattle had been playing very well until last week's setback against the Panthers. They are in contention with the Bucs for the 3rd seed in the NFC playoffs. Seattle is very tough to beat at home, especially for a putrid team like the Ravens.
Who will win: Seattle (9)
*Bruce says Baltimore; Brett says Seattle
Sunday Night Game
Washington Redskins (7-7, 3-4 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (8-6, 5-2 at home)
Last Week: Washington beat New York Giants, 22-10; Minnesota beat Chicago, 20-13.
Washington is still mathematically alive, but their playoff hopes could be officially dead soon. A win here, would put them ahead of Minnesota in the wild card standings, however. That won't be an easy task, as Minnesota has the top-ranked rushing attack in all of football. The Vikings also have the league's stingiest run defense, but are susceptible to the passing attack, as they are giving up 266 yards per game, worst in football. At least they get to face 'Skins back-up QB Todd Collins. Minnesota is riding a 5 game winning streak, and I would expect them to make it 6 after this prime-time showdown.
Who will win: Minnesota (4)
*Bruce & Brett say Minnesota
Monday Night Game
Denver Broncos (6-8, 2-5 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (9-5, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Houston, 31-13; San Diego beat Detroit, 51-14.
Denver's disappointing season will soon be over. Perhaps no team has underachieved more in 2007 than the Broncos. Young QB Jay Cutler has shown signs of progress, but running back Travis Henry never really got hurt, and the defense was extremely soft. Of course, injuries played a role, but that is true of most teams. The Chargers have the AFC West locked up. After getting off to a 1-3 start, the Chargers' resurgence actually began with a 41-3 blowout in Denver. Still, the Chargers are over-due for a dud. Though the possibility is there, I wouldn't expect it this week. Perhaps two weeks from now in the AFC Wild Card Round ...
Who will win: San Diego (5)
*Bruce and Brett say San Diego
Merry Christmas everyone!
Tuesday, December 11, 2007
Watching Greatness (Online Magazine article for class)
The links between the Patriots of today and a dynasty from the past continue to grow stronger.
If you've followed the Patriots since 2001, odds are that you've heard the following: "Tom Brady is this generation's Joe Montana." There have been other comparisons, too.
They're both defined as being cool under pressure. Montana won 4 Super Bowls with the San Francisco 49ers in the 80's, while getting named MVP in 3 of those. Brady won 3, getting 2 game MVP's. Both had success at an early age. Both have been accused by critics as being 'system quarterbacks'. Again, all that's been said.
However, as the 2007 Patriots continue to dispatch opponents with ease, the question has to be asked: Just what other similarities are there between the 49ers of then and the Patriots of this millennium?
The 49ers became kings of the NFL in the 1980's. But it sure didn't look like it would be that way early on. How rough was the outlook? In the 2005 best seller "The Blind Side: Evolution of a Game", Bill Walsh revealed to author Michael Lewis that he was set to retire after the 1981 seasons. Walsh was convinced the franchise could not be turned around. Thankfully, the team went on to win the Super Bowl that season, and the rest is history.
Belichick may be regarded as the best coach in the NFL now, but he too was on the hot seat in 2001. After starting 0-2 in Belichick's second season in Foxboro – after a 5-11 season - Patriots fans were getting anxious. Luckily, a young QB by the name of Tom Brady won his first NFL start, and hasn't stopped winning since.
Speaking of Brady, the Patriots finally managed to team him with a weapon that is on his level: wide receiver Randy Moss. As a result, the veteran signall caller is on pace to set new career highs in every major passing category. He's already played at a Hall of Fame level without great skill players around him; now we're seeing what he can do with great skill players around him. It kind of reminds me of another duo. Before the 1985 season kicked off, Joe Montana had already won 2 Super Bowls. In the draft, the 49ers selected a receiver from tiny Mississippi Valley State. Maybe you've heard of him? He went by the name of Jerry Rice. Rice would team with Montana to make the west coast offense a thing of beauty.
The old saying goes, “imitation is the sincerest form of flattery’”. It’s no different in the NFL, where teams copy others’ blueprints for success. The famous “Bill Walsh Coaching Tree” illustrates this point, as several of Walsh’s understudies have gone on to became prominent head coaches themselves. The list includes Super Bowl winning coaches Mike Holmgren, Brian Billick, Tony Dungy, George Seifert and Mike Shanahan. Belichick? His tree doesn’t branch out nearly as much, but other NFL franchises and Universities have certainly taken notice, and will continue to do so. Long-time Belichick disciples Romeo Crennel and Eric Mangini have head coaching jobs in the league. Nick Saban, Charlie Weis, Al Groh and Pat Hill have been successful at the college ranks.
A great team isn’t nearly as fun to watch unless they have an opponent who is a perennial challenger. In the 1980’s, the New York Giants were one of the few teams that could contain Bill Walsh’s high-octane offense. Their physicality and ‘tough-guy’ demeanor of coach Bill Parcells made them the prefect contrast to San Francisco’s creativity and the intellect of Walsh. The teams would meet 5 times in the NFL playoffs, with the winner usually going on to win the Super Bowl.
You would have to be living under a rock to not realize that the Patriots’ chief rival is the Indianapolis Colts. The disdain the two teams have for each other can be felt from the front office down to the equipment guys. The Colts think the Patriots are a bunch of bullying, dirty players that bend the rules to win games. Many Patriots players and fans feel like the Colts are an organization full of whinny, finesse offensive stars. Sound familiar?
Win or lose, the NFL hasn’t seen an organization like the New England Patriots since the 49ers were kings of the league two decades ago.
If you've followed the Patriots since 2001, odds are that you've heard the following: "Tom Brady is this generation's Joe Montana." There have been other comparisons, too.
They're both defined as being cool under pressure. Montana won 4 Super Bowls with the San Francisco 49ers in the 80's, while getting named MVP in 3 of those. Brady won 3, getting 2 game MVP's. Both had success at an early age. Both have been accused by critics as being 'system quarterbacks'. Again, all that's been said.
However, as the 2007 Patriots continue to dispatch opponents with ease, the question has to be asked: Just what other similarities are there between the 49ers of then and the Patriots of this millennium?
The 49ers became kings of the NFL in the 1980's. But it sure didn't look like it would be that way early on. How rough was the outlook? In the 2005 best seller "The Blind Side: Evolution of a Game", Bill Walsh revealed to author Michael Lewis that he was set to retire after the 1981 seasons. Walsh was convinced the franchise could not be turned around. Thankfully, the team went on to win the Super Bowl that season, and the rest is history.
Belichick may be regarded as the best coach in the NFL now, but he too was on the hot seat in 2001. After starting 0-2 in Belichick's second season in Foxboro – after a 5-11 season - Patriots fans were getting anxious. Luckily, a young QB by the name of Tom Brady won his first NFL start, and hasn't stopped winning since.
Speaking of Brady, the Patriots finally managed to team him with a weapon that is on his level: wide receiver Randy Moss. As a result, the veteran signall caller is on pace to set new career highs in every major passing category. He's already played at a Hall of Fame level without great skill players around him; now we're seeing what he can do with great skill players around him. It kind of reminds me of another duo. Before the 1985 season kicked off, Joe Montana had already won 2 Super Bowls. In the draft, the 49ers selected a receiver from tiny Mississippi Valley State. Maybe you've heard of him? He went by the name of Jerry Rice. Rice would team with Montana to make the west coast offense a thing of beauty.
The old saying goes, “imitation is the sincerest form of flattery’”. It’s no different in the NFL, where teams copy others’ blueprints for success. The famous “Bill Walsh Coaching Tree” illustrates this point, as several of Walsh’s understudies have gone on to became prominent head coaches themselves. The list includes Super Bowl winning coaches Mike Holmgren, Brian Billick, Tony Dungy, George Seifert and Mike Shanahan. Belichick? His tree doesn’t branch out nearly as much, but other NFL franchises and Universities have certainly taken notice, and will continue to do so. Long-time Belichick disciples Romeo Crennel and Eric Mangini have head coaching jobs in the league. Nick Saban, Charlie Weis, Al Groh and Pat Hill have been successful at the college ranks.
A great team isn’t nearly as fun to watch unless they have an opponent who is a perennial challenger. In the 1980’s, the New York Giants were one of the few teams that could contain Bill Walsh’s high-octane offense. Their physicality and ‘tough-guy’ demeanor of coach Bill Parcells made them the prefect contrast to San Francisco’s creativity and the intellect of Walsh. The teams would meet 5 times in the NFL playoffs, with the winner usually going on to win the Super Bowl.
You would have to be living under a rock to not realize that the Patriots’ chief rival is the Indianapolis Colts. The disdain the two teams have for each other can be felt from the front office down to the equipment guys. The Colts think the Patriots are a bunch of bullying, dirty players that bend the rules to win games. Many Patriots players and fans feel like the Colts are an organization full of whinny, finesse offensive stars. Sound familiar?
Win or lose, the NFL hasn’t seen an organization like the New England Patriots since the 49ers were kings of the league two decades ago.
Mobile Journalism article
Breaking away from the world of sports, this is an article for my class. I'm sure I'll remove it in the near future. I wrote about my buddy Pat and the positive experiences he has had with the Knights of Columbus.
The Knights of Columbus: A worthwhile experience
Ah, the life of a college student. If you’re reading this, then it’s very likely you know what I’m talking about. You concern yourself primarily with things such as classes, midterms, jobs, internships and Thursday nights – maybe not necessarily in that order. There are, of course, many other things available. For instance, some take up extra curricular activities, such as joining a fraternity or other club.
While the things mentioned above are all well and good, there is another organization that offers dedicated individuals the chance to make a difference – the Knights of Columbus. Surely, most of us have heard of the KOC, yet it remains a mystery. Pat Hegarty, a student at Fitchburg State College, believes firmly in the values the Knights instill in its members. Those principles are, as Hegarty explains, “charity, unity, fraternity and patriotism.”
The Knights of Columbus is the world's largest Roman Catholic fraternal service organization. Founded in the United States in 1882, it is named in honor of Christopher Columbus, and is dedicated to the four principles mentioned above (Wikipedia). Hegarty: “The Knights do a lot for the community. I was able to collect donations for special needs children.” In terms of unity, Hegarty says the bond between the Knights is very strong. “There is a great brotherhood among the knights. You feel like you’re a part of something special.”
For something that can be so personally rewarding, the Knights of Columbus does not require much of a sacrifice. “Time is really the only thing you have to give up”, says Hegarty. It’s not as though the KOC is a full-time job either: “Meetings take place about twice a month, and usually only last roughly 30 minutes.” But how does a person get their foot into a meeting? Hegarty explains: “To go to the meetings, you have to make your first degree. To do that, you simply have to go through the ceremony and come to understand the degrees.” The whole idea is to understand and commit to the concept of the organization. “Your sponsor will speak on your behalf at the ceremony, saying that you are a good candidate at the first degree”, points out Hegarty.
The Knights of Columbus seems to run in the Hegarty family. Terry Hegarty, Pat’s older brother, actually joined the organization before his brother. “I joined to become more involved in service projects”, says the elder Hegarty. Terry actually recommended the Knights to his younger brother. “I think the biggest reward is the fraternity, and getting to know a lot of different people.” Terry actually continued on with his involvement in the Knights of Columbus at Catholic University in Washington, DC. “In college, I packed up prayer books to ship to troops overseas, and was able to volunteer with Little Sisters of the Poor. Terry adds, “my only concern would be that I wish there were more service projects besides fundraising with which to work.”
If you want to learn more about the Knights of Columbus, you can visit their website: http://www.kofc.org/un/index.cfm
The Knights of Columbus: A worthwhile experience
Ah, the life of a college student. If you’re reading this, then it’s very likely you know what I’m talking about. You concern yourself primarily with things such as classes, midterms, jobs, internships and Thursday nights – maybe not necessarily in that order. There are, of course, many other things available. For instance, some take up extra curricular activities, such as joining a fraternity or other club.
While the things mentioned above are all well and good, there is another organization that offers dedicated individuals the chance to make a difference – the Knights of Columbus. Surely, most of us have heard of the KOC, yet it remains a mystery. Pat Hegarty, a student at Fitchburg State College, believes firmly in the values the Knights instill in its members. Those principles are, as Hegarty explains, “charity, unity, fraternity and patriotism.”
The Knights of Columbus is the world's largest Roman Catholic fraternal service organization. Founded in the United States in 1882, it is named in honor of Christopher Columbus, and is dedicated to the four principles mentioned above (Wikipedia). Hegarty: “The Knights do a lot for the community. I was able to collect donations for special needs children.” In terms of unity, Hegarty says the bond between the Knights is very strong. “There is a great brotherhood among the knights. You feel like you’re a part of something special.”
For something that can be so personally rewarding, the Knights of Columbus does not require much of a sacrifice. “Time is really the only thing you have to give up”, says Hegarty. It’s not as though the KOC is a full-time job either: “Meetings take place about twice a month, and usually only last roughly 30 minutes.” But how does a person get their foot into a meeting? Hegarty explains: “To go to the meetings, you have to make your first degree. To do that, you simply have to go through the ceremony and come to understand the degrees.” The whole idea is to understand and commit to the concept of the organization. “Your sponsor will speak on your behalf at the ceremony, saying that you are a good candidate at the first degree”, points out Hegarty.
The Knights of Columbus seems to run in the Hegarty family. Terry Hegarty, Pat’s older brother, actually joined the organization before his brother. “I joined to become more involved in service projects”, says the elder Hegarty. Terry actually recommended the Knights to his younger brother. “I think the biggest reward is the fraternity, and getting to know a lot of different people.” Terry actually continued on with his involvement in the Knights of Columbus at Catholic University in Washington, DC. “In college, I packed up prayer books to ship to troops overseas, and was able to volunteer with Little Sisters of the Poor. Terry adds, “my only concern would be that I wish there were more service projects besides fundraising with which to work.”
If you want to learn more about the Knights of Columbus, you can visit their website: http://www.kofc.org/un/index.cfm
Sunday, December 2, 2007
Week 13 in the NFL
1 PM Games
New York Jets (2-9, 0-5 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-11, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Dallas, 34-3; Miami lost to Pittsburgh, 3-0.
Since the Jets made a change at quarterback from Chad Pennington to Kellen Clemens, not much has really changed. The Jets offense is still anemic, averaging 16.5 points per contest. Clemens hasn't exactly been atrocious, but he has little help around him. Coach Eric Mangini's defense isn't stopping people either. What does all this mean? This could very possibly be the week Miami wins. The Dolphins defense showed signs of life last week, so if the offense can avoid back-breaking turnovers, they may be able to pull this one out.
Who will win: Miami (1)
Detroit Lions (6-5, 2-3 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Detroit lost to Green Bay, 37-26; Minnesota beat New York Giants, 41-17.
Did you hear that? That was the sound of countless bandwagon Lions fans hitting the ground. The Lions have looked very vulnerable the last 3 weeks. Their biggest weakness - the inability to protect QB Jon Kitna - has been obvious to everyone. The defense was playing at an acceptable level - until the Packers scorched them on Thanksgiving. The Vikings are playing well lately, and this game could see the return of running back Adrian Peterson. This loss should continue Detroit's downward spiral.
Who will win: Minnesota (5)
Seattle Seahawks (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat St Louis, 24-19; Philadelphia lost to New England, 31-28.
Seattle may have been lucky to escape St Louis with a victory, but a win is a win. With the Cardinals losing, the 'Hawks are now in the driver's seat in the quest for the NFC West crown, as they enjoy a 2-game lead. A win vs Philadelphia would all but seal the division title. Meanwhile, the Eagles nearly pulled off the upset of the millennium last Sunday night, but fell short. I wouldn't be drinking the AJ Feeley Kool-Aid. Sorry, but he's a career back-up quarterback for a reason.
Who will win: Seattle (4)
Houston Texans (5-6, 2-4 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (6-5, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Houston lost to Cleveland, 27-17; Tennessee lost to Cincinnati, 35-6.
If the Titans front office didn't think free agent to-be Albert Haynesworth wasn't the most valuable player of their defense, the last 3 weeks should persuade them. The Titans have lost all 3 games, and the mammoth defensive tackle has been sorely missed. Haynesworth returns this week, and could give the team a big boost. Tennessee still has a shot at a wild card spot, but a win this week is crucial. The Texans have had a respectable season, but I just think the Titans are due for a great all-around performance.
Who will win: Tennessee (12)
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-3, 4-1 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (9-2, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville beat Buffalo, 36-14; Indianapolis beat Atlanta, 31-13.
Everyone seems to think the Jaguars always have the Colts number. That's not really the case. Since coach Jack Del Rio took over in 2003, the Jags are only 3-6 against the Colts. They always seem to slow down Peyton Manning's offense - they just never stop him. Jacksonville used to be able to count on running the ball on the Colts, but Indianapolis has shored up their run defense. In the friendly confines of the RCA Dome, and with a well-rested team, Indianapolis could dominate like they haven't since early in the season.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
Buffalo Bills (5-6, 2-3 on the road) at Washington Redskins (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to Jacksonville, 36-14; Washington lost to Tampa Bay, 19-13.
Buffalo made the quarterback switch from JP Losman to Trent Edwards. To quote a comedian from the Blue Collar Comedy Tour: "that's like putting a new chandelier up in an old haunted house". *drum hit* thank you, thank you. All lame jokes aside, the Bills offense have no explosion. When your best receiver - Lee Evans - doesn't catch a pass until the final minute of a game, you know you have problems. The Redskins will be playing at the end of a long, emotional week, as the team dealt with the murder of safety Sean Taylor. One of two things can happen: the team can be wiped out, and have nothing in the tank, OR they could play their best game of the season. I'm betting on the latter.
Who will win: Washington (13)
San Diego Chargers (6-5, 1-4 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-7, 2-4 at home)
Last Week: San Diego beat Baltimore, 32-14; Kansas City lost to Oakland, 20-17.
San Diego is back to it's 2005 form: a team with loads of talent that can look great one week, and woeful the next. It seems like they are destined for another underachieving season. Then again, the Chiefs are a ripe target. Kansas City is down to their 3rd string running back, and their fabled home field advantage is a thing of the past. San Diego needs this game much more than the Chiefs do, and I expect the outcome to show that.
Who will win: San Diego (9)
San Francisco 49ers (3-8, 2-4 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-7, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco beat Arizona, 37-31; Carolina lost to New Orleans, 31-6.
San Francisco won for the first time since Week 2 last Sunday. The offense bay area fans were expecting finally showed up. Too bad they waited until Week 12. Don't be surprised to see the 49ers go into tank mode so they can try to get a higher pick in next April's draft. The Panthers are dreadful, just DREADFUL. Unfortunately, I'm going to keep picking them to win at home until they get off the snide. Here's hoping this is the week.
Who will win: Carolina (3)
Atlanta Falcons (3-8, 1-4 on the road) at St Louis Rams (2-9, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta lost to Indianapolis, 31-13; St Louis lost to Seattle, 24-19.
Atlanta got fans at the Georgia Dome very excited on Thanksgiving night, as they built a 10 point lead. Then, they remembered they were the Atlanta Falcons, and stumbled miserably. I can't think of anything interesting to say about this game. St Louis is too talented of a team to be 0-5 at home. They could be riding a 3-game winning streak, if not for a fumbled snap at the end of the 4th quarter last week. St Louis is the better team. 'Nuff said.
Who will win: St Louis (7)
4 PM Games
Cleveland Browns (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Houston, 27-17; Arizona lost to San Francisco, 37-31.
As long as they don't completely self-destruct, the Browns will make the playoffs. This game could still be a challenge, however, as Arizona has the weapons to expose the Browns' biggest weakness - their pass defense. Yes, the Browns are winning football games, but they have had a hard time against good passing offenses. The Cardinals certainly fall into that category, as QB Kurt Warner has been playing very well, and three wide receivers - Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Bryant Johnson - are all talented. Still, I can't see the Browns losing this 'trap game'.
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
Denver Broncos (5-6, 2-3 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (3-8, 1-4 on the road)
Last Week: Denver lost to Chicago, 37-34; Oakland beat Kansas City, 20-17.
Denver should be 6-5, but they decided it would be a good idea to kick to Bears' return ace Devin Hester. 2 touchdowns later, it's obvious that may have been the second worse decision of the 2007 NFL season, followed by Dallas coach Wade Phillips' decision to force Tom Brady to beat him. Thankfully, Denver had coach Mike Shanahan to point out everyone else's mistakes, because he clearly didn't make any. All that aside, Denver should bounce back this weekend vs the lowly Raiders. Look for QB Jay Cutler to shred a weak Oakland secondary.
Who will win: Denver (14)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Tampa Bay beat Washington, 19-13; New Orleans beat Carolina, 31-6.
Winning in the NFL isn't supposed to be particularly easy, but Tampa Bay makes it look excruciatingly difficult. It will get harder if QB Jeff Garcia - a game time decision - is unable to suit up. Tampa has big play receiver Joey Galloway, but can back up quarterback Bruce Gradkowski get him the ball deep down field? Doubtful. The Saints defense is notorious for giving up big plays, so that aspect can not be overlooked. New Orleans needs this game desperately if they want to stay in playoff contention. I'd look for coach Sean Payton to develop a great game plan, and the Saints will be able to do just enough to take this one. Plus, they're playing at home.
Who will win: New Orleans (2)
New York Giants (7-4, 4-1 on the road) at Chicago Bears (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Minnesota, 41-17; Chicago beat Denver, 37-34.
The Giants are officially in the midst of their annual second half collapse. The bad Eli Manning showed up last Sunday, and the G-Men were blown out. New York definitely has the talent to reverse previous trends, though they are dealing with injuries. The Bears have Devin Hester to thank for their remarkable comeback win last Sunday. The Bears are a shell of their 2006 selves, and they will not be able to harass Manning into mistakes like the Vikings.
Who will win: New York (10)
Sunday Night Game
Cincinnati Bengals (4-7, 1-4 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 6-0 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati beat Tennessee, 35-6; Pittsburgh beat Miami, 3-0.
The Bengals finally got the offensive output they had been waiting for last Sunday. The defense actually showed up too, which was nice. The Steelers' pressure will be overwhelming, however, and won't allow Bengals QB Carson Palmer to get into any sort of a rhythm. It's another prime time game at home for Pittsburgh - you have to like their chances.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (15)
Monday Night Game
New England Patriots (11-0, 6-0 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-7, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: New England beat Philadelphia, 31-28; Baltimore lost to San Diego, 32-14.
The Patriots survived their biggest scare of the 2007 season last Sunday. You can't beat everyone by three touchdowns, right? The Patriots CAN definitely beat Baltimore by three scores. Forget about Baltimore having a lot of 'proud veterans'. They haven't played well defensively vs a decent offense yet. Why would that start now? Even if they do play their best defense of the season, the Ravens are going to have to rely on QB Kyle Boller to direct them to a victory. Baltimore may keep it close for a few quarters, but the Patriots should ultimately cover the spread.
Who will win: New England (16)
New York Jets (2-9, 0-5 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-11, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Dallas, 34-3; Miami lost to Pittsburgh, 3-0.
Since the Jets made a change at quarterback from Chad Pennington to Kellen Clemens, not much has really changed. The Jets offense is still anemic, averaging 16.5 points per contest. Clemens hasn't exactly been atrocious, but he has little help around him. Coach Eric Mangini's defense isn't stopping people either. What does all this mean? This could very possibly be the week Miami wins. The Dolphins defense showed signs of life last week, so if the offense can avoid back-breaking turnovers, they may be able to pull this one out.
Who will win: Miami (1)
Detroit Lions (6-5, 2-3 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Detroit lost to Green Bay, 37-26; Minnesota beat New York Giants, 41-17.
Did you hear that? That was the sound of countless bandwagon Lions fans hitting the ground. The Lions have looked very vulnerable the last 3 weeks. Their biggest weakness - the inability to protect QB Jon Kitna - has been obvious to everyone. The defense was playing at an acceptable level - until the Packers scorched them on Thanksgiving. The Vikings are playing well lately, and this game could see the return of running back Adrian Peterson. This loss should continue Detroit's downward spiral.
Who will win: Minnesota (5)
Seattle Seahawks (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat St Louis, 24-19; Philadelphia lost to New England, 31-28.
Seattle may have been lucky to escape St Louis with a victory, but a win is a win. With the Cardinals losing, the 'Hawks are now in the driver's seat in the quest for the NFC West crown, as they enjoy a 2-game lead. A win vs Philadelphia would all but seal the division title. Meanwhile, the Eagles nearly pulled off the upset of the millennium last Sunday night, but fell short. I wouldn't be drinking the AJ Feeley Kool-Aid. Sorry, but he's a career back-up quarterback for a reason.
Who will win: Seattle (4)
Houston Texans (5-6, 2-4 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (6-5, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Houston lost to Cleveland, 27-17; Tennessee lost to Cincinnati, 35-6.
If the Titans front office didn't think free agent to-be Albert Haynesworth wasn't the most valuable player of their defense, the last 3 weeks should persuade them. The Titans have lost all 3 games, and the mammoth defensive tackle has been sorely missed. Haynesworth returns this week, and could give the team a big boost. Tennessee still has a shot at a wild card spot, but a win this week is crucial. The Texans have had a respectable season, but I just think the Titans are due for a great all-around performance.
Who will win: Tennessee (12)
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-3, 4-1 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (9-2, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville beat Buffalo, 36-14; Indianapolis beat Atlanta, 31-13.
Everyone seems to think the Jaguars always have the Colts number. That's not really the case. Since coach Jack Del Rio took over in 2003, the Jags are only 3-6 against the Colts. They always seem to slow down Peyton Manning's offense - they just never stop him. Jacksonville used to be able to count on running the ball on the Colts, but Indianapolis has shored up their run defense. In the friendly confines of the RCA Dome, and with a well-rested team, Indianapolis could dominate like they haven't since early in the season.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
Buffalo Bills (5-6, 2-3 on the road) at Washington Redskins (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to Jacksonville, 36-14; Washington lost to Tampa Bay, 19-13.
Buffalo made the quarterback switch from JP Losman to Trent Edwards. To quote a comedian from the Blue Collar Comedy Tour: "that's like putting a new chandelier up in an old haunted house". *drum hit* thank you, thank you. All lame jokes aside, the Bills offense have no explosion. When your best receiver - Lee Evans - doesn't catch a pass until the final minute of a game, you know you have problems. The Redskins will be playing at the end of a long, emotional week, as the team dealt with the murder of safety Sean Taylor. One of two things can happen: the team can be wiped out, and have nothing in the tank, OR they could play their best game of the season. I'm betting on the latter.
Who will win: Washington (13)
San Diego Chargers (6-5, 1-4 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-7, 2-4 at home)
Last Week: San Diego beat Baltimore, 32-14; Kansas City lost to Oakland, 20-17.
San Diego is back to it's 2005 form: a team with loads of talent that can look great one week, and woeful the next. It seems like they are destined for another underachieving season. Then again, the Chiefs are a ripe target. Kansas City is down to their 3rd string running back, and their fabled home field advantage is a thing of the past. San Diego needs this game much more than the Chiefs do, and I expect the outcome to show that.
Who will win: San Diego (9)
San Francisco 49ers (3-8, 2-4 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-7, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco beat Arizona, 37-31; Carolina lost to New Orleans, 31-6.
San Francisco won for the first time since Week 2 last Sunday. The offense bay area fans were expecting finally showed up. Too bad they waited until Week 12. Don't be surprised to see the 49ers go into tank mode so they can try to get a higher pick in next April's draft. The Panthers are dreadful, just DREADFUL. Unfortunately, I'm going to keep picking them to win at home until they get off the snide. Here's hoping this is the week.
Who will win: Carolina (3)
Atlanta Falcons (3-8, 1-4 on the road) at St Louis Rams (2-9, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta lost to Indianapolis, 31-13; St Louis lost to Seattle, 24-19.
Atlanta got fans at the Georgia Dome very excited on Thanksgiving night, as they built a 10 point lead. Then, they remembered they were the Atlanta Falcons, and stumbled miserably. I can't think of anything interesting to say about this game. St Louis is too talented of a team to be 0-5 at home. They could be riding a 3-game winning streak, if not for a fumbled snap at the end of the 4th quarter last week. St Louis is the better team. 'Nuff said.
Who will win: St Louis (7)
4 PM Games
Cleveland Browns (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Houston, 27-17; Arizona lost to San Francisco, 37-31.
As long as they don't completely self-destruct, the Browns will make the playoffs. This game could still be a challenge, however, as Arizona has the weapons to expose the Browns' biggest weakness - their pass defense. Yes, the Browns are winning football games, but they have had a hard time against good passing offenses. The Cardinals certainly fall into that category, as QB Kurt Warner has been playing very well, and three wide receivers - Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Bryant Johnson - are all talented. Still, I can't see the Browns losing this 'trap game'.
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
Denver Broncos (5-6, 2-3 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (3-8, 1-4 on the road)
Last Week: Denver lost to Chicago, 37-34; Oakland beat Kansas City, 20-17.
Denver should be 6-5, but they decided it would be a good idea to kick to Bears' return ace Devin Hester. 2 touchdowns later, it's obvious that may have been the second worse decision of the 2007 NFL season, followed by Dallas coach Wade Phillips' decision to force Tom Brady to beat him. Thankfully, Denver had coach Mike Shanahan to point out everyone else's mistakes, because he clearly didn't make any. All that aside, Denver should bounce back this weekend vs the lowly Raiders. Look for QB Jay Cutler to shred a weak Oakland secondary.
Who will win: Denver (14)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Tampa Bay beat Washington, 19-13; New Orleans beat Carolina, 31-6.
Winning in the NFL isn't supposed to be particularly easy, but Tampa Bay makes it look excruciatingly difficult. It will get harder if QB Jeff Garcia - a game time decision - is unable to suit up. Tampa has big play receiver Joey Galloway, but can back up quarterback Bruce Gradkowski get him the ball deep down field? Doubtful. The Saints defense is notorious for giving up big plays, so that aspect can not be overlooked. New Orleans needs this game desperately if they want to stay in playoff contention. I'd look for coach Sean Payton to develop a great game plan, and the Saints will be able to do just enough to take this one. Plus, they're playing at home.
Who will win: New Orleans (2)
New York Giants (7-4, 4-1 on the road) at Chicago Bears (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Minnesota, 41-17; Chicago beat Denver, 37-34.
The Giants are officially in the midst of their annual second half collapse. The bad Eli Manning showed up last Sunday, and the G-Men were blown out. New York definitely has the talent to reverse previous trends, though they are dealing with injuries. The Bears have Devin Hester to thank for their remarkable comeback win last Sunday. The Bears are a shell of their 2006 selves, and they will not be able to harass Manning into mistakes like the Vikings.
Who will win: New York (10)
Sunday Night Game
Cincinnati Bengals (4-7, 1-4 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 6-0 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati beat Tennessee, 35-6; Pittsburgh beat Miami, 3-0.
The Bengals finally got the offensive output they had been waiting for last Sunday. The defense actually showed up too, which was nice. The Steelers' pressure will be overwhelming, however, and won't allow Bengals QB Carson Palmer to get into any sort of a rhythm. It's another prime time game at home for Pittsburgh - you have to like their chances.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (15)
Monday Night Game
New England Patriots (11-0, 6-0 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-7, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: New England beat Philadelphia, 31-28; Baltimore lost to San Diego, 32-14.
The Patriots survived their biggest scare of the 2007 season last Sunday. You can't beat everyone by three touchdowns, right? The Patriots CAN definitely beat Baltimore by three scores. Forget about Baltimore having a lot of 'proud veterans'. They haven't played well defensively vs a decent offense yet. Why would that start now? Even if they do play their best defense of the season, the Ravens are going to have to rely on QB Kyle Boller to direct them to a victory. Baltimore may keep it close for a few quarters, but the Patriots should ultimately cover the spread.
Who will win: New England (16)
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Week 12 in the NFL (Part 2)
1 PM Games
Buffalo Bills (5-5, 2-2 on the road) at Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to New England, 56-10; Jacksonville beat San Diego, 24-17.
Buffalo just didn't get taken to the woodshed last Sunday night. They got taken there, beaten with a 2 x 4, kicked, defecated on, and left for dead. Other than that, they held their own. The Jaguars aren't in the Patriots class, but they are still a playoff-caliber team. The Bills will again be without rookie running back Marshawn Lynch. Do you trust Buffalo quarterback JP Losman on the road? Me either.
Who will win: Jacksonville (12)
Houston Texans (5-5, 2-3 on the road) at Cleveland Browns (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston beat New Orleans, 23-10; Cleveland beat Baltimore, 33-30.
Houston is still at least a year away from competing for a playoff spot, especially in the very competitive AFC South. They have a young and improving defense. The 2007 Texans are definitely not the laughingstock of the league, especially with star receiver Andre Johnson healthy again. The Browns have quite a collection of talent themselves, and are coming off a huge win in Baltimore. Without Houston running back Ahmad Green playing, Cleveland will be able to focus on stopping QB Matt Schaub and the passing game.
Who will win: Cleveland (7)
Oakland Raiders (2-8, 1-4 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Minnesota, 29-22; Kansas City lost to Indianapolis, 13-10.
The Patriots fan in me wants Oakland to win a few more games, which will help get the San Francisco 49ers a higher draft pick. Instead of the 49ers getting that pick, it will go to the Patriots to complete a trade made in last April's NFL Draft. Anyway, this won't be a week where Oakland takes on another win. Mainly because they suck, and KC is also due for a home win.
Who will win: Kansas City (10)
Seattle Seahawks (6-4, 1-3 on the road) at St Louis Rams (2-8, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat Chicago, 30-23; St Louis beat San Francisco, 13-9.
After the last two weeks, Seattle looks like they have re-established themselves as the clear cut favorite in the NFC West. The Seahawks are not an elite team by any measure, but the rest of the division is weak. The Rams have saved face with back-to-back wins. At least they won't go winless. I just can't see St Louis winning 3 games in a row, and Seattle is clicking right now.
Who will win: Seattle (11)
Minnesota Vikings (4-6, 1-4 on the road) at New York Giants (7-3, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota beat Oakland, 29-22; New York beat Detroit, 16-10.
Minnesota's rookie sensation - running back Adrian Peterson - may return to action this week. He's by far the Vikings' best offensive player. Even if he does play, his team will have their hands full. The Giants have one of the better run defenses in football, and they also know how to get after the opposing quarterback: they lead the NFL with 34 sacks. If the Giants can stop the run early and often, that will mean Tavaris Jackson - the proud owner of a dreadful 55.5 Quarterback rating - will have to carry Minnesota. New York also has the home field advantage.
Who will win: New York (9)
Washington Redskins (5-5, 2-3 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Washington lost to Dallas, 28-23; Tampa Bay beat Atlanta, 31-7.
The 'Skins have lost in consecutive weeks, both to division opponents. On the plus side, QB Jason Campbell has looked very good. Unfortunately, their defense has looked very vulnerable, especially against the pass. Those three sentences comprise the "reverse compliment sandwich". Anyway, I think Washington should be able to squeak this game out. If they can stop Tampa wide receiver Joey Galloway from making big plays, they should be just fine.
Who will win: Washington (1)
New Orleans Saints (4-6, 2-3 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-6, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: New Orleans lost to Houston, 23-10; Carolina lost to Green Bay, 31-17.
This a match up of two teams that have had roller coaster seasons. New Orleans lost their first 4 games, won their next 4, and now have lost the last two weeks. Carolina has yet to win a home game. I just think the Panthers have the better defense, and they're playing in Carolina, where they are way over-due for a win.
Who will win: Carolina (2)
Tennessee Titans (6-4, 3-2 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-7, 2-3 at home)
Last week: Tennessee lost to Denver, 34-20; Cincinnati lost to Arizona, 35-27.
Tennessee got shredded last week by the Broncos, both by Denver's passing and rushing attack. They face a more talented offense this week with the Bengals. Unfortunately for Cincinnati, they have not been able to protect QB Carson Palmer long enough for him to hit his play-making-wide receivers Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. With the potential return of Titans monster defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth, plus the stellar play of Kyle Vanden Bosch, this may not be the week Cincinnati has an explosion.
Who will win: Tennessee (5)
4 PM Games
San Francisco 49ers (2-8, 1-4 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (5-5, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco lost to St Louis, 13-9; Arizona beat Cincinnati, 35-27.
San Francisco has lost 8 straight games. What could possibly make someone think this is the week they snap that streak? I don't know either. The Cardinals are playing pretty well, and the division title is still within their grasp. If they want to capture the NFC West, they need to keep pace with Seattle by trouncing an awful opponent.
Who will win: Arizona (8)
Baltimore Ravens (4-6, 1-4 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (5-5, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore lost to Cleveland, 33-30; San Diego lost to Jacksonville, 24-17.
Baltimore just seems to be a ticking time bomb right now. Coach Brian Billick doesn't have the answers; the defense is a shell of its former self; and the team is one loss away from assuring themselves they won't make the playoffs. Plus, Baltimore has been putrid on the road. San Diego is at a crossroads. The Chiefs and Raiders have fallen off the map, so it's between San Diego and Denver for the AFC West title. This is a game the Chargers need to win more than the Ravens.
Who will win: San Diego (3)
Denver Broncos (5-5, 2-2 on the road) at Chicago Bears (4-6, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Denver beat Tennessee, 34-20; Chicago lost to Seattle, 30-23.
Broncos coach Mike Shanahan put together a great game plan last Monday night vs the Titans. It reiterated the fact that Denver is unbeatable if they build a double digit lead. A good running game will help take the load off of QB Jay Cutler, who looked masterful last week. The Bears have struggled stopping the run, as evidenced by them giving up 125 rushing yards per contest. Denver is in a battle for the division title, while the Bears are definitely the latest victim of a Super Bowl hangover.
Who will win: Denver (4)
Sunday Night Game
Philadelphia Eagles (5-5, 3-2 on the road) at New England Patriots (10-0, 4-0 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia beat Miami, 17-7; New England beat Buffalo, 56-10.
Philadelphia is playing their best football of the season, and they still aren't all that impressive. To make matters worse, QB Donovan McNabb will sit this one out, meaning A.J. Feeley will start in his place. I don't think running back Brian Westbrook will be able to carry his team to a miraculous victory. The Patriots have outscored opponents by a total of 254 points through their first 10 games, meaning the average margin of victory is 25.4. Maybe that 22-point spread isn't so ridiculous after all.
Who will win: New England (16)
Monday Night Game
Miami Dolphins (0-10, 0-5 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3, 5-0 at home)
Last Week: Miami lost to Philadelphia, 17-7; Pittsburgh lost to New York Jets, 19-16.
The tragic number is 6 for Miami. They have 6 more games until they become the 2nd team ever to go winless, joining the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. At least the Bucs were only 0-14 that season, and they were an expansion team, so they had that excuse going for them. What's Miami's going to be if they can't get a win? Time will tell if they can avoid that embarrassment. For the time being, 0-11 is a near certainty, as Pittsburgh is one of the top 5 teams in football. Plus, they lost to a woeful Jets team last week, and they won't make it consecutive losses to two lousy teams. The Steelers have home field advantage for a prime time game. That factor can't be overlooked either.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (15)
Buffalo Bills (5-5, 2-2 on the road) at Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to New England, 56-10; Jacksonville beat San Diego, 24-17.
Buffalo just didn't get taken to the woodshed last Sunday night. They got taken there, beaten with a 2 x 4, kicked, defecated on, and left for dead. Other than that, they held their own. The Jaguars aren't in the Patriots class, but they are still a playoff-caliber team. The Bills will again be without rookie running back Marshawn Lynch. Do you trust Buffalo quarterback JP Losman on the road? Me either.
Who will win: Jacksonville (12)
Houston Texans (5-5, 2-3 on the road) at Cleveland Browns (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston beat New Orleans, 23-10; Cleveland beat Baltimore, 33-30.
Houston is still at least a year away from competing for a playoff spot, especially in the very competitive AFC South. They have a young and improving defense. The 2007 Texans are definitely not the laughingstock of the league, especially with star receiver Andre Johnson healthy again. The Browns have quite a collection of talent themselves, and are coming off a huge win in Baltimore. Without Houston running back Ahmad Green playing, Cleveland will be able to focus on stopping QB Matt Schaub and the passing game.
Who will win: Cleveland (7)
Oakland Raiders (2-8, 1-4 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Minnesota, 29-22; Kansas City lost to Indianapolis, 13-10.
The Patriots fan in me wants Oakland to win a few more games, which will help get the San Francisco 49ers a higher draft pick. Instead of the 49ers getting that pick, it will go to the Patriots to complete a trade made in last April's NFL Draft. Anyway, this won't be a week where Oakland takes on another win. Mainly because they suck, and KC is also due for a home win.
Who will win: Kansas City (10)
Seattle Seahawks (6-4, 1-3 on the road) at St Louis Rams (2-8, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat Chicago, 30-23; St Louis beat San Francisco, 13-9.
After the last two weeks, Seattle looks like they have re-established themselves as the clear cut favorite in the NFC West. The Seahawks are not an elite team by any measure, but the rest of the division is weak. The Rams have saved face with back-to-back wins. At least they won't go winless. I just can't see St Louis winning 3 games in a row, and Seattle is clicking right now.
Who will win: Seattle (11)
Minnesota Vikings (4-6, 1-4 on the road) at New York Giants (7-3, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota beat Oakland, 29-22; New York beat Detroit, 16-10.
Minnesota's rookie sensation - running back Adrian Peterson - may return to action this week. He's by far the Vikings' best offensive player. Even if he does play, his team will have their hands full. The Giants have one of the better run defenses in football, and they also know how to get after the opposing quarterback: they lead the NFL with 34 sacks. If the Giants can stop the run early and often, that will mean Tavaris Jackson - the proud owner of a dreadful 55.5 Quarterback rating - will have to carry Minnesota. New York also has the home field advantage.
Who will win: New York (9)
Washington Redskins (5-5, 2-3 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Washington lost to Dallas, 28-23; Tampa Bay beat Atlanta, 31-7.
The 'Skins have lost in consecutive weeks, both to division opponents. On the plus side, QB Jason Campbell has looked very good. Unfortunately, their defense has looked very vulnerable, especially against the pass. Those three sentences comprise the "reverse compliment sandwich". Anyway, I think Washington should be able to squeak this game out. If they can stop Tampa wide receiver Joey Galloway from making big plays, they should be just fine.
Who will win: Washington (1)
New Orleans Saints (4-6, 2-3 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-6, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: New Orleans lost to Houston, 23-10; Carolina lost to Green Bay, 31-17.
This a match up of two teams that have had roller coaster seasons. New Orleans lost their first 4 games, won their next 4, and now have lost the last two weeks. Carolina has yet to win a home game. I just think the Panthers have the better defense, and they're playing in Carolina, where they are way over-due for a win.
Who will win: Carolina (2)
Tennessee Titans (6-4, 3-2 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-7, 2-3 at home)
Last week: Tennessee lost to Denver, 34-20; Cincinnati lost to Arizona, 35-27.
Tennessee got shredded last week by the Broncos, both by Denver's passing and rushing attack. They face a more talented offense this week with the Bengals. Unfortunately for Cincinnati, they have not been able to protect QB Carson Palmer long enough for him to hit his play-making-wide receivers Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. With the potential return of Titans monster defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth, plus the stellar play of Kyle Vanden Bosch, this may not be the week Cincinnati has an explosion.
Who will win: Tennessee (5)
4 PM Games
San Francisco 49ers (2-8, 1-4 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (5-5, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco lost to St Louis, 13-9; Arizona beat Cincinnati, 35-27.
San Francisco has lost 8 straight games. What could possibly make someone think this is the week they snap that streak? I don't know either. The Cardinals are playing pretty well, and the division title is still within their grasp. If they want to capture the NFC West, they need to keep pace with Seattle by trouncing an awful opponent.
Who will win: Arizona (8)
Baltimore Ravens (4-6, 1-4 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (5-5, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore lost to Cleveland, 33-30; San Diego lost to Jacksonville, 24-17.
Baltimore just seems to be a ticking time bomb right now. Coach Brian Billick doesn't have the answers; the defense is a shell of its former self; and the team is one loss away from assuring themselves they won't make the playoffs. Plus, Baltimore has been putrid on the road. San Diego is at a crossroads. The Chiefs and Raiders have fallen off the map, so it's between San Diego and Denver for the AFC West title. This is a game the Chargers need to win more than the Ravens.
Who will win: San Diego (3)
Denver Broncos (5-5, 2-2 on the road) at Chicago Bears (4-6, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Denver beat Tennessee, 34-20; Chicago lost to Seattle, 30-23.
Broncos coach Mike Shanahan put together a great game plan last Monday night vs the Titans. It reiterated the fact that Denver is unbeatable if they build a double digit lead. A good running game will help take the load off of QB Jay Cutler, who looked masterful last week. The Bears have struggled stopping the run, as evidenced by them giving up 125 rushing yards per contest. Denver is in a battle for the division title, while the Bears are definitely the latest victim of a Super Bowl hangover.
Who will win: Denver (4)
Sunday Night Game
Philadelphia Eagles (5-5, 3-2 on the road) at New England Patriots (10-0, 4-0 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia beat Miami, 17-7; New England beat Buffalo, 56-10.
Philadelphia is playing their best football of the season, and they still aren't all that impressive. To make matters worse, QB Donovan McNabb will sit this one out, meaning A.J. Feeley will start in his place. I don't think running back Brian Westbrook will be able to carry his team to a miraculous victory. The Patriots have outscored opponents by a total of 254 points through their first 10 games, meaning the average margin of victory is 25.4. Maybe that 22-point spread isn't so ridiculous after all.
Who will win: New England (16)
Monday Night Game
Miami Dolphins (0-10, 0-5 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3, 5-0 at home)
Last Week: Miami lost to Philadelphia, 17-7; Pittsburgh lost to New York Jets, 19-16.
The tragic number is 6 for Miami. They have 6 more games until they become the 2nd team ever to go winless, joining the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. At least the Bucs were only 0-14 that season, and they were an expansion team, so they had that excuse going for them. What's Miami's going to be if they can't get a win? Time will tell if they can avoid that embarrassment. For the time being, 0-11 is a near certainty, as Pittsburgh is one of the top 5 teams in football. Plus, they lost to a woeful Jets team last week, and they won't make it consecutive losses to two lousy teams. The Steelers have home field advantage for a prime time game. That factor can't be overlooked either.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (15)
Thursday, November 22, 2007
Week 12 in the NFL (Thanksgiving Day Games)
Due to a S.N.A.F.U last week, I accidentally deleted my Week 11 blog post right before posting it. Oops. As fate would have it, I had a really solid performance, winning 12 of the 16 games, and getting 117 out of a possible 136 points. Think I'm lying? Lucky for you, I'll just copy and paste the results from my Yahoo! pick 'em league:
• JACKSONVILLE San Diego 8 Correct Jac 24, SD 17
• Cleveland BALTIMORE 7 Correct Cle 33, Bal 30
New York (NYG) • DETROIT 3 Incorrect NYG 16, Det 10
HOUSTON • New Orleans 4 Incorrect Hou 23, NO 10
• GREEN BAY Carolina 14 Correct GB 31, Car 17
• INDIANAPOLIS Kansas City 15 Correct Ind 13, KC 10
• MINNESOTA Oakland 6 Correct Min 29, Oak 22
• PHILADELPHIA Miami 13 Correct Phi 17, Mia 7
• Tampa Bay ATLANTA 9 Correct TB 31, Atl 7
• CINCINNATI Arizona 2 Incorrect Ari 35, Cin 27
• Pittsburgh NEW YORK (NYJ) 10 Incorrect NYJ 19, Pit 16
• DALLAS Washington 12 Correct Dal 28, Was 23
• St. Louis SAN FRANCISCO 1 Correct StL 13, SF 9
• SEATTLE Chicago 11 Correct Sea 30, Chi 23
• New England BUFFALO 16 Correct NE 56, Buf 10
• DENVER Tennessee 5 Correct Den 34, Ten 20
Not too bad, if I do say so myself. I wish I had proof of my picks for Weeks 1 and 2, but I do not. At least I can prove my picks from Weeks 3-11. The breakdown is as follows:
Weeks 1 - 11 : 884 points out of a possible 1,251 (70.7%)
Weeks 3 - 11 : 683 points out of a possible 979 (69.8%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 11: 98 wins, 61 losses (61.6%)
Weeks 3 - 11: 80 wins, 49 losses (62%)
Anyhow, here are my Thanksgiving Day picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 16 means I'm as sure as I can be. The remaining 13 games will be broken down in a few days. Happy Thanksgiving!
Green Bay Packers (9-1, 4-0 on the road) at Detroit Lions (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay beat Carolina, 31-17; Detroit lost to New York Giants, 16-10.
For the first half of the season, I would often walk away after watching a Packers game asking myself "How the F$%* did they pull that one out?". The Packers were always 1 or 2 plays away from losing. That's most of the games in the NFL, and the Packers have won almost all of them. Lately, however, Green Bay is blowing lesser opponents out. Detroit's major flaw - the inability to protect quarterback Jon Kitna - has been evident the past two Sundays. Kitna has been sacked 7 times, but has been pressured on dozens of drop backs. Offensive coordinator Mike Martz likes to attack defenses with a vertical passing game, and that requires the offensive line to hold their blocks a few seconds longer. Green Bay can pressure the passer, as evidenced by their 28 sacks this season. Detroit has lost 3 in a row on Thanksgiving: I'd look for this to be number 4.
Who will win: Green Bay (6)
New York Jets (2-8, 0-4 on the road) at Dallas Cowboys (9-1, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: New York beat Pittsburgh, 19-16; Dallas beat Washington, 28-23.
New York had the upset of the Week last Sunday, as they stunned everyone by beating the Steelers in overtime. I'm reminded of what Hall of Fame baseball player Jim 'Catfish' Hunter once said: "The sun don't shine on the same dog's ass all the time." That quote applies to the Jets here. There is no way they beat two top-5 teams in consecutive weeks. The NFC hasn't had truly elite teams in recent seasons. That's obviously changed this year, as Dallas and Green Bay are clearly title contenders. The Cowboys have 15 interceptions, good for second most in the league. They could force young Jets QB Kellen Clemens into some bad decisions. As long as Dallas avoids disastrous turnovers themselves, this game should be over by halftime.
Who will win: Dallas (14)
Indianapolis Colts (8-2, 4-1 on the road) at Atlanta Falcons (3-7, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis beat Kansas City, 13-10; Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay, 31-7.
The Colts gutted out a win last week. The seemingly impossible happened right before the eyes of Indianapolis fans: Peyton Manning and the offense was anemic, kicker Adam Vinatieri missed two field goals, and the Colts nearly lost to a team that had a 4-5 record entering the game. Did I mention the Colts were playing at home? This week should be easier, as the Falcons are one of the worst teams in football. If the turkey doesn't put you to sleep, this game will.
Who will win: Indianapolis (13)
• JACKSONVILLE San Diego 8 Correct Jac 24, SD 17
• Cleveland BALTIMORE 7 Correct Cle 33, Bal 30
New York (NYG) • DETROIT 3 Incorrect NYG 16, Det 10
HOUSTON • New Orleans 4 Incorrect Hou 23, NO 10
• GREEN BAY Carolina 14 Correct GB 31, Car 17
• INDIANAPOLIS Kansas City 15 Correct Ind 13, KC 10
• MINNESOTA Oakland 6 Correct Min 29, Oak 22
• PHILADELPHIA Miami 13 Correct Phi 17, Mia 7
• Tampa Bay ATLANTA 9 Correct TB 31, Atl 7
• CINCINNATI Arizona 2 Incorrect Ari 35, Cin 27
• Pittsburgh NEW YORK (NYJ) 10 Incorrect NYJ 19, Pit 16
• DALLAS Washington 12 Correct Dal 28, Was 23
• St. Louis SAN FRANCISCO 1 Correct StL 13, SF 9
• SEATTLE Chicago 11 Correct Sea 30, Chi 23
• New England BUFFALO 16 Correct NE 56, Buf 10
• DENVER Tennessee 5 Correct Den 34, Ten 20
Not too bad, if I do say so myself. I wish I had proof of my picks for Weeks 1 and 2, but I do not. At least I can prove my picks from Weeks 3-11. The breakdown is as follows:
Weeks 1 - 11 : 884 points out of a possible 1,251 (70.7%)
Weeks 3 - 11 : 683 points out of a possible 979 (69.8%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 11: 98 wins, 61 losses (61.6%)
Weeks 3 - 11: 80 wins, 49 losses (62%)
Anyhow, here are my Thanksgiving Day picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 16 means I'm as sure as I can be. The remaining 13 games will be broken down in a few days. Happy Thanksgiving!
Green Bay Packers (9-1, 4-0 on the road) at Detroit Lions (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay beat Carolina, 31-17; Detroit lost to New York Giants, 16-10.
For the first half of the season, I would often walk away after watching a Packers game asking myself "How the F$%* did they pull that one out?". The Packers were always 1 or 2 plays away from losing. That's most of the games in the NFL, and the Packers have won almost all of them. Lately, however, Green Bay is blowing lesser opponents out. Detroit's major flaw - the inability to protect quarterback Jon Kitna - has been evident the past two Sundays. Kitna has been sacked 7 times, but has been pressured on dozens of drop backs. Offensive coordinator Mike Martz likes to attack defenses with a vertical passing game, and that requires the offensive line to hold their blocks a few seconds longer. Green Bay can pressure the passer, as evidenced by their 28 sacks this season. Detroit has lost 3 in a row on Thanksgiving: I'd look for this to be number 4.
Who will win: Green Bay (6)
New York Jets (2-8, 0-4 on the road) at Dallas Cowboys (9-1, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: New York beat Pittsburgh, 19-16; Dallas beat Washington, 28-23.
New York had the upset of the Week last Sunday, as they stunned everyone by beating the Steelers in overtime. I'm reminded of what Hall of Fame baseball player Jim 'Catfish' Hunter once said: "The sun don't shine on the same dog's ass all the time." That quote applies to the Jets here. There is no way they beat two top-5 teams in consecutive weeks. The NFC hasn't had truly elite teams in recent seasons. That's obviously changed this year, as Dallas and Green Bay are clearly title contenders. The Cowboys have 15 interceptions, good for second most in the league. They could force young Jets QB Kellen Clemens into some bad decisions. As long as Dallas avoids disastrous turnovers themselves, this game should be over by halftime.
Who will win: Dallas (14)
Indianapolis Colts (8-2, 4-1 on the road) at Atlanta Falcons (3-7, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis beat Kansas City, 13-10; Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay, 31-7.
The Colts gutted out a win last week. The seemingly impossible happened right before the eyes of Indianapolis fans: Peyton Manning and the offense was anemic, kicker Adam Vinatieri missed two field goals, and the Colts nearly lost to a team that had a 4-5 record entering the game. Did I mention the Colts were playing at home? This week should be easier, as the Falcons are one of the worst teams in football. If the turkey doesn't put you to sleep, this game will.
Who will win: Indianapolis (13)
Wednesday, November 7, 2007
Week 10 in the NFL
Last week was so-so for me, as I went 9-5, accumulating 72 out of a possible 105 points. I wish I had proof of my picks for Weeks 1 and 2, but I do not. At least I can prove my picks from Weeks 3-9. The breakdown is as follows:
Weeks 1 - 9 : 717 points out of a possible 1,010 (71%)
Weeks 3 - 9 : 516 points out of a possible 738 (69.9%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 9: 80 wins, 49 losses (62%)
Weeks 3 - 9: 62 wins, 37 losses (62.6%)
Anyhow, here are my Week 10 picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 14 means I'm as sure as I can be.
1PM Games
Cleveland Browns (5-3, 1-2 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2, 4-0 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Seattle, 33-30; Pittsburgh beat Baltimore, 38 - 7.
They were supposed to be re-building this year, but no one told the Cleveland Browns. Here we are in Week 10, and the team is very much in the AFC playoff picture. With quarterback Derek Anderson, wide receiver Braylon Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow II all emerging at once, fans are excited in the Buckeye State. This week, however, the Browns could be running into a buzz saw. The Steelers have to be considered the third best team in football. Pittsburgh is giving up the fewest passing yards per game, while the Browns are allowing the most. I'd look for Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes to have big days, as the Steelers win a tight game.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (12)
Minnesota Vikings (3-5, 1-3 on the road) at Green Bay Packers (7-1, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota beat San Diego, 35-17; Green Bay beat Kansas City, 33-22.
Minnesota's rookie running back Adrian Peterson is setting the league on fire. He only showed mere flashes of his brilliance back at the University of Oklahoma, but he is carrying the Vikings offense right now. Unfortunately, Green Bay doesn't make it easy for opposing ball-carriers, as they yield only 93.8 rushing yards per contest. Brooks Bollinger or Tavaris Jackson - the two potential starting QB's for the Vikes - will need to make big plays in the passing game to take the load off Peterson. Despite their strong showing last week, Minnesota still allows the 2nd most passing yards per game. Brett Favre and his receivers could have a field day.
Who will win: Green Bay (11)
Philadelphia Eagles (3-5, 2-2 on the road) at Washington Redskins (5-3, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia lost to Dallas, 38-17; Washington beat New York Jets, 23-20.
Ex-Toronto Blue Jay Shea Hillenbrand once wrote the following on the clubhouse chalkboard: "This is a sinking ship". Some on the Eagles must be tempted right now to echo that statement. The Eagles have looked like shadows of their former selves, from QB Donovan McNabb to the underachieving defense, to coach Andy Reid. The Redskins could deliver a knockout punch to their fierce division rival this weekend. With the way Washington rebounded last week against the Jets, they may have enough swagger to do just that.
Who will win: Washington (10)
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3, 3-1 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (6-2, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville lost to New Orleans, 41-24; Tennessee beat Carolina, 20-7.
Last week, Jacksonville looked really bad for the first time all season. They still have a great running game, but have looked much more vulnerable stopping the run then in years past. The Titans are winning by pounding the ball, and playing smothering defense. Highly-touted QB Vince Young hasn't even played well yet, throwing 8 interceptions to just 3 touchdowns. Still, he's a tremendous leader. Tennessee ran all over Jacksonville in the season opener, and the same could happen this weekend. Plus, it's a home game for the Titans.
Who will win: Tennessee (7)
Atlanta Falcons (2-6, 0-4 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-4, 0-3 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta beat San Francisco, 20-16; Carolina lost to Tennessee, 20-7.
Atlanta QB Joey Harrington was the 3rd overall pick in the 2002 Draft. Carlonia's David Carr was the 1st overall pick that year. Harrington is with his third different team, Carr his second. Safe to say these two guys aren't going to be inducted in Canton anytime soon. It's just too bad Carr is out with an injury, otherwise this would be a painful reminder for Lions and Texans fans of front office blunders. The Falcons are playing out the string and preparing for 2008, while the Panthers could still win the NFC South. Carolina will need to clean up it's act quickly, and it must start this week.
Who will win: Carolina (6)
Denver Broncos (3-5, 1-2 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Detroit, 44-7; Kansas City lost to Green Bay, 33-22.
Denver's season is spiraling out of control. The defense - traditionally one of the best in football - has been putrid this season, allowing the most rushing yards in the NFL, while giving up 28 points per contest. Kansas City isn't head and shoulders above Denver, and will be without workhorse running back Larry Johnson. Still, KC running back Priest Holmes will be playing like it's 2003. You heard it here first ... or maybe you heard it somewhere else. Either way, the Chiefs should take this one.
Last Week: Kansas City (9)
Buffalo Bills (4-4, 1-2 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-8, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo beat Cincinnati, 33-21; Miami had the bye week.
While there's a humongous gap between the two teams, the Bills are the undisputed second best team in the AFC East after the Patriots. If not for Adrian Peterson, Bills rookie running back Marshawn Lynch would be receiving a ton of accolades for his performance. He has carried the load offensively, and wide receiver Lee Evans decided to produce all of a sudden. The football Gods do not look favorably upon jealousy. When retired Dolphins coach Don Shula said that the 2007 Patriots should have an asterisk next to any accomplishment, he made people hate the 1972 Miami team even more - if such a thing is possible. I'm thinking the average fan wouldn't mind seeing the 2007 squad go winless.
Who will win: Buffalo (8)
St Louis Rams (0-8, 0-4 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (4-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: St Louis had the bye week; New Orleans beat Jacksonville, 41-24.
If not for the Dolphins, the Rams would be the worst team in the NFL. It seems like just yesterday that they had the most powerful offense in football. Now, they can only muster 12.4 points per game, the lowest total in the NFL. I don't think this is the week they get in the win column, as the Saints are one of the hottest teams in the league. Left for dead after an 0-4 start, New Orleans has had a resurgence, and is thinking about the division title again. I'd look for QB Drew Brees to have a big day.
Who will win: New Orleans (14)
4PM Games
Cincinnati Bengals (2-6, 0-4 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-4, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati lost to Buffalo, 33-21; Baltimore lost to Pittsburgh, 38-7.
The Bengals may have bottomed out last week when they blew a lead in the 4th quarter vs the Bills. The Bengals can't stop anyone on defense, and their offense is not nearly good enough to carry the team. Speaking of hitting rock bottom, the Ravens may have done just that last week on Monday Night Football, when they were creamed by Pittsburgh. Cincinnati is looking to save face, while Baltimore is looking to crawl it's way back into the playoff picture. While I think they're overrated, I have to go with Baltimore because there is still a solid core of veteran leaderships, and they're playing at home.
Who will win: Baltimore (5)
Chicago Bears (3-5, 2-2 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (2-6, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Chicago had the bye week; Oakland lost to Houston, 24-17.
Chicago is the latest victim of a Super Bowl hangover. The team just hasn't looked right all season. Brian Griese is not the permanent answer at quarterback, and hasn't been any better than Rex Grossman was. The duo has combined for 16 interceptions this year, the most out of any NFL team. Granted, the NFC is wide open, but the Bears can really only afford to lose a maximum of 2 games the rest of the year if they want to make the postseason. On the bright side, the defense has recorded 25 sacks, good for second most in the NFL. If they can pressure Raiders QB Daunte Culpepper, the secondary could make a few big plays.
Who will win: Chicago (4)
Dallas Cowboys (7-1, 4-0 on the road) at New York Giants (6-2, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Dallas beat Philadelphia, 38-17; New York had the bye week.
Dallas needs to win this game to keep pace with Green Bay in the race for home field advantage in the NFC playoffs. The Cowboys have arguably the best offense and defense in the NFC. This week won't be easy, however, as the Giants are on a six-game winning streak. Cowboys QB Tony Romo can get happy feet in the pocket when he's pressured, and the Giants have 30 sacks, the most in football. The home field advantage could be the difference in this game.
Who will win: New York (1)
Detroit Lions (6-2, 2-2 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Detroit beat Denver, 44-7; Arizona lost to Tampa Bay, 17-10.
Detroit is having their best season in over a decade. The defense - thought to be the Achilles heel of the team - is playing very well over the past month. However, opposing offenses have been able to move the ball through the air on the Lions. If the offensive line can give Cards QB Kurt Warner ample time, he could hit star receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. Detroit has to slip up a few more times this season - why not this week?
Who will win: Arizona (2)
Sunday Night Game
Indianapolis Colts (7-1, 4-0 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis lost to New England, 24-20; San Diego lost to Minnesota, 35-17.
The Colts had the Patriots on the ropes last week, but couldn't deliver the knockout punch. This week, Peyton Manning and the Colts offense faces another team that has given them problems over the years. The Chargers defense made headlines last week for all the wrong reasons, as they allowed Minnesota's Adrian Peterson to rack up 296 rushing yards, an NFL record. You can't expect the Chargers to play that poorly two weeks in a row, but Colts running back Joseph Addai is a brilliant runner in his own right. Home field or not, I just can't see the Colts losing two in a row.
Who will win: Indianapolis (3)
Monday Night Football
San Francisco 49ers (2-6, 1-3 on the road) at Seattle Seahawks (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco lost to Atlanta, 20-16; Seattle lost to Cleveland, 33-30.
The 49ers are destined for a top 5 pick in the 2008 NFL Draft, which is music to the ears of New England Patriots fans. Instead of getting a franchise player, San Fran will watch the rich get richer, as the Patriots own that selection. In the meantime, the 49ers can drop the pick of a few slots by winning some games. I just wouldn't expect it to be this week. Seattle is hanging on for dear life in the NFC West, the worst division in football. The Seahawks are very tough to beat at home, especially for the 49ers, and especially on Monday Night Football.
Who will win: Seattle (13)
Weeks 1 - 9 : 717 points out of a possible 1,010 (71%)
Weeks 3 - 9 : 516 points out of a possible 738 (69.9%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 9: 80 wins, 49 losses (62%)
Weeks 3 - 9: 62 wins, 37 losses (62.6%)
Anyhow, here are my Week 10 picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 14 means I'm as sure as I can be.
1PM Games
Cleveland Browns (5-3, 1-2 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2, 4-0 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Seattle, 33-30; Pittsburgh beat Baltimore, 38 - 7.
They were supposed to be re-building this year, but no one told the Cleveland Browns. Here we are in Week 10, and the team is very much in the AFC playoff picture. With quarterback Derek Anderson, wide receiver Braylon Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow II all emerging at once, fans are excited in the Buckeye State. This week, however, the Browns could be running into a buzz saw. The Steelers have to be considered the third best team in football. Pittsburgh is giving up the fewest passing yards per game, while the Browns are allowing the most. I'd look for Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes to have big days, as the Steelers win a tight game.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (12)
Minnesota Vikings (3-5, 1-3 on the road) at Green Bay Packers (7-1, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota beat San Diego, 35-17; Green Bay beat Kansas City, 33-22.
Minnesota's rookie running back Adrian Peterson is setting the league on fire. He only showed mere flashes of his brilliance back at the University of Oklahoma, but he is carrying the Vikings offense right now. Unfortunately, Green Bay doesn't make it easy for opposing ball-carriers, as they yield only 93.8 rushing yards per contest. Brooks Bollinger or Tavaris Jackson - the two potential starting QB's for the Vikes - will need to make big plays in the passing game to take the load off Peterson. Despite their strong showing last week, Minnesota still allows the 2nd most passing yards per game. Brett Favre and his receivers could have a field day.
Who will win: Green Bay (11)
Philadelphia Eagles (3-5, 2-2 on the road) at Washington Redskins (5-3, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia lost to Dallas, 38-17; Washington beat New York Jets, 23-20.
Ex-Toronto Blue Jay Shea Hillenbrand once wrote the following on the clubhouse chalkboard: "This is a sinking ship". Some on the Eagles must be tempted right now to echo that statement. The Eagles have looked like shadows of their former selves, from QB Donovan McNabb to the underachieving defense, to coach Andy Reid. The Redskins could deliver a knockout punch to their fierce division rival this weekend. With the way Washington rebounded last week against the Jets, they may have enough swagger to do just that.
Who will win: Washington (10)
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3, 3-1 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (6-2, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville lost to New Orleans, 41-24; Tennessee beat Carolina, 20-7.
Last week, Jacksonville looked really bad for the first time all season. They still have a great running game, but have looked much more vulnerable stopping the run then in years past. The Titans are winning by pounding the ball, and playing smothering defense. Highly-touted QB Vince Young hasn't even played well yet, throwing 8 interceptions to just 3 touchdowns. Still, he's a tremendous leader. Tennessee ran all over Jacksonville in the season opener, and the same could happen this weekend. Plus, it's a home game for the Titans.
Who will win: Tennessee (7)
Atlanta Falcons (2-6, 0-4 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-4, 0-3 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta beat San Francisco, 20-16; Carolina lost to Tennessee, 20-7.
Atlanta QB Joey Harrington was the 3rd overall pick in the 2002 Draft. Carlonia's David Carr was the 1st overall pick that year. Harrington is with his third different team, Carr his second. Safe to say these two guys aren't going to be inducted in Canton anytime soon. It's just too bad Carr is out with an injury, otherwise this would be a painful reminder for Lions and Texans fans of front office blunders. The Falcons are playing out the string and preparing for 2008, while the Panthers could still win the NFC South. Carolina will need to clean up it's act quickly, and it must start this week.
Who will win: Carolina (6)
Denver Broncos (3-5, 1-2 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Detroit, 44-7; Kansas City lost to Green Bay, 33-22.
Denver's season is spiraling out of control. The defense - traditionally one of the best in football - has been putrid this season, allowing the most rushing yards in the NFL, while giving up 28 points per contest. Kansas City isn't head and shoulders above Denver, and will be without workhorse running back Larry Johnson. Still, KC running back Priest Holmes will be playing like it's 2003. You heard it here first ... or maybe you heard it somewhere else. Either way, the Chiefs should take this one.
Last Week: Kansas City (9)
Buffalo Bills (4-4, 1-2 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-8, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo beat Cincinnati, 33-21; Miami had the bye week.
While there's a humongous gap between the two teams, the Bills are the undisputed second best team in the AFC East after the Patriots. If not for Adrian Peterson, Bills rookie running back Marshawn Lynch would be receiving a ton of accolades for his performance. He has carried the load offensively, and wide receiver Lee Evans decided to produce all of a sudden. The football Gods do not look favorably upon jealousy. When retired Dolphins coach Don Shula said that the 2007 Patriots should have an asterisk next to any accomplishment, he made people hate the 1972 Miami team even more - if such a thing is possible. I'm thinking the average fan wouldn't mind seeing the 2007 squad go winless.
Who will win: Buffalo (8)
St Louis Rams (0-8, 0-4 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (4-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: St Louis had the bye week; New Orleans beat Jacksonville, 41-24.
If not for the Dolphins, the Rams would be the worst team in the NFL. It seems like just yesterday that they had the most powerful offense in football. Now, they can only muster 12.4 points per game, the lowest total in the NFL. I don't think this is the week they get in the win column, as the Saints are one of the hottest teams in the league. Left for dead after an 0-4 start, New Orleans has had a resurgence, and is thinking about the division title again. I'd look for QB Drew Brees to have a big day.
Who will win: New Orleans (14)
4PM Games
Cincinnati Bengals (2-6, 0-4 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-4, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati lost to Buffalo, 33-21; Baltimore lost to Pittsburgh, 38-7.
The Bengals may have bottomed out last week when they blew a lead in the 4th quarter vs the Bills. The Bengals can't stop anyone on defense, and their offense is not nearly good enough to carry the team. Speaking of hitting rock bottom, the Ravens may have done just that last week on Monday Night Football, when they were creamed by Pittsburgh. Cincinnati is looking to save face, while Baltimore is looking to crawl it's way back into the playoff picture. While I think they're overrated, I have to go with Baltimore because there is still a solid core of veteran leaderships, and they're playing at home.
Who will win: Baltimore (5)
Chicago Bears (3-5, 2-2 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (2-6, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Chicago had the bye week; Oakland lost to Houston, 24-17.
Chicago is the latest victim of a Super Bowl hangover. The team just hasn't looked right all season. Brian Griese is not the permanent answer at quarterback, and hasn't been any better than Rex Grossman was. The duo has combined for 16 interceptions this year, the most out of any NFL team. Granted, the NFC is wide open, but the Bears can really only afford to lose a maximum of 2 games the rest of the year if they want to make the postseason. On the bright side, the defense has recorded 25 sacks, good for second most in the NFL. If they can pressure Raiders QB Daunte Culpepper, the secondary could make a few big plays.
Who will win: Chicago (4)
Dallas Cowboys (7-1, 4-0 on the road) at New York Giants (6-2, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Dallas beat Philadelphia, 38-17; New York had the bye week.
Dallas needs to win this game to keep pace with Green Bay in the race for home field advantage in the NFC playoffs. The Cowboys have arguably the best offense and defense in the NFC. This week won't be easy, however, as the Giants are on a six-game winning streak. Cowboys QB Tony Romo can get happy feet in the pocket when he's pressured, and the Giants have 30 sacks, the most in football. The home field advantage could be the difference in this game.
Who will win: New York (1)
Detroit Lions (6-2, 2-2 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Detroit beat Denver, 44-7; Arizona lost to Tampa Bay, 17-10.
Detroit is having their best season in over a decade. The defense - thought to be the Achilles heel of the team - is playing very well over the past month. However, opposing offenses have been able to move the ball through the air on the Lions. If the offensive line can give Cards QB Kurt Warner ample time, he could hit star receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. Detroit has to slip up a few more times this season - why not this week?
Who will win: Arizona (2)
Sunday Night Game
Indianapolis Colts (7-1, 4-0 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis lost to New England, 24-20; San Diego lost to Minnesota, 35-17.
The Colts had the Patriots on the ropes last week, but couldn't deliver the knockout punch. This week, Peyton Manning and the Colts offense faces another team that has given them problems over the years. The Chargers defense made headlines last week for all the wrong reasons, as they allowed Minnesota's Adrian Peterson to rack up 296 rushing yards, an NFL record. You can't expect the Chargers to play that poorly two weeks in a row, but Colts running back Joseph Addai is a brilliant runner in his own right. Home field or not, I just can't see the Colts losing two in a row.
Who will win: Indianapolis (3)
Monday Night Football
San Francisco 49ers (2-6, 1-3 on the road) at Seattle Seahawks (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco lost to Atlanta, 20-16; Seattle lost to Cleveland, 33-30.
The 49ers are destined for a top 5 pick in the 2008 NFL Draft, which is music to the ears of New England Patriots fans. Instead of getting a franchise player, San Fran will watch the rich get richer, as the Patriots own that selection. In the meantime, the 49ers can drop the pick of a few slots by winning some games. I just wouldn't expect it to be this week. Seattle is hanging on for dear life in the NFC West, the worst division in football. The Seahawks are very tough to beat at home, especially for the 49ers, and especially on Monday Night Football.
Who will win: Seattle (13)
Thursday, November 1, 2007
Week 9 in the NFL
After a few nice weeks, I had a disappointing performance last weekend. I wish I had proof of my picks for Weeks 1 and 2, but I do not. At least I can prove my picks from Weeks 3-8. The breakdown is as follows:
Weeks 1 - 8 : 645 points out of a possible 905 (71.3%)
Weeks 3 - 8 : 444 points out of a possible 633 (70.1%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 8: 71 wins, 44 losses (61.7%)
Weeks 3 - 8: 53 wins, 32 losses (62.4%)
Anyhow, here are my Week 9 picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 14 means I'm as sure as I can be.
1PM Games
Arizona Cardinals (3-4, 1-3 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Arizona had the bye week; Tampa Bay lost to Jacksonville, 24-23.
Arizona started off strong, but has since faltered. If they want to remain in contention for the NFC West title, a win this week is critical. Then again, with linebacker Karlos Dansby out, Monty Beisel will start. Cardinals fans should be thinking what Patriots fans thought in 2005: "we're f@@ked". Tampa Bay is too good of a a team to suffer back-to-back home losses, especially against Arizona.
Who will win: Tampa Bay (13)
Denver Broncos (3-4, 1-1 on the road) at Detroit Lions (5-2, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Green Bay, 19-13; Detroit beat Chicago, 16-7.
The Broncos just aren't the team everyone thought they would be. They're an unimpressive 2-3 in Denver, where they used to enjoy arguable the best home field advantage in football. This week, they take their sorry act to Detroit, which may be the 3rd or 4th best team in the NFC. The Lions have been particularly impressive at home. I'd look for Lions coach Mike Martz to feature running back Kevin Jones prominently, as Detroit will look to capitalize on Denver's 32nd ranked rushing defense. If the Lions do go to their passing attack, they'll likely pick on all-pro cornerback Champ Bailey, who's banged up.
Who will win: Detroit (1)
Carolina Panthers (4-3, 4-0 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (5-2, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Carolina lost to Indianapolis, 31-7; Tennessee beat Oakland, 13-9.
Carolina hasn't been consistent since they won the NFC Title after the 2003 season. So it's not really surprising that they're undefeated on the road, but winless at home. Tennessee has the league's stingiest run stopping unit, yielding only 64 rushing yards per game. That means quarterback David Carr will be forced to make plays. I don't think that's going to happen. Additionally, the Titans are at home, and it's an AFC/NFC match up.
Who will win: Tennessee (10)
Green Bay Packers (6-1, 3-0 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-2. 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay beat Denver, 19-13; Kansas City had the bye week.
This one is a contest between two of the NFL's better defenses. The Packers could very well be the class of the NFC, while the surprising Chiefs are leading the AFC West. 2007 was supposed to be a rebuilding year for them. I should pick the Packers, but Kansas City has one of the best home field advantages in football at Arrowhead Stadium. It's and AFC/NFC game, and Green Bay has to slip up at least 2 or 3 more times this season - this looks like it could be one of those weeks.
Who will win: Kansas City (4)
San Diego Chargers (4-3, 1-2 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (2-5, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: San Diego beat Houston, 35-10; Minnesota lost to Philadelphia, 23-16.
San Diego has ripped off 3 straight impressive wins after a woeful start. There is, however, the distinct possibility that the Vikings' stout run defense could bottle up Chargers all-pro running back LaDainian Tomlinson. It's games like this one that led to the team acquiring wide receiver Chris Chambers in a trade. I'd look for him and tight end Antonio Gates to have a big day, as their should be favorable match ups against Minnesota's secondary, who are giving up 288 yards passing per contest.
Who will win: San Diego (12)
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2, 3-0 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (3-4, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville beat Tampa Bay, 24-23; New Orleans beat San Francisco, 31-10.
Jacksonville squeaked by last week. Back-up QB Quinn Gray has not looked good at all, but that's to be expected. The Jaguars will need to depend on their running game and defense more than usual. New Orleans has revived their season after all the pundits left them for dead. I don't know why, but I have a good feeling about the Saints in this one.
Who will win: New Orleans (8)
San Francisco 49ers (2-5, 1-2 on the road) at Atlanta Falcons (1-6, 1-2 at home)
Last Week San Francisco lost to New Orleans, 31-10; Atlanta had the bye week.
*Warning - Cover your ears, Patriots haters* At this rate, New England could very well end up with a top 10 draft pick in 2008. The trade - made between the two teams in last April's NFL Draft - sets up New England nicely, and gives 49ers fans heartache. Anyway, the 49ers look helpless. They have one of the league's worst defenses, and the offense isn't reminding anyone of the glory days. Atlanta won't win any more than 5 games this year, but this should be one of them.
Who will win: Atlanta (2)
Washington Redskins (4-3, 1-2 on the road) at New York Jets (1-7, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Washington lost to New England, 52-7; New York lost to Buffalo, 13-3.
Washington suffered one of the worst defeats in franchise history last Sunday. Still, they're a solid team, and it's unlikely that they'll flop two weeks in a row. The Jets are planning for 2008, as evidenced by their decision to start Kellen Clemens at quarterback. Running back Thomas Jones has been a disappointment, the defense has looked soft, and coach Eric Mangini doesn't look like a "Mangenius" anymore.
Who will win: Washington (11)
Cincinnati Bengals (2-5, 0-3 on the road) at Buffalo Bills (3-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati lost to Pittsburgh, 24-13; Buffalo beat New York, 13-3.
Cincinnati is back to it's mid-1990's form, everyone! The team has a few stars, but is still underachieving big-time. Bengals coach Marvin Lewis' seat isn't hot - it's blistering. The Bengals need this game to save face. Buffalo has won 3 of it's past 4 games, but I wouldn't trust Bills QB JP Losman to make enough good decisions to lead his team to victory.
Who will win: Cincinnati (9)
4PM Games
Seattle Seahawks (4-3, 1-2 on the road) at Cleveland Browns (4-3, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Seattle had the bye week; Cleveland beat St Louis, 27-20.
Seattle hasn't been overly impressive this season. Then again, that's 95% of NFL teams in 2007. Running back Shaun Alexander used to be dominant, but he seems to be on the decline. If Seahawks coach Mike Holmgren is the offensive genius he thinks he is, then he should have a good game plan coming off a bye week. Cleveland has been one of the NFL's surprise team. All of their young offensive talent has blossomed simultaneously. Their defense is giving up an average of 29 points per game, and the offense is putting up 28 points per game. Translation: they're usually a fun team to watch. Seattle is due for an all-around strong effort, and this could be their week.
Who will win: Seattle (5)
New England Patriots (8-0, 4-0 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (7-0, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: New England beat Washington, 52-7; Indianapolis beat Carolina, 31-7.
The Patriots have been on fire for a longer duration than any team in recent NFL history. QB Tom Brady, wide receiver Randy Moss and the offense are on all pace to break records. This is the game the Patriots have been planning for since last January, when they lost the AFC title game in Indianapolis. The Colts are flying under the radar, which isn't easy when you're the undefeated, reigning Super Bowl Champions. In any other season, they would widely be considered the best team in football. This is the first time the Colts are home underdogs since Tony Dungy took over as coach in 2002. The Colts defense has improved, but I think they'll have their hands full with the Patriots arsenal. If New England protects the ball and holds Indy under 30 points, they should escape with the win. Plus, Colts receiver Marvin Harrison likely won't play. On the other hand, my reliable source - we'll call him "BM" - says it's just a case of gamesmanship, and Indy is trying to "psyche out" the Patriots. We shall see.
Who will win: New England (14)
Houston Texans (3-5, 1-3 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (2-5, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Houston lost to San Diego, 35-10; Oakland lost to Tennessee, 13-9.
I'm surprised people aren't more excited for this game than the Pats/Colts tilt! All kidding aside, re-located New England and Indianapolis fans are hoping there is a small turnout for this one, so the game will be blacked out. That way, the Patriots/Colts game will be nationwide. With the way these two teams have played, can you blame them? Anyway, the Raiders are due for a win. Just remember: I didn't say it would be pretty.
Who will win: Oakland (3)
Sunday Night Game
Dallas Cowboys (6-1, 3-0 on the road) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-4, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Dallas had the bye week; Philadelphia beat Minnesota, 23-16.
Dallas is probably the best the NFC has to offer. The Cowboys have the conference's top rated offense and defense, and should be well-rested after a week off. Still, they should not take the Eagles lightly. The Eagles would like nothing better than to upset Dallas, and vault themselves back into the NFC playoff picture. You have to wonder if coach Any Reid's off-field problems effected the preparation of this team. Then again, Philly could rally around their leader, and put together a strong performance. I just think Dallas will get enough big plays on offense to pull out the victory.
Who will win: Dallas (6)
Monday Night Game
Baltimore Ravens (4-3, 1-3 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore had the bye week; Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati, 24-13.
Baltimore is mediocre at best, and their defense finally seems fed up with the offense's anemic performances. Still, there's the old saying, "if you live in a glass house, don't throw stones". That applies here because Baltimore's defense is not performing up to it's own standards. The fact that shutdown corner back Chris McAllister is unlikely to play doesn't help matters. At least QB Steve McNair is set to return this week, but he's a shell of his former self. I'd look for Pittsburgh to pound the ball early, and hit a long pass or two. Plus, the Steelers have the stingiest defense in football, and the game is at their place.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (7)
Weeks 1 - 8 : 645 points out of a possible 905 (71.3%)
Weeks 3 - 8 : 444 points out of a possible 633 (70.1%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 8: 71 wins, 44 losses (61.7%)
Weeks 3 - 8: 53 wins, 32 losses (62.4%)
Anyhow, here are my Week 9 picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 14 means I'm as sure as I can be.
1PM Games
Arizona Cardinals (3-4, 1-3 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Arizona had the bye week; Tampa Bay lost to Jacksonville, 24-23.
Arizona started off strong, but has since faltered. If they want to remain in contention for the NFC West title, a win this week is critical. Then again, with linebacker Karlos Dansby out, Monty Beisel will start. Cardinals fans should be thinking what Patriots fans thought in 2005: "we're f@@ked". Tampa Bay is too good of a a team to suffer back-to-back home losses, especially against Arizona.
Who will win: Tampa Bay (13)
Denver Broncos (3-4, 1-1 on the road) at Detroit Lions (5-2, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Green Bay, 19-13; Detroit beat Chicago, 16-7.
The Broncos just aren't the team everyone thought they would be. They're an unimpressive 2-3 in Denver, where they used to enjoy arguable the best home field advantage in football. This week, they take their sorry act to Detroit, which may be the 3rd or 4th best team in the NFC. The Lions have been particularly impressive at home. I'd look for Lions coach Mike Martz to feature running back Kevin Jones prominently, as Detroit will look to capitalize on Denver's 32nd ranked rushing defense. If the Lions do go to their passing attack, they'll likely pick on all-pro cornerback Champ Bailey, who's banged up.
Who will win: Detroit (1)
Carolina Panthers (4-3, 4-0 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (5-2, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Carolina lost to Indianapolis, 31-7; Tennessee beat Oakland, 13-9.
Carolina hasn't been consistent since they won the NFC Title after the 2003 season. So it's not really surprising that they're undefeated on the road, but winless at home. Tennessee has the league's stingiest run stopping unit, yielding only 64 rushing yards per game. That means quarterback David Carr will be forced to make plays. I don't think that's going to happen. Additionally, the Titans are at home, and it's an AFC/NFC match up.
Who will win: Tennessee (10)
Green Bay Packers (6-1, 3-0 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-2. 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay beat Denver, 19-13; Kansas City had the bye week.
This one is a contest between two of the NFL's better defenses. The Packers could very well be the class of the NFC, while the surprising Chiefs are leading the AFC West. 2007 was supposed to be a rebuilding year for them. I should pick the Packers, but Kansas City has one of the best home field advantages in football at Arrowhead Stadium. It's and AFC/NFC game, and Green Bay has to slip up at least 2 or 3 more times this season - this looks like it could be one of those weeks.
Who will win: Kansas City (4)
San Diego Chargers (4-3, 1-2 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (2-5, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: San Diego beat Houston, 35-10; Minnesota lost to Philadelphia, 23-16.
San Diego has ripped off 3 straight impressive wins after a woeful start. There is, however, the distinct possibility that the Vikings' stout run defense could bottle up Chargers all-pro running back LaDainian Tomlinson. It's games like this one that led to the team acquiring wide receiver Chris Chambers in a trade. I'd look for him and tight end Antonio Gates to have a big day, as their should be favorable match ups against Minnesota's secondary, who are giving up 288 yards passing per contest.
Who will win: San Diego (12)
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2, 3-0 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (3-4, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville beat Tampa Bay, 24-23; New Orleans beat San Francisco, 31-10.
Jacksonville squeaked by last week. Back-up QB Quinn Gray has not looked good at all, but that's to be expected. The Jaguars will need to depend on their running game and defense more than usual. New Orleans has revived their season after all the pundits left them for dead. I don't know why, but I have a good feeling about the Saints in this one.
Who will win: New Orleans (8)
San Francisco 49ers (2-5, 1-2 on the road) at Atlanta Falcons (1-6, 1-2 at home)
Last Week San Francisco lost to New Orleans, 31-10; Atlanta had the bye week.
*Warning - Cover your ears, Patriots haters* At this rate, New England could very well end up with a top 10 draft pick in 2008. The trade - made between the two teams in last April's NFL Draft - sets up New England nicely, and gives 49ers fans heartache. Anyway, the 49ers look helpless. They have one of the league's worst defenses, and the offense isn't reminding anyone of the glory days. Atlanta won't win any more than 5 games this year, but this should be one of them.
Who will win: Atlanta (2)
Washington Redskins (4-3, 1-2 on the road) at New York Jets (1-7, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Washington lost to New England, 52-7; New York lost to Buffalo, 13-3.
Washington suffered one of the worst defeats in franchise history last Sunday. Still, they're a solid team, and it's unlikely that they'll flop two weeks in a row. The Jets are planning for 2008, as evidenced by their decision to start Kellen Clemens at quarterback. Running back Thomas Jones has been a disappointment, the defense has looked soft, and coach Eric Mangini doesn't look like a "Mangenius" anymore.
Who will win: Washington (11)
Cincinnati Bengals (2-5, 0-3 on the road) at Buffalo Bills (3-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati lost to Pittsburgh, 24-13; Buffalo beat New York, 13-3.
Cincinnati is back to it's mid-1990's form, everyone! The team has a few stars, but is still underachieving big-time. Bengals coach Marvin Lewis' seat isn't hot - it's blistering. The Bengals need this game to save face. Buffalo has won 3 of it's past 4 games, but I wouldn't trust Bills QB JP Losman to make enough good decisions to lead his team to victory.
Who will win: Cincinnati (9)
4PM Games
Seattle Seahawks (4-3, 1-2 on the road) at Cleveland Browns (4-3, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Seattle had the bye week; Cleveland beat St Louis, 27-20.
Seattle hasn't been overly impressive this season. Then again, that's 95% of NFL teams in 2007. Running back Shaun Alexander used to be dominant, but he seems to be on the decline. If Seahawks coach Mike Holmgren is the offensive genius he thinks he is, then he should have a good game plan coming off a bye week. Cleveland has been one of the NFL's surprise team. All of their young offensive talent has blossomed simultaneously. Their defense is giving up an average of 29 points per game, and the offense is putting up 28 points per game. Translation: they're usually a fun team to watch. Seattle is due for an all-around strong effort, and this could be their week.
Who will win: Seattle (5)
New England Patriots (8-0, 4-0 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (7-0, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: New England beat Washington, 52-7; Indianapolis beat Carolina, 31-7.
The Patriots have been on fire for a longer duration than any team in recent NFL history. QB Tom Brady, wide receiver Randy Moss and the offense are on all pace to break records. This is the game the Patriots have been planning for since last January, when they lost the AFC title game in Indianapolis. The Colts are flying under the radar, which isn't easy when you're the undefeated, reigning Super Bowl Champions. In any other season, they would widely be considered the best team in football. This is the first time the Colts are home underdogs since Tony Dungy took over as coach in 2002. The Colts defense has improved, but I think they'll have their hands full with the Patriots arsenal. If New England protects the ball and holds Indy under 30 points, they should escape with the win. Plus, Colts receiver Marvin Harrison likely won't play. On the other hand, my reliable source - we'll call him "BM" - says it's just a case of gamesmanship, and Indy is trying to "psyche out" the Patriots. We shall see.
Who will win: New England (14)
Houston Texans (3-5, 1-3 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (2-5, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Houston lost to San Diego, 35-10; Oakland lost to Tennessee, 13-9.
I'm surprised people aren't more excited for this game than the Pats/Colts tilt! All kidding aside, re-located New England and Indianapolis fans are hoping there is a small turnout for this one, so the game will be blacked out. That way, the Patriots/Colts game will be nationwide. With the way these two teams have played, can you blame them? Anyway, the Raiders are due for a win. Just remember: I didn't say it would be pretty.
Who will win: Oakland (3)
Sunday Night Game
Dallas Cowboys (6-1, 3-0 on the road) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-4, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Dallas had the bye week; Philadelphia beat Minnesota, 23-16.
Dallas is probably the best the NFC has to offer. The Cowboys have the conference's top rated offense and defense, and should be well-rested after a week off. Still, they should not take the Eagles lightly. The Eagles would like nothing better than to upset Dallas, and vault themselves back into the NFC playoff picture. You have to wonder if coach Any Reid's off-field problems effected the preparation of this team. Then again, Philly could rally around their leader, and put together a strong performance. I just think Dallas will get enough big plays on offense to pull out the victory.
Who will win: Dallas (6)
Monday Night Game
Baltimore Ravens (4-3, 1-3 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore had the bye week; Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati, 24-13.
Baltimore is mediocre at best, and their defense finally seems fed up with the offense's anemic performances. Still, there's the old saying, "if you live in a glass house, don't throw stones". That applies here because Baltimore's defense is not performing up to it's own standards. The fact that shutdown corner back Chris McAllister is unlikely to play doesn't help matters. At least QB Steve McNair is set to return this week, but he's a shell of his former self. I'd look for Pittsburgh to pound the ball early, and hit a long pass or two. Plus, the Steelers have the stingiest defense in football, and the game is at their place.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (7)
Thursday, October 25, 2007
Week 8 in the NFL
Last week was another solid week for me. I went 9-4 for the second week in a row, and got 88 out of a possible 105 points. I wish I had proof of my picks for Weeks 1 and 2, but I do not. At least I can prove my picks from Weeks 3-7. The breakdown is as follows:
Weeks 1 - 7 : 578 points out of a possible 814 (71%)
Weeks 3 - 7 : 377 points out of a possible 542 (69.6%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 7: 64 wins, 38 losses (69.6%)
Weeks 3 - 7: 46 wins, 26 losses (63.9%)
Anyhow, here are my Week 8 picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 13 means I'm as sure as I can be.
1PM Games
Detroit Lions (4-2, 1-2 on the road) at Chicago Bears (3-4, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Detroit beat Tampa Bay, 23-16; Chicago beat Philadelphia, 19-16.
Detroit may be a legitimate playoff team. At worst, they are the second best team in the NFC North behind the Green Bay Packers. The way to beat the Bears is to pound the football offensively. That isn't a strength of Detroit's, as they have the league's 27th ranked rushing offense. Detroit beat Chicago in Week 4 because they set an NFL record for fourth quarter points with 34. Chicago's defense is a little healthier this time around, and there is no way Detroit will beat Chicago twice in the same season.
Who will win: Chicago (5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2, 1-2 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Pittsburgh lost to Denver, 31-28; Cincinnati beat New York Jets, 38-31.
Pittsburgh entered last week's contest vs Denver with one of the best rushing offenses in football. Denver had great difficulty stopping the run going into the game. For some reason, the Steelers opted to emphasize throwing the football, instead of attacking an obvious weakness. This week, Cincy's run defense is weak as well, so I wouldn't expect Pittsburgh to pass up the opportunity to smash their heated division rival in the mouth. The Bengals have to be considered one of the NFL's most disappointing teams, and head coach Marvin Lewis will need more than a win against the woeful Jets if he wants to keep his job.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (8)
Indianapolis Colts (6-0, 3-0 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-2, 0-2 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis beat Jacksonville, 29-7; Carolina had the bye week.
I have a confession to make: I was hoping against hope that the Colts would slip up against Jacksonville. I should have known better. The Patriots are getting all the publicity, but the Colts are quietly playing like defending Super Bowl champions. Their only Achilles's heel was their run defense in the past, but they're at least competent in that area now. This will be a nice little tune-up for their showdown vs the Patriots next Sunday. Panthers coach John Fox is rumored to be toying with the idea of platooning quarterbacks Vinny Testaverde and David Carr. Testaverde is 43 years old, and Carr has been sacked 33 times in 10 games against the Colts. Look for this game to give him new nightmares.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
Oakland Raiders (2-4, 1-2 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (4-2, 1-1 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Kansas City, 12-10; Tennessee beat Houston, 38-36.
Hear that sound? That's the sound of everyone hitting the ground that was on the Raiders bandwagon. After two straight losses, the Raiders find themselves in the basement of the AFC West. Oakland has had big problems stopping the run. The Titans are looking forward to the return of their evasive quarterback Vince Young. The Titans had their back-up QB in last week, AND they gave up 29 points in the 4th quarter. They escaped with a victory nonetheless. It was one those wins that playoff teams get. Plus, this one's in Nashville.
Who will win: Tennessee (7)
Cleveland Browns (3-3, 0-2 on the road) at St Louis Rams (0-7, 0-3 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland had the bye week; St Louis lost to Seattle, 33-6.
Cleveland looks like all of their young offensive talent is emerging at once. QB Derek Anderson, wide receiver Braylon Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow II are quite the triplets. Running back Jamal Lewis is eying a return to action this week. I know I sound like a broken record, but the Rams would be the worst team in football if not for the Miami Dolphins. Rams QB Marc Bulger returned last week, but threw 3 interceptions and lost two fumbles. Running back Steven Jackson will start, but how effective will he be facing 8-man defensive fronts?
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
New York Giants (5-2, 2-1 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-7, 0-3 at home)
Last Week: New York beat San Francisco, 33-15; Miami lost to New England, 49-28.
I have to get this off my chest: don't feed me all that garbage about this being a great thing for the NFL. It's not. The fact that this game is being played in London, and not in the United States is bogus. I know the NBA became famous world-wide by playing exhibition games overseas, conducting camps and so on. However, the NFL belongs here in America. I always laughed at people who said baseball was America's game, especially when the Yankees and Devil Rays kicked off the 2004 season in Japan. Now, the NFL has exported it's great product. Oh well. I'm probably just being selfish anyway. It's all about making money, and that's what the NFL is trying to do. I guess you can't blame them for that. Miami fans are probably sick of their franchise now anyway, and their best player - running back Ronnie Brown - will miss the rest of the season with an injury. The Giants should roll all over Miami, probably the worst team in the AFC.
Who will win: New York (12)
Philadelphia Eagles (2-4, 1-2 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (2-4, 1-1 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia lost to Chicago, 19-16; Minnesota lost to Dallas, 24-14.
I've arrived at another conclusion this week: the Eagles are not going to be the NFC Champions, as I so foolishly predicted prior to the season. Strictly looking at statistics, it's hard to pinpoint one sore spot: the Eagles are no worse than mediocre in almost all of the major categories. So what are they missing? Leadership? A defining moment? Heart? Whatever it is, the Eagles need to find it, and fast. Their season is slipping away. The Vikings are also 2-4, but have a much more optimistic view of things. Minnesota fans salivate at the thought of rookie sensation running back Adrian Peterson playing for the next 10 years. In this one, beware of the home underdog.
Who will win: Minnesota (3)
4PM Games
Buffalo Bills (2-4, 0-2 on the road) at New York Jets (1-6, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo beat Baltimore, 19-14; New York lost to Cincinnati, 38-31.
Wow, so much for the AFC East being a competitive division. Everyone knew the Dolphins would be bad, but the Jets and Bills had high hopes for 2007. Buffalo's offense hasn't made any noise this season. The Jets and their coach Eric Mangini have to be disappointed with their season as well. Second year player Kellen Clemens will be starting at quarterback, and will look to launch the Jets offense. I think I just clinched the "lamest pun of the year award". Anyway, Both teams are just awful. What more is there to say? I'll go with the home team.
Who will win: New York (4)
Houston Texans (3-4, 1-2 at home) at San Diego Chargers (3-3, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston lost to Tennessee, 38-36; San Diego had the bye last week.
Last week, the Texans made a furious comeback, only to be defeated on the game's last play. The Texans have now lost two straight, and that should be enough to make fans start planning for 2008. Star wide receiver Andre Johnson is still out with an injury, so Houston will once again be without it's best player. Word just broke that the Chargers will be playing this game in San Diego, despite the disastrous brushfires that took place this week. Before their week off, the Chargers look like they were finally flourishing in new coach Norv Turner's system. Look for Turner to feature all-world running back LaDainian Tomlinson and his new toy - wide receiver Chris Chambers.
Who will win: San Diego (10)
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2, 2-0 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-3, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville lost to Indianapolis, 29-7; Tampa Bay lost to Detroit, 23-16.
Jacksonville's starting quarterback - David Garrard - is out with an injury. That means Quinn Gray will get his first career start. Might as well be Dr Quinn, Medicine Woman starting this one. Tampa Bay will key in on running back Maurice Jones-Drew, and Gray won't be able to make them pay.
Who will win: Tampa Bay (9)
New Orleans Saints (2-4. 1-2 on the road) at San Francisco 49ers (2-4, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: New Orleans beat Atlanta, 22-16; San Francisco lost to New York Giants, 33-15.
The Saints may have won their last 2 games, but they have a long way to go before they can be mentioned as potential NFC South Champions. They hurt their cause by losing to division rivals Tampa Bay and Carolina.San Francisco can't lose the rest of their games, and this one is one they have to win to save face. Plus, quarterback Alex Smith returns this week, and running back Frank Gore is due for a big game. The 49ers are also at home. This one is my "mini-upset" of the week.
Who will win: San Francisco (1)
Washington Redskins (4-2, 1-1 on the road) at New England Patriots (7-0, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Washington beat Arizona,21-19; New England beat Miami, 49-28.
All I can say is this: the Patriots will win, but I don't think it will be by any more than 14 points. This will be the Patriots closest game of the season to this point. Even if the play-calling of 'Skins head coach Joe Gibbs becomes more conservative than a Republican National Convention (and prevents Washington from doing much damage), Washington will still stay in the game. The Redskins just don't look like a team that will get blown out.
Who will win: New England (13)
Monday Night Game
Green Bay Packers (5-1, 2-0 on the road) at Denver Broncos (3-3, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay had the bye week; Denver beat Pittsburgh, 31-28.
This is the week where everyone realizes Green Bay just isn't that good. Yes, Brett Favre is playing like it's 1997, but they have flaws. You've heard the term "strength vs strength"? This one is "weakness vs weakness" - Denver has the league's worst run defense, and Green Bay has the worst rushing offense in football. That means Green Bay won't be able to capitalize on their opponent's soft spot, AND they're playing on the road? I'll take the home team. Maybe a Broncos win will ease the pain of a potential World Series sweep for Mile High fans.
Who will win: Denver (2)
Weeks 1 - 7 : 578 points out of a possible 814 (71%)
Weeks 3 - 7 : 377 points out of a possible 542 (69.6%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 7: 64 wins, 38 losses (69.6%)
Weeks 3 - 7: 46 wins, 26 losses (63.9%)
Anyhow, here are my Week 8 picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 13 means I'm as sure as I can be.
1PM Games
Detroit Lions (4-2, 1-2 on the road) at Chicago Bears (3-4, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Detroit beat Tampa Bay, 23-16; Chicago beat Philadelphia, 19-16.
Detroit may be a legitimate playoff team. At worst, they are the second best team in the NFC North behind the Green Bay Packers. The way to beat the Bears is to pound the football offensively. That isn't a strength of Detroit's, as they have the league's 27th ranked rushing offense. Detroit beat Chicago in Week 4 because they set an NFL record for fourth quarter points with 34. Chicago's defense is a little healthier this time around, and there is no way Detroit will beat Chicago twice in the same season.
Who will win: Chicago (5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2, 1-2 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Pittsburgh lost to Denver, 31-28; Cincinnati beat New York Jets, 38-31.
Pittsburgh entered last week's contest vs Denver with one of the best rushing offenses in football. Denver had great difficulty stopping the run going into the game. For some reason, the Steelers opted to emphasize throwing the football, instead of attacking an obvious weakness. This week, Cincy's run defense is weak as well, so I wouldn't expect Pittsburgh to pass up the opportunity to smash their heated division rival in the mouth. The Bengals have to be considered one of the NFL's most disappointing teams, and head coach Marvin Lewis will need more than a win against the woeful Jets if he wants to keep his job.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (8)
Indianapolis Colts (6-0, 3-0 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-2, 0-2 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis beat Jacksonville, 29-7; Carolina had the bye week.
I have a confession to make: I was hoping against hope that the Colts would slip up against Jacksonville. I should have known better. The Patriots are getting all the publicity, but the Colts are quietly playing like defending Super Bowl champions. Their only Achilles's heel was their run defense in the past, but they're at least competent in that area now. This will be a nice little tune-up for their showdown vs the Patriots next Sunday. Panthers coach John Fox is rumored to be toying with the idea of platooning quarterbacks Vinny Testaverde and David Carr. Testaverde is 43 years old, and Carr has been sacked 33 times in 10 games against the Colts. Look for this game to give him new nightmares.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
Oakland Raiders (2-4, 1-2 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (4-2, 1-1 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Kansas City, 12-10; Tennessee beat Houston, 38-36.
Hear that sound? That's the sound of everyone hitting the ground that was on the Raiders bandwagon. After two straight losses, the Raiders find themselves in the basement of the AFC West. Oakland has had big problems stopping the run. The Titans are looking forward to the return of their evasive quarterback Vince Young. The Titans had their back-up QB in last week, AND they gave up 29 points in the 4th quarter. They escaped with a victory nonetheless. It was one those wins that playoff teams get. Plus, this one's in Nashville.
Who will win: Tennessee (7)
Cleveland Browns (3-3, 0-2 on the road) at St Louis Rams (0-7, 0-3 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland had the bye week; St Louis lost to Seattle, 33-6.
Cleveland looks like all of their young offensive talent is emerging at once. QB Derek Anderson, wide receiver Braylon Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow II are quite the triplets. Running back Jamal Lewis is eying a return to action this week. I know I sound like a broken record, but the Rams would be the worst team in football if not for the Miami Dolphins. Rams QB Marc Bulger returned last week, but threw 3 interceptions and lost two fumbles. Running back Steven Jackson will start, but how effective will he be facing 8-man defensive fronts?
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
New York Giants (5-2, 2-1 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-7, 0-3 at home)
Last Week: New York beat San Francisco, 33-15; Miami lost to New England, 49-28.
I have to get this off my chest: don't feed me all that garbage about this being a great thing for the NFL. It's not. The fact that this game is being played in London, and not in the United States is bogus. I know the NBA became famous world-wide by playing exhibition games overseas, conducting camps and so on. However, the NFL belongs here in America. I always laughed at people who said baseball was America's game, especially when the Yankees and Devil Rays kicked off the 2004 season in Japan. Now, the NFL has exported it's great product. Oh well. I'm probably just being selfish anyway. It's all about making money, and that's what the NFL is trying to do. I guess you can't blame them for that. Miami fans are probably sick of their franchise now anyway, and their best player - running back Ronnie Brown - will miss the rest of the season with an injury. The Giants should roll all over Miami, probably the worst team in the AFC.
Who will win: New York (12)
Philadelphia Eagles (2-4, 1-2 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (2-4, 1-1 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia lost to Chicago, 19-16; Minnesota lost to Dallas, 24-14.
I've arrived at another conclusion this week: the Eagles are not going to be the NFC Champions, as I so foolishly predicted prior to the season. Strictly looking at statistics, it's hard to pinpoint one sore spot: the Eagles are no worse than mediocre in almost all of the major categories. So what are they missing? Leadership? A defining moment? Heart? Whatever it is, the Eagles need to find it, and fast. Their season is slipping away. The Vikings are also 2-4, but have a much more optimistic view of things. Minnesota fans salivate at the thought of rookie sensation running back Adrian Peterson playing for the next 10 years. In this one, beware of the home underdog.
Who will win: Minnesota (3)
4PM Games
Buffalo Bills (2-4, 0-2 on the road) at New York Jets (1-6, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo beat Baltimore, 19-14; New York lost to Cincinnati, 38-31.
Wow, so much for the AFC East being a competitive division. Everyone knew the Dolphins would be bad, but the Jets and Bills had high hopes for 2007. Buffalo's offense hasn't made any noise this season. The Jets and their coach Eric Mangini have to be disappointed with their season as well. Second year player Kellen Clemens will be starting at quarterback, and will look to launch the Jets offense. I think I just clinched the "lamest pun of the year award". Anyway, Both teams are just awful. What more is there to say? I'll go with the home team.
Who will win: New York (4)
Houston Texans (3-4, 1-2 at home) at San Diego Chargers (3-3, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston lost to Tennessee, 38-36; San Diego had the bye last week.
Last week, the Texans made a furious comeback, only to be defeated on the game's last play. The Texans have now lost two straight, and that should be enough to make fans start planning for 2008. Star wide receiver Andre Johnson is still out with an injury, so Houston will once again be without it's best player. Word just broke that the Chargers will be playing this game in San Diego, despite the disastrous brushfires that took place this week. Before their week off, the Chargers look like they were finally flourishing in new coach Norv Turner's system. Look for Turner to feature all-world running back LaDainian Tomlinson and his new toy - wide receiver Chris Chambers.
Who will win: San Diego (10)
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2, 2-0 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-3, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville lost to Indianapolis, 29-7; Tampa Bay lost to Detroit, 23-16.
Jacksonville's starting quarterback - David Garrard - is out with an injury. That means Quinn Gray will get his first career start. Might as well be Dr Quinn, Medicine Woman starting this one. Tampa Bay will key in on running back Maurice Jones-Drew, and Gray won't be able to make them pay.
Who will win: Tampa Bay (9)
New Orleans Saints (2-4. 1-2 on the road) at San Francisco 49ers (2-4, 1-2 at home)
Last Week: New Orleans beat Atlanta, 22-16; San Francisco lost to New York Giants, 33-15.
The Saints may have won their last 2 games, but they have a long way to go before they can be mentioned as potential NFC South Champions. They hurt their cause by losing to division rivals Tampa Bay and Carolina.San Francisco can't lose the rest of their games, and this one is one they have to win to save face. Plus, quarterback Alex Smith returns this week, and running back Frank Gore is due for a big game. The 49ers are also at home. This one is my "mini-upset" of the week.
Who will win: San Francisco (1)
Washington Redskins (4-2, 1-1 on the road) at New England Patriots (7-0, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Washington beat Arizona,21-19; New England beat Miami, 49-28.
All I can say is this: the Patriots will win, but I don't think it will be by any more than 14 points. This will be the Patriots closest game of the season to this point. Even if the play-calling of 'Skins head coach Joe Gibbs becomes more conservative than a Republican National Convention (and prevents Washington from doing much damage), Washington will still stay in the game. The Redskins just don't look like a team that will get blown out.
Who will win: New England (13)
Monday Night Game
Green Bay Packers (5-1, 2-0 on the road) at Denver Broncos (3-3, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay had the bye week; Denver beat Pittsburgh, 31-28.
This is the week where everyone realizes Green Bay just isn't that good. Yes, Brett Favre is playing like it's 1997, but they have flaws. You've heard the term "strength vs strength"? This one is "weakness vs weakness" - Denver has the league's worst run defense, and Green Bay has the worst rushing offense in football. That means Green Bay won't be able to capitalize on their opponent's soft spot, AND they're playing on the road? I'll take the home team. Maybe a Broncos win will ease the pain of a potential World Series sweep for Mile High fans.
Who will win: Denver (2)
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Red Sox/Rockies: 2007 World Series preview
Well, here we are: the last series on the baseball calendar. The Red Sox came storming back from a 3 games to 1 deficit to earn an appearance in the Fall Classic. Meanwhile, the Rockies are hotter than any team in recent memory. However, the Rockies have had 8 off-days in a row. Does that mean they'll be rusty, and fall in their first ever World Series appearance? Time will tell.
Here's a position-by-position breakdown. Postseason totals are in parentheses.
Catcher: Colorado's Yorvit Torrealba (.320 batting average/1 home run/7 runs batted in) vs. Boston's Jason Varitek (.243/1/5)
Torrealba isn't bad with the bat as far as MLB catchers go. The Rockies pitching staff is performing well for the first time in what seems like forever, and he deserves a share of credit for that. However, Torrealba threw out only 15 of 76 would-be base stealers. Jacoby Ellsbury may be able to take steal some more if they can get on base in the right situations. Varitek is vital to the success of the Boston pitching staff. He is perhaps the most knowledgeable catcher in baseball. He has plenty of pop in his bat for the position he plays. With starting pitcher Tim Wakefield injured and off the playoff roster, it's highly likely that back-up catcher Doug Mirabelli won't start any games, making 'Tek that much more important.
Advantage: Boston
First Base: Todd Helton (.154 batting average/0 home runs/1 run bated in) vs. Boston's David Ortiz (.387/3/6)
Helton is still a solid hitter, one who's capable of batting over 300, hitting 25 home runs, and knocking in 100 runs. He just doesn't seem like the player he once was. For whatever reason, he hasn't played like a top 5 player in a while. His postseason struggles can't be too reassuring to Rockies fans. Then again, the team is 7-0, so they probably haven't thought about him too much. Ortiz and Manny Ramirez carried the Red Sox offense at times this October. Everything you look, it seems like at least one of them was on base. Ortiz is arguably the most feared crunch time hitter of his era, on the same level as the Yankees' Derek Jeter. Fans should watch his play at first base. He very seldom plays there during American League games, but will need to do so when the Sox travel to Colorado. With no designated hitter, that will mean either Mike Lowell or Kevin Youkillis will be out of the lineup.
Advantage: Boston
Second Base: Colorado's Kazuo Matsui (.310 average/1 home run/8 runs batted in) vs. Dustin Pedroia (.286/1/6)
Matsui flopped pretty badly when he was with the New York Mets, prompting a trade to the Rockies. While he was unspectacular during the regular season, Matsui did steal 32 bases. During the postseason, Matsui has caught fire, and his a big grand slam vs. the Philies in the divisional around. He is also a key cog in the Rockies great defense. Pedroia hit the rookie wall in April, but hasn't fallen into a prolonged slump since. A victim of bad luck in the first few games vs. Cleveland, Pedroia turned it around quickly and emphatically. In games 5, 6 and 7, he just kept hitting. Pedroia also does a fine job turning the double play, and the Red Sox need for him to get on base for Ortiz and Ramirez.
Advantage: Boston
Shortstop: Troy Tulowitzki (.179 batting average/1 home run/2 runs batted in) vs. Julio Lugo (.229/0/2)
The Rockies' young shortstop got off to a slow start, but ended up being one of the best hitting shortstops in baseball. He hit close to .300, belted 24 home runs, and knocked in 99 runs. Tulowitzki is also sold with the glove, as he committed only 11 errors as a full-time player. Let's just say the Sox would take Tulowitzki over Lugo. Lugo was not the players the Red Sox thought they were getting. For some reason, the Boston front office was infatuated with Lugo, offering a contract that seemed far above his market value. The playoffs have not treated Lugo much better than the regular season did, and he collected just 5 hits in 25 at-bats in the League Championship Series vs. Cleveland. Also, Lugo made what could have been a catastrophic error on a routine pop-up. Then again, maybe he can salvage his season with a strong series.
Advantage: Colorado
Third Base: Garrett Atkins (.185 average/0 home runs/1 run batted in) vs. Mike Lowell (.333/1/11)
Both Atkins and Lowell are great hitting third basemen. They had very similar regular season numbers, with Lowell holding a slight edge in batting average and RBI, and Atkins hitting a few more homers. Lowell is hitting very well right now, and has been the number 5 hitter behind Ortiz and Ramirez that the Red Sox hoped JD Drew would be. Lowell makes opponents pay for pitching around the big sluggers. Plus, Lowell is the better defensive player.
Advantage: Boston
Outfield: Colorado's Matt Holliday (.286/4/7), Willy Taveras (.167/0/1) and Brad Hawpe (.304/0/2) vs. Boston's Manny Ramirez (.400/4/14), Jacoby Ellsbury (.222/0/1) and JD Drew (.306/1/9)
Holliday is a candidate for the National League's Most Valuable Player award. He is one of the game's best hitters. Taveras doesn't offer much pop in his bat, but has great speed, as he stole 33 bases in the regular season. Hawpe rounds out a very good Rockies outfield. Ramirez has been on fire this postseason, and he has a good track record in the World Series - he was MVP in 2004. Ellsbury was on Boston's bench, but Sox skipper Terry Francona finally pulled Coco Crisp, who looked awful in the Cleveland series. The Sox won't lose any speed, and Ellsbury is the center fielder of the future. Drew had an awful regular season. It's been a different story in the playoffs, however, and Drew cracked a grand slam in the first inning of game 6 against Cleveland. Some have called it "The $14 million grand slam". The Sox hope more are on the way.
Advantage: Colorado
Starting Rotation: Josh Beckett, Curt Schilling, Daisuke Matsuzaka and Jon Lester vs. Colorado's Jeff Francis, Ubaldo Jimenez, Josh Fogg and Aaron Cook.
Beckett has cemented his status as a fan favorite in the playoffs. The ALCS MVP has been dominant in three starts, and has Sox fans reminiscing about Roger Clemens and Pedro Martinez. Schilling is arguable the best October pitcher of his era. The old timer still has it, as illustrated in his game 6 outing vs. Cleveland. "DiceK" is the X-factor. Boston fans waiting to see the $103 million pitcher may have to wait a season. In the meantime, Matsuzaka needs to at least keep Boston in the game. Lester would have been used as a long reliever in this series if not for the Tim Wakefield injury. He battles high pitch totals early on, so Boston would be ecstatic to have him last 5-6 quality innings.
Francis won 17 games, but had an ERA over 4. Oh, and he pitched in the National League. Doesn't sound particularly impressive. Still, Colorado will need for Francis to set the tone in Game 1. If Colorado loses Game 1, Jimenez's start will be crucial. While not particularly great in the regular season, he has impressed in the playoffs. Then again, who on the Rockies haven't been? Fogg was basically a .500 pitcher with an ERA hovering around 5 during the season. Cook ended the season on the disabled list, but was activated prior to the Series. He could be an X-factor.
Advantage: Boston
Bullpen: This is one of the tightest categories in this series. Boston has reliable set-up men with Hideki Okajima, Mike Timlin and Manny Delcarmen. Javier Lopez is so-so against lefties, and Kyle Snyder should be regulated to mop-up duty. The Red Sox boast perhaps the best closer in baseball with Jonathan Papelbon. The Rockies' relief corps isn't comprised of slouches, either. In a stark contrast to year's past, Colorado's pitching is not a huge liability. The set-up men are a wash, and while Manny Corpas has been very good at closer, he is not Papelbon.
Advantage: Boston
Bench: Kevin Youkillis will start at first base when the games are at fenway, but will be stuck on the bench because the NL has a no-DH rule, meaning Ortiz will play first. Alex Cora has seen little action as of late. Backup catcher Doug Mirabelli may not make an appearance because Wakefield won't. Coco Crisp was benched due to ineffectiveness, but may still play a role. Bobby Kielty is a solid pinch-hitting option vs. lefties. Colorado's backup catcher Chris Iannetta is in the same boat as Mirabelli.Jamey Caroll is on the roster because of his flexibility. With their outfield, the Rockies won't need back-up outfielders until the late innings in Colorado.
Advantage: Boston
Prediction: Can the Rockies be stopped? Are they destined for their first World Series title? I think so much hinges on the first game. If Becket shuts down the Rockies bats and Boston wins, that could kill Colorado's morale. They will remember what it is like to lose. If you look at the starting pitching match-ups, the Sox are favorites. Plus, good pitching always beats good hitting, The 2004 St Louis Cardinals had a similar batting order to the one Colorado will feature, and they only mustered 12 runs in a 4-game sweep. The Rockies will make it a contest, but the Sox will prevail.
Boston in 6 games
Here's a position-by-position breakdown. Postseason totals are in parentheses.
Catcher: Colorado's Yorvit Torrealba (.320 batting average/1 home run/7 runs batted in) vs. Boston's Jason Varitek (.243/1/5)
Torrealba isn't bad with the bat as far as MLB catchers go. The Rockies pitching staff is performing well for the first time in what seems like forever, and he deserves a share of credit for that. However, Torrealba threw out only 15 of 76 would-be base stealers. Jacoby Ellsbury may be able to take steal some more if they can get on base in the right situations. Varitek is vital to the success of the Boston pitching staff. He is perhaps the most knowledgeable catcher in baseball. He has plenty of pop in his bat for the position he plays. With starting pitcher Tim Wakefield injured and off the playoff roster, it's highly likely that back-up catcher Doug Mirabelli won't start any games, making 'Tek that much more important.
Advantage: Boston
First Base: Todd Helton (.154 batting average/0 home runs/1 run bated in) vs. Boston's David Ortiz (.387/3/6)
Helton is still a solid hitter, one who's capable of batting over 300, hitting 25 home runs, and knocking in 100 runs. He just doesn't seem like the player he once was. For whatever reason, he hasn't played like a top 5 player in a while. His postseason struggles can't be too reassuring to Rockies fans. Then again, the team is 7-0, so they probably haven't thought about him too much. Ortiz and Manny Ramirez carried the Red Sox offense at times this October. Everything you look, it seems like at least one of them was on base. Ortiz is arguably the most feared crunch time hitter of his era, on the same level as the Yankees' Derek Jeter. Fans should watch his play at first base. He very seldom plays there during American League games, but will need to do so when the Sox travel to Colorado. With no designated hitter, that will mean either Mike Lowell or Kevin Youkillis will be out of the lineup.
Advantage: Boston
Second Base: Colorado's Kazuo Matsui (.310 average/1 home run/8 runs batted in) vs. Dustin Pedroia (.286/1/6)
Matsui flopped pretty badly when he was with the New York Mets, prompting a trade to the Rockies. While he was unspectacular during the regular season, Matsui did steal 32 bases. During the postseason, Matsui has caught fire, and his a big grand slam vs. the Philies in the divisional around. He is also a key cog in the Rockies great defense. Pedroia hit the rookie wall in April, but hasn't fallen into a prolonged slump since. A victim of bad luck in the first few games vs. Cleveland, Pedroia turned it around quickly and emphatically. In games 5, 6 and 7, he just kept hitting. Pedroia also does a fine job turning the double play, and the Red Sox need for him to get on base for Ortiz and Ramirez.
Advantage: Boston
Shortstop: Troy Tulowitzki (.179 batting average/1 home run/2 runs batted in) vs. Julio Lugo (.229/0/2)
The Rockies' young shortstop got off to a slow start, but ended up being one of the best hitting shortstops in baseball. He hit close to .300, belted 24 home runs, and knocked in 99 runs. Tulowitzki is also sold with the glove, as he committed only 11 errors as a full-time player. Let's just say the Sox would take Tulowitzki over Lugo. Lugo was not the players the Red Sox thought they were getting. For some reason, the Boston front office was infatuated with Lugo, offering a contract that seemed far above his market value. The playoffs have not treated Lugo much better than the regular season did, and he collected just 5 hits in 25 at-bats in the League Championship Series vs. Cleveland. Also, Lugo made what could have been a catastrophic error on a routine pop-up. Then again, maybe he can salvage his season with a strong series.
Advantage: Colorado
Third Base: Garrett Atkins (.185 average/0 home runs/1 run batted in) vs. Mike Lowell (.333/1/11)
Both Atkins and Lowell are great hitting third basemen. They had very similar regular season numbers, with Lowell holding a slight edge in batting average and RBI, and Atkins hitting a few more homers. Lowell is hitting very well right now, and has been the number 5 hitter behind Ortiz and Ramirez that the Red Sox hoped JD Drew would be. Lowell makes opponents pay for pitching around the big sluggers. Plus, Lowell is the better defensive player.
Advantage: Boston
Outfield: Colorado's Matt Holliday (.286/4/7), Willy Taveras (.167/0/1) and Brad Hawpe (.304/0/2) vs. Boston's Manny Ramirez (.400/4/14), Jacoby Ellsbury (.222/0/1) and JD Drew (.306/1/9)
Holliday is a candidate for the National League's Most Valuable Player award. He is one of the game's best hitters. Taveras doesn't offer much pop in his bat, but has great speed, as he stole 33 bases in the regular season. Hawpe rounds out a very good Rockies outfield. Ramirez has been on fire this postseason, and he has a good track record in the World Series - he was MVP in 2004. Ellsbury was on Boston's bench, but Sox skipper Terry Francona finally pulled Coco Crisp, who looked awful in the Cleveland series. The Sox won't lose any speed, and Ellsbury is the center fielder of the future. Drew had an awful regular season. It's been a different story in the playoffs, however, and Drew cracked a grand slam in the first inning of game 6 against Cleveland. Some have called it "The $14 million grand slam". The Sox hope more are on the way.
Advantage: Colorado
Starting Rotation: Josh Beckett, Curt Schilling, Daisuke Matsuzaka and Jon Lester vs. Colorado's Jeff Francis, Ubaldo Jimenez, Josh Fogg and Aaron Cook.
Beckett has cemented his status as a fan favorite in the playoffs. The ALCS MVP has been dominant in three starts, and has Sox fans reminiscing about Roger Clemens and Pedro Martinez. Schilling is arguable the best October pitcher of his era. The old timer still has it, as illustrated in his game 6 outing vs. Cleveland. "DiceK" is the X-factor. Boston fans waiting to see the $103 million pitcher may have to wait a season. In the meantime, Matsuzaka needs to at least keep Boston in the game. Lester would have been used as a long reliever in this series if not for the Tim Wakefield injury. He battles high pitch totals early on, so Boston would be ecstatic to have him last 5-6 quality innings.
Francis won 17 games, but had an ERA over 4. Oh, and he pitched in the National League. Doesn't sound particularly impressive. Still, Colorado will need for Francis to set the tone in Game 1. If Colorado loses Game 1, Jimenez's start will be crucial. While not particularly great in the regular season, he has impressed in the playoffs. Then again, who on the Rockies haven't been? Fogg was basically a .500 pitcher with an ERA hovering around 5 during the season. Cook ended the season on the disabled list, but was activated prior to the Series. He could be an X-factor.
Advantage: Boston
Bullpen: This is one of the tightest categories in this series. Boston has reliable set-up men with Hideki Okajima, Mike Timlin and Manny Delcarmen. Javier Lopez is so-so against lefties, and Kyle Snyder should be regulated to mop-up duty. The Red Sox boast perhaps the best closer in baseball with Jonathan Papelbon. The Rockies' relief corps isn't comprised of slouches, either. In a stark contrast to year's past, Colorado's pitching is not a huge liability. The set-up men are a wash, and while Manny Corpas has been very good at closer, he is not Papelbon.
Advantage: Boston
Bench: Kevin Youkillis will start at first base when the games are at fenway, but will be stuck on the bench because the NL has a no-DH rule, meaning Ortiz will play first. Alex Cora has seen little action as of late. Backup catcher Doug Mirabelli may not make an appearance because Wakefield won't. Coco Crisp was benched due to ineffectiveness, but may still play a role. Bobby Kielty is a solid pinch-hitting option vs. lefties. Colorado's backup catcher Chris Iannetta is in the same boat as Mirabelli.Jamey Caroll is on the roster because of his flexibility. With their outfield, the Rockies won't need back-up outfielders until the late innings in Colorado.
Advantage: Boston
Prediction: Can the Rockies be stopped? Are they destined for their first World Series title? I think so much hinges on the first game. If Becket shuts down the Rockies bats and Boston wins, that could kill Colorado's morale. They will remember what it is like to lose. If you look at the starting pitching match-ups, the Sox are favorites. Plus, good pitching always beats good hitting, The 2004 St Louis Cardinals had a similar batting order to the one Colorado will feature, and they only mustered 12 runs in a 4-game sweep. The Rockies will make it a contest, but the Sox will prevail.
Boston in 6 games
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