Here is a game-by-game breakdown of the Week 4 contests. Like last week, I'll choose the winner, along with a corresponding 'confidence rating' in parentheses (1 being least confident, 14 being the most confident). Don't agree with my picks? Think I'm a complete idiot? Just leave your predictions before 1PM tomorrow. If you beat me, then I'll tip my hat and call you my daddy.
Last week: 10 wins, 6 losses. 88 points out of a possible 136.
On to the Week 4 slate of action:
1PM Games
Green Bay Packers (3-0 overall; 1-0 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (1-2; 1-0 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay beat San Diego, 31-24; Minnesota lost 13-10 vs Kansas City
How the Packers win: Brett Favre continues to be an excellent game-manager, and refrains from reverting to his old gun-slinging mentality. As long as the team wins, it doesn't look like he's going to have a problem taking what the defense gives him.
How the Vikings win: By giving their defense a little help. Minnesota has allowed only 12 points per game, good for 4th in the NFL. If QB Kelly Holcomb and his offense can avoid the costly turnovers, Minnesota may have a chance.
Who will win: Green Bay (3)
Houston Texans (2-1; 1-0 on the road) at Atlanta Falcons (0-3; 0-1 at home)
Last week: Houston lost 30-24 to Indianapolis; Atlanta lost 27-20 to Carolina
How the Texans win: By pounding the ball against the league's 26th ranked run defense. Even without superstar receiver Andre Johnson, the Texans hung tough against the defending Super Bowl champions. The Falcons are still a mess.
How the Falcons win: Maybe the Texans' team bus breaks down on its way to the stadium, forcing a forfeit?
Who will win: Houston (6)
New York Jets (1-2; 0-1 on the road) at Buffalo Bills (0-3; 0-1 at home)
Last Week: New York beat Miami, 31-28; Buffalo lost 38-7 to New England
How the Jets win: They wear down the Bills by letting running back Thomas Jones get in the flow of the game early. He was the workhorse last week, getting 110 yards on 25 carries.
How the Bills win: Buffalo has one of the better special teams units in football, and with return ace Terrence McGee back this week, they might get a spark from him. Unfortunately, I won't have JP Losman to kick around this week, as he's out with a knee injury. The Bills are looking at a potential 2-win season. They need this win if they have any thoughts on winning more than that.
Who will win: Buffalo (1)
Baltimore Ravens (2-1; 0-1 on the road) at Cleveland Browns (1-2; 1-1 at home)
Last week: Baltimore beat Arizona, 26-23; Cleveland lost 26-24 to Oakland
How the Ravens win: By showing the league they were right about former teammate Jamal Lewis. The Ravens front office felt secure enough to let their old running back leave for a team in the same division. And you know Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and company are anxious to redeem themselves after last week's shaky performance.
How the Browns win: Copying the blueprint laid out by the Cardinals' passing game last week. QB Derrick Anderson has been pretty solid this year. Then again, when you lose to a team that was riding an 11-game losing streak like Cleveland did ...
Who will win: Baltimore (9)
St Louis Rams (0-3; 0-1 on the road) at Dallas Cowboys (3-0; 1-0 at home)
Last week: St Louis lost 24-3 to Tampa Bay; Dallas beat Chicago, 34-10
How the Rams win: Oh, running back Steven Jackson is out? They're 29th in the league in scoring? 28th in defending the run? Ummm, well .... moving forward ...
How the Cowboys win: By continuing to assert themselves as the dominant team in the NFC. It is early, but Dallas has to be considered the class of the conference right now.
Who will win: Dallas (11)
Chicago Bears (1-2; 0-1 on the road) at Detroit Lions (2-1; 1-0 at home)
Last week: Chicago lost 34-10 to Dallas; Detroit lost 56-21 to Philadelphia
How the Bears win: I don't understand why Chicago didn't start Brian Griese at quarterback sooner. This guy has won a championship before. OK, so that was with the University of Michigan Wolverines in 1997. There's still a reason why the team went with him instead of Rex Grossman. His 104-80 touchdown:interception ratio is pretty solid. Also, it's time for running back Cedric Benson to put up or shut up. He wanted the full-time job. He has it now.
How the Lions win: Whenever you give up 56 points, you know your defense took an early bye week. They shouldn't be as over matched this week. On the other side of the ball, Detroit will look to capitalize against an injury-ravaged Bears defense.
Who will win: Chicago (8)
Oakland Raiders (1-2; 0-1 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-3; 0-1 at home)
Last week: Oakland beat Cleveland, 26-24; Miami lost 31-28 to New York
How the Raiders win: They keep doing what they've been doing in terms of running the football. Lamont Jordan is finally showing people why Oakland signed him in the first place. They should have a favorable match-up this week, as Miami enters the contest with the league's 29th ranked run defense.
How the Dolphins win: Running back Ronnie Brown shows his sophomore jinx is fully behind him, and building off last week's great effort against the Jets. Over the past few seasons, the team's defense has been a source of pride. Nowadays, they are showing signs of age. If they want to compete, they'll need to show they are capable of getting key stops. In a match-up of bad teams, I usually like the one playing at home.
Who will win: Miami (5)
4PM Games
Seattle Seahawks (2-1; 0-1 on the road) at San Francisco 49ers (2-1; 1-0 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat Cincinnati, 24-21; San Francisco lost 37-16 to Pittsburgh
How the Seahawks win: By shoring up the league's 30th ranked pass defense. Seattle will also need to show they are still the kings of the NFC West. This could be a statement game. The 49ers are shooting high this year, and it starts with overtaking Seattle in the division.
How the 49ers win: Hope running back Frank Gore snaps out of his early season funk. Seattle's defense may be just what the doctor ordered. In 2 meetings last year, Gore burned the Seahawks for 356 rushing yards on 53 carries (6.7 yards per attempt).
Who will win: San Francisco (2)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1; 0-1 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (2-1; 0-1 at home)
Last week: Tampa Bay beat St Louis, 24-3; Carolina beat Atlanta, 27-20
How the Bucs win: A defense left for dead continues its revival. This team is starting to look like it could surprise some people. QB Jeff Garcia is playing mistake-free football and completing a high percentage of his passes in the west coast offense.
How the Panthers win: DeShaun Foster builds off of last week's strong outing. Jake Delhomme just needs to avoid the devastating turnover, and this team could be very tough to stop. With Atlanta pretty much dead and New Orleans well on their way, this could end up being a crucial game in the NFC South picture.
Who will win: Carolina (4)
Arizona Cardinals (1-2; 0-2 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0; 2-0 at home)
Last Week: Arizona lost 26-23 to Baltimore; Pittsburgh beat San Francisco, 37-16
How the Cardinals win: They continue to get the ball into the hands of star wide receivers Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald. The duo combined for 19 catches and 266 yards last week. They should have more opportunities this week against an aggressive Pittsburgh defense.
How the Steelers win: Pittsburgh just needs to keep doing what they've been doing. The Steel Curtain has only yielded 26 points this season, the best in the NFL. On offense, Ben Roethlisberger has thrown just one interception, and he has the league's best ground game to support him.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (13)
Kansas City Chiefs (1-2; 0-2 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (1-2; 1-0 at home)
Last Week: Kansas City beat Minnesota, 13-10; San Diego lost to Green Bay, 31-24
How the Chiefs win: Yep, this season has 'rebuilding' all over it. Running back Larry Johnson amassed only 42 yards last week on the ground. If he doesn't improve upon that total, don't expect the Chiefs to win again this week.
How the Chargers win: You ever see the movie 'Space Jam'? Well, these aliens steal the talent of 5 NBA players. I'm starting to think the same thing happened to LaDainian Tomlinson. How else can you explain his meager 2.3 yards per rushing attempt? Then again, maybe it's the fact the Chargers don't have any weapons outside of LDT and tight end Antonio Gates. One or the other. Either way, both will need to carry this team. If they don't win this week at home against a bad Chiefs team, I'm officially off the bandwagon.
Who will win: San Diego (10)
Denver Broncos (2-1; 1-0 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (3-0; 1-0 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Jacksonville, 23-14; Indianapolis beat Houston, 30-24
How the Broncos win: They put together a complete team effort. Sometimes the running game has been great. Sometimes QB Jay Cutler has been great. Sometimes the defense has been great. The Broncos will need to be clicking on all cylinders to stay with the Colts.
How the Colts win: QB Peyton Manning exploits the mismatches presented to him. Has that ever been a problem for him? A better question: do you remember the last time the Colts lost before Week 6? It was 2004. Basically, this team is always on fire to start the season.
Who will win: Indianapolis (12)
Sunday Night Game
Philadelphia Eagles (1-2; 0-1 on the road) at New York Giants (1-2; 0-1 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia beat Detroit, 56-21; New York beat Washington, 24-17
How the Eagles win: While they shouldn't need another 56 points, the Eagles will need to demonstrate the ability to produce on a consistent basis. That starts this week vs the Giants, who have given up 97 points, the 3rd highest total in the NFL. Balance on offense - not always a staple of coach Andy Reid - is vital for this team to succeed.
How the Giants win: They finally stop some people on defense. Derrick Ward has done a solid job filling in for an injured Brandon Jaccobs at running back. He'll need to continue that this week. The loser of this match-up will find it very difficult to get back into the NFC East race.
Who will win: Philadelphia (7)
Monday Night Game
New England Patriots (3-0; 1-0 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2; 1-0 at home)
Last week: New England beat Buffalo, 38-7; Cincinnati lost to Seattle, 24-21
How the Bengals win: Their best chance may be winning a shootout. Ideally, they'd like to grind it out on the ground with Rudi Johnson, but he's out with a bad hamstring. The defense will have to find a way to disrupt the Patriots passing game, whether it be putting pressure on Tom Brady, or mixing up their coverages.
How the Patriots win: Well, the Bengals are ranked 27th in both rushing and pass defense, so the Patriots should be able to dictate the pace of the game. I'd look for them to spread out the Bengals early, and let Brady pick apart their sub par secondary. Also, Cincinnati's kick and punt coverage units have gotten off to a bad start, so this may be a week where Wes Welker or Ellis Hobbs makes a big play.
Who will win: New England (14)
Saturday, September 29, 2007
Thursday, September 27, 2007
Watching Greatness (Online Magazine article for class)
Watching Greatness: The links between the Patriots of today and a dynasty from the past are only growing stronger.
If you've followed the Patriots since 2001, odds are that you've heard the following: "Tom Brady is this generation's Joe Montana." There have been other comparisons, too.
They're both defined as being cool under pressure. Montana won 4 Super Bowls with the San Francisco 49ers in the 80's, while getting named MVP in 3 of those. Brady won 3, getting 2 game MVP's. Both had success at an early age. Both have been accused by critics as being 'system quarterbacks'. Again, all that's been said.
However, as the 2007 Patriots continue to dispatch opponents with ease, the question has to be asked: Just what other similarities are there between the 49ers of then and the Patriots of this millennium?
The 49ers became kings of the NFL in the 1980's. But it sure didn't look like it would be that way early on. How rough was the outlook? In the 2005 best seller "The Blind Side: Evolution of a Game", Bill Walsh revealed to author Michael Lewis that he was set to retire after the 1981 seasons. Walsh was convinced the franchise could not be turned around. Thankfully, the team went on to win the Super Bowl that season, and the rest is history.
Belichick may be regarded as the best coach in the NFL now, but he too was on the hot seat in 2001. After starting 0-2 in Belichick's second season in Foxboro – after a 5-11 season - Patriots fans were getting anxious. Luckily, a young QB by the name of Tom Brady won his first NFL start, and hasn't stopped winning since.
Speaking of Brady, the Patriots finally managed to team him with a weapon that is on his level: wide receiver Randy Moss. As a result, the veteran signall caller is on pace to set new career highs in every major passing category. He's already played at a Hall of Fame level without great skill players around him; now we're seeing what he can do with great skill players around him. It kind of reminds me of another duo. Before the 1985 season kicked off, Joe Montana had already won 2 Super Bowls. In the draft, the 49ers selected a receiver from tiny Mississippi Valley State. Maybe you've heard of him? He went by the name of Jerry Rice. Rice would team with Montana to make the west coast offense a thing of beauty.
The old saying goes, “imitation is the sincerest form of flattery’”. It’s no different in the NFL, where teams copy others’ blueprints for success. The famous “Bill Walsh Coaching Tree” illustrates this point, as several of Walsh’s understudies have gone on to became prominent head coaches themselves. The list includes Super Bowl winning coaches Mike Holmgren, Brian Billick, Tony Dungy, George Seifert and Mike Shanahan. Belichick? His tree doesn’t branch out nearly as much, but other NFL franchises and Universities have certainly taken notice, and will continue to do so. Long-time Belichick disciples Romeo Crennel and Eric Mangini have head coaching jobs in the league. Nick Saban, Charlie Weis, Al Groh and Pat Hill have been successful at the college ranks.
A great team isn’t nearly as fun to watch unless they have an opponent who is a perennial challenger. In the 1980’s, the New York Giants were one of the few teams that could contain Bill Walsh’s high-octane offense. Their physicality and ‘tough-guy’ demeanor of coach Bill Parcells made them the prefect contrast to San Francisco’s creativity and the intellect of Walsh. The teams would meet 5 times in the NFL playoffs, with the winner usually going on to win the Super Bowl.
You would have to be living under a rock to not realize that the Patriots’ chief rival is the Indianapolis Colts. The disdain the two teams have for each other can be felt from the front office down to the equipment guys. The Colts think the Patriots are a bunch of bullying, dirty players that bend the rules to win games. Many Patriots players and fans feel like the Colts are an organization full of whinny, finesse offensive stars. Sound familiar?
Win or lose, the NFL hasn’t seen an organization like the New England Patriots since the 49ers were kings of the league two decades ago.
If you've followed the Patriots since 2001, odds are that you've heard the following: "Tom Brady is this generation's Joe Montana." There have been other comparisons, too.
They're both defined as being cool under pressure. Montana won 4 Super Bowls with the San Francisco 49ers in the 80's, while getting named MVP in 3 of those. Brady won 3, getting 2 game MVP's. Both had success at an early age. Both have been accused by critics as being 'system quarterbacks'. Again, all that's been said.
However, as the 2007 Patriots continue to dispatch opponents with ease, the question has to be asked: Just what other similarities are there between the 49ers of then and the Patriots of this millennium?
The 49ers became kings of the NFL in the 1980's. But it sure didn't look like it would be that way early on. How rough was the outlook? In the 2005 best seller "The Blind Side: Evolution of a Game", Bill Walsh revealed to author Michael Lewis that he was set to retire after the 1981 seasons. Walsh was convinced the franchise could not be turned around. Thankfully, the team went on to win the Super Bowl that season, and the rest is history.
Belichick may be regarded as the best coach in the NFL now, but he too was on the hot seat in 2001. After starting 0-2 in Belichick's second season in Foxboro – after a 5-11 season - Patriots fans were getting anxious. Luckily, a young QB by the name of Tom Brady won his first NFL start, and hasn't stopped winning since.
Speaking of Brady, the Patriots finally managed to team him with a weapon that is on his level: wide receiver Randy Moss. As a result, the veteran signall caller is on pace to set new career highs in every major passing category. He's already played at a Hall of Fame level without great skill players around him; now we're seeing what he can do with great skill players around him. It kind of reminds me of another duo. Before the 1985 season kicked off, Joe Montana had already won 2 Super Bowls. In the draft, the 49ers selected a receiver from tiny Mississippi Valley State. Maybe you've heard of him? He went by the name of Jerry Rice. Rice would team with Montana to make the west coast offense a thing of beauty.
The old saying goes, “imitation is the sincerest form of flattery’”. It’s no different in the NFL, where teams copy others’ blueprints for success. The famous “Bill Walsh Coaching Tree” illustrates this point, as several of Walsh’s understudies have gone on to became prominent head coaches themselves. The list includes Super Bowl winning coaches Mike Holmgren, Brian Billick, Tony Dungy, George Seifert and Mike Shanahan. Belichick? His tree doesn’t branch out nearly as much, but other NFL franchises and Universities have certainly taken notice, and will continue to do so. Long-time Belichick disciples Romeo Crennel and Eric Mangini have head coaching jobs in the league. Nick Saban, Charlie Weis, Al Groh and Pat Hill have been successful at the college ranks.
A great team isn’t nearly as fun to watch unless they have an opponent who is a perennial challenger. In the 1980’s, the New York Giants were one of the few teams that could contain Bill Walsh’s high-octane offense. Their physicality and ‘tough-guy’ demeanor of coach Bill Parcells made them the prefect contrast to San Francisco’s creativity and the intellect of Walsh. The teams would meet 5 times in the NFL playoffs, with the winner usually going on to win the Super Bowl.
You would have to be living under a rock to not realize that the Patriots’ chief rival is the Indianapolis Colts. The disdain the two teams have for each other can be felt from the front office down to the equipment guys. The Colts think the Patriots are a bunch of bullying, dirty players that bend the rules to win games. Many Patriots players and fans feel like the Colts are an organization full of whinny, finesse offensive stars. Sound familiar?
Win or lose, the NFL hasn’t seen an organization like the New England Patriots since the 49ers were kings of the league two decades ago.
Sunday, September 23, 2007
Week 3 in the NFL
Hello there. If you're reading this, I thank you for taking the time out of your busy day. I'm doing this for a college course, and I figured that if I have to do a blog, I might as well write about something I like.
Here are my Week 3 NFL predictions. Just remember: this is the NFL, where anything can happen. I'm not an expert, but everyone is chiming in, so why not me? I chose each winner, and rated them 1-16, 16 meaning I am most certain they will win, 1 being the least certain. The ratings are in parentheses. Thanks and
enjoy a great weekend of NFL action!
Indianapolis Colts (2-0) at Houston Texans (2-0), 1PM
How the Colts win: Keep Mario Williams and the Houston pass rush away from Peyton Manning. As much criticism as the Texans offensive line has taken over the years, the defensive line has been just as inept, failing to pressure the opposing quarterback. They are off to a good start this year, however, with 6 sacks in the first two games.
How the Texans win: Pound Ahmad Green early and often to set up the play-action with Andre Johnson. Wait ... "Andre Johnson is not working through that door folks!" Houston will have to hope cornerbacks Dunta Robinson and Demarcus Faggins can contain Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne in single coverage.
Who will win: Indianapolis (15)
Buffalo Bills (0-2) at New England Patriots (2-0), 1PM
How the Bills win: Use their speed on defense to make it difficult on New England's blocking schemes, and hope Lee Evans can make 2-3 big plays.
How the Patriots win: Pressure JP Losman into looking like, well, the average JP Losman. Also, running the ball early and often will wear down the Bills' undersized defensive line.
Who will win: New England (16)
Miami Dolphins (0-2) at the New York Jets (0-2), 1PM
How the Dolphins win: Ronnie Brown breaks out with a huge performance, and put 8 men in the box to force a hobbled Chad Pennington to beat them.
How the Jets win: Usually, the Jets hold an advantage with return ace Justin Miller. However, he is now out for the year. The Jets will need big runs after the catch from Jerricho Cotchery and Laverneus Coles. Then again, at least they're playing at home.
Who will win: New York (2)
Detroit Lions (2-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-2), 1PM
How the Lions win: John Kitna makes the right decisions in the face of Eagles defensive coordinator Jimmy Johnson's blitzes.
How the Eagles win: Because they can ill-afford to start out 0-3. The fans and media will not tolerate it from a team that was expected to challenge for the NFC title. This is a must-win game for Philadelphia. Look for heavy doses of running back Brian Westbrook.
Who will win: Philadelphia (12)
San Francisco 49ers (2-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0), 1PM
How the 49ers win: Running back Frank Gore tops 100 yards (not an easy task against the Steel Curtain). Quarterback Alex Smith and the passing game finally click. This team is 2 bonehead plays from its opponents away from being 0-2.
How the Steelers win: Don't look now, but Pittsburgh may be returning to their 2004-2005 form, with a strong running game, hard-nosed defense and an opportunistic offense. BenRoethlisberger looks like he is ready to again lead this team deep into the postseason. Look for him to air it out, mixing in Willie Parker and the 2nd best running game along the way.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (11)
St Louis Rams (0-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1), 1PM
How the Rams win: The real Steven Jackson shows up and breaks the 100-yard barrier. This will be even more crucial with Mark Bulger banged up, and future hall of fame left tackle Orlando Pace out for the season. This is another team that doesn't want to be in an 0-3 hole when they were expected to compete for a division title.
How the Bucs win: RB Cadillac Williams continues his resurgence, and the offense of John Gruden matches his salary. The Bucs defense - which often looked old and slow in '06 - yielded just 14 points to the high-powered Saints last week.
Who will win: St Louis (3)
San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Green Bay Packers (2-0), 1PM
How the Chargers win: LaDainian Tomlinson shows us why he's on Nike commercials in the first place. One of San Diego's receivers - whether it be Vincent Jackson or Malcolm Floyd - need to step up so opposing defenses are forced to focus on someone other than LDT and all-world Tight End Antonio Gates. San Diego has a strong veteran presence, and they should be rearing to go after getting embarrassed in front of a national audience.
How the Packers win: They keep Shawn Merriman and the Chargers pass rush out of their backfield, giving a revitalized Brett Favre time in the pocket.
Who will win: San Diego (14)
Arizona Cardinals (1-1) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1), 1PM
How the Cardinals win: Continue to protect Quarterback Matt Leinart. New coach Ken Whisenhunt has emphasized the running game more, along with quicker passes. If wideouts Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin get one-on-one match ups, the Cards could capitalize.
How the Ravens win: Offseason acquisition Willis McGahee takes the load off of a shaky passing game. Head coach and self-proclaimed offensive genius Brian Billick needs to find a way to get the ball in the hands of playmakers Todd Heap and Derrick Mason as well.
Who will win: Baltimore (8)
Minnesota Vikings (1-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-2), 1PM
How the Vikings win: The backfield tandem of Chester Taylor and Adrian Peterson get 35-40 carries. Whether it's Tavaris Jackson or Brooks Bollinger, the Vikes will need to improve on their 25th ranked passing game. On the other side of the ball, Minnesota's 6th ranked run defense will need to contain Chiefs RB Larry Johnson.
How the Chiefs win: KC is actually quite similar to Minnesota, as the Chiefs need more firepower on offense once you get past LJ and aging tight end Tony Gonzalez. Still, Arrowhead Stadium remains one of the toughest places for a visiting team.
Who will win: Kansas City (1)
Cleveland (1-1) at Oakland (0-2), 4PM
How the Browns win: Their chances would be a lot better if they could carry over some of the 51 points they tallied last weekend. If youngsters Kellen Winslow II and Braylon Edwards progress, and running back Jamal Lewis turns back the clock, Cleveland may not be as doomed as everyone thought.
How the Raiders win: It seems as though coach Lane Kiffin's squad has performed a complete 180 from last year. An offense that topped 20 points only four times last year has done it in both of their first two games. However, the defense has given up an average of 30 points, after only letting up 20 points per contest last season. They could easily be 2-0. If the defense doesn't get put into poor field position, it would be difficult for the Browns to drive the length of the field.
Who will win: Cleveland (5)
Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1), 4PM
How the Bengals win: The defensive backs actually cover skill players, unlike last week's effort. The Seattle defense is fast, but somewhat undersized, so look for Rudi Johnson to pound them early.
How the Seahawks win: If Jamal Lewis was able to top 200 yards against the Bengals, you'd have to think Seattle RB Shaun Alexander is chomping at the bit to carry the ball. Look for MikeHolmgren to feature him early and often. Plus, the Seahawks enjoy possibly the best home field advantage in all of football.
Who will win: Seattle (6)
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at Denver Broncos (2-0), 4PM
How the Jaguars win: QB David Garrard shows why coach Jack Del Rio was confident enough to cut former 1st round pick Byron Leftwich, handing the job to Garrard. Oh, and big days from Fred Taylor and mighty mite Maurice Jones-Drew wouldn't hurt either.
How the Broncos win: Travis Henry continues to assert himself on the ground, and the stifling Broncos pass defense smothers Jacksonville's pedestrian receivers.
Who will win: Denver (7)
Carolina Panthers (1-1) at Atlanta Falcons (0-2), 4PM
How the Panthers win: Receiver Steve Smith wins his one-on-one match up vs cornerback DeAngelo Hall. Both are top 5 players their respective positions. The Panthers menacing front four on defense could have a field day vs the Falcons,
who have allowed 13 sacks in their first two games. 13 is actually a higher number than the total amount of points Atlanta has put up this season (10).
How the Falcons win: Ummm ... Hope Michael Vick is allowed back?
Who will win: Carolina (13)
New York Giants (0-2) at Washington Redskins (2-0), 4PM
How the Giants win: They tighten up a defensive unit that has allowed 80 points in their first two games. Unless Lawrence Taylor and Bill Belichick come back, New York may be out of luck.
How the Redskins win: By continuing to play classic Joe Gibbs football: solid running game, stingy defense, and an opportunistic passing attack. That surprising win in Philadelphia may not have been a fluke. Look for the 'skins to challenge for the NFC East title.
Who will win: Washington (9)
Dallas Cowboys (2-0) at Chicago Bears (1-1), 8:15 PM
How the Cowboys win: The young, highly touted and unproven defense lives up to it's billing. The offense has done its part, tallying 82 points so far. If they can pressure Bears QB Rex Grossman, he could make some of his patented bad decisions.
How the Bears win: Speaking of Rex, he is the key to almost all Bears contests. When he's good, the Bears are pretty much unstoppable with their defense. When he's bad, he can give away points to the other team. If Cedric Benson shows he's capable of being a full-time back and the receivers make 1-2 big plays, the Bears will be in good shape.
Who will win: Dallas (4)
Tennessee Titans (1-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-2), 8:30 PM (Monday Night)
How the Titans win: They continue their dominant ground game. QB Vince Young and Co. are leading the NFL with 211.5 rushing yards per contest. On defense, the Titans will look to keep the Saints in their early season rut.
How the Saints win: By attacking the field vertically. Unlike last season where they had quick-scoring drives, the Saints have averaged a pathetic 5.3 yards per attempt, tied for last in the league. Look for them to emphasize the run a bit more with DeuceMcCallister and Reggie Bush, then try to get a favorable match up with speedster Devery Henderson.
Who will win: New Orleans (10)
Thanks and hope you come back soon.
Feel free to leave comments and/or CONSTRUCTIVE criticism.
Here are my Week 3 NFL predictions. Just remember: this is the NFL, where anything can happen. I'm not an expert, but everyone is chiming in, so why not me? I chose each winner, and rated them 1-16, 16 meaning I am most certain they will win, 1 being the least certain. The ratings are in parentheses. Thanks and
enjoy a great weekend of NFL action!
Indianapolis Colts (2-0) at Houston Texans (2-0), 1PM
How the Colts win: Keep Mario Williams and the Houston pass rush away from Peyton Manning. As much criticism as the Texans offensive line has taken over the years, the defensive line has been just as inept, failing to pressure the opposing quarterback. They are off to a good start this year, however, with 6 sacks in the first two games.
How the Texans win: Pound Ahmad Green early and often to set up the play-action with Andre Johnson. Wait ... "Andre Johnson is not working through that door folks!" Houston will have to hope cornerbacks Dunta Robinson and Demarcus Faggins can contain Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne in single coverage.
Who will win: Indianapolis (15)
Buffalo Bills (0-2) at New England Patriots (2-0), 1PM
How the Bills win: Use their speed on defense to make it difficult on New England's blocking schemes, and hope Lee Evans can make 2-3 big plays.
How the Patriots win: Pressure JP Losman into looking like, well, the average JP Losman. Also, running the ball early and often will wear down the Bills' undersized defensive line.
Who will win: New England (16)
Miami Dolphins (0-2) at the New York Jets (0-2), 1PM
How the Dolphins win: Ronnie Brown breaks out with a huge performance, and put 8 men in the box to force a hobbled Chad Pennington to beat them.
How the Jets win: Usually, the Jets hold an advantage with return ace Justin Miller. However, he is now out for the year. The Jets will need big runs after the catch from Jerricho Cotchery and Laverneus Coles. Then again, at least they're playing at home.
Who will win: New York (2)
Detroit Lions (2-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-2), 1PM
How the Lions win: John Kitna makes the right decisions in the face of Eagles defensive coordinator Jimmy Johnson's blitzes.
How the Eagles win: Because they can ill-afford to start out 0-3. The fans and media will not tolerate it from a team that was expected to challenge for the NFC title. This is a must-win game for Philadelphia. Look for heavy doses of running back Brian Westbrook.
Who will win: Philadelphia (12)
San Francisco 49ers (2-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0), 1PM
How the 49ers win: Running back Frank Gore tops 100 yards (not an easy task against the Steel Curtain). Quarterback Alex Smith and the passing game finally click. This team is 2 bonehead plays from its opponents away from being 0-2.
How the Steelers win: Don't look now, but Pittsburgh may be returning to their 2004-2005 form, with a strong running game, hard-nosed defense and an opportunistic offense. BenRoethlisberger looks like he is ready to again lead this team deep into the postseason. Look for him to air it out, mixing in Willie Parker and the 2nd best running game along the way.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (11)
St Louis Rams (0-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1), 1PM
How the Rams win: The real Steven Jackson shows up and breaks the 100-yard barrier. This will be even more crucial with Mark Bulger banged up, and future hall of fame left tackle Orlando Pace out for the season. This is another team that doesn't want to be in an 0-3 hole when they were expected to compete for a division title.
How the Bucs win: RB Cadillac Williams continues his resurgence, and the offense of John Gruden matches his salary. The Bucs defense - which often looked old and slow in '06 - yielded just 14 points to the high-powered Saints last week.
Who will win: St Louis (3)
San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Green Bay Packers (2-0), 1PM
How the Chargers win: LaDainian Tomlinson shows us why he's on Nike commercials in the first place. One of San Diego's receivers - whether it be Vincent Jackson or Malcolm Floyd - need to step up so opposing defenses are forced to focus on someone other than LDT and all-world Tight End Antonio Gates. San Diego has a strong veteran presence, and they should be rearing to go after getting embarrassed in front of a national audience.
How the Packers win: They keep Shawn Merriman and the Chargers pass rush out of their backfield, giving a revitalized Brett Favre time in the pocket.
Who will win: San Diego (14)
Arizona Cardinals (1-1) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1), 1PM
How the Cardinals win: Continue to protect Quarterback Matt Leinart. New coach Ken Whisenhunt has emphasized the running game more, along with quicker passes. If wideouts Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin get one-on-one match ups, the Cards could capitalize.
How the Ravens win: Offseason acquisition Willis McGahee takes the load off of a shaky passing game. Head coach and self-proclaimed offensive genius Brian Billick needs to find a way to get the ball in the hands of playmakers Todd Heap and Derrick Mason as well.
Who will win: Baltimore (8)
Minnesota Vikings (1-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-2), 1PM
How the Vikings win: The backfield tandem of Chester Taylor and Adrian Peterson get 35-40 carries. Whether it's Tavaris Jackson or Brooks Bollinger, the Vikes will need to improve on their 25th ranked passing game. On the other side of the ball, Minnesota's 6th ranked run defense will need to contain Chiefs RB Larry Johnson.
How the Chiefs win: KC is actually quite similar to Minnesota, as the Chiefs need more firepower on offense once you get past LJ and aging tight end Tony Gonzalez. Still, Arrowhead Stadium remains one of the toughest places for a visiting team.
Who will win: Kansas City (1)
Cleveland (1-1) at Oakland (0-2), 4PM
How the Browns win: Their chances would be a lot better if they could carry over some of the 51 points they tallied last weekend. If youngsters Kellen Winslow II and Braylon Edwards progress, and running back Jamal Lewis turns back the clock, Cleveland may not be as doomed as everyone thought.
How the Raiders win: It seems as though coach Lane Kiffin's squad has performed a complete 180 from last year. An offense that topped 20 points only four times last year has done it in both of their first two games. However, the defense has given up an average of 30 points, after only letting up 20 points per contest last season. They could easily be 2-0. If the defense doesn't get put into poor field position, it would be difficult for the Browns to drive the length of the field.
Who will win: Cleveland (5)
Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1), 4PM
How the Bengals win: The defensive backs actually cover skill players, unlike last week's effort. The Seattle defense is fast, but somewhat undersized, so look for Rudi Johnson to pound them early.
How the Seahawks win: If Jamal Lewis was able to top 200 yards against the Bengals, you'd have to think Seattle RB Shaun Alexander is chomping at the bit to carry the ball. Look for MikeHolmgren to feature him early and often. Plus, the Seahawks enjoy possibly the best home field advantage in all of football.
Who will win: Seattle (6)
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at Denver Broncos (2-0), 4PM
How the Jaguars win: QB David Garrard shows why coach Jack Del Rio was confident enough to cut former 1st round pick Byron Leftwich, handing the job to Garrard. Oh, and big days from Fred Taylor and mighty mite Maurice Jones-Drew wouldn't hurt either.
How the Broncos win: Travis Henry continues to assert himself on the ground, and the stifling Broncos pass defense smothers Jacksonville's pedestrian receivers.
Who will win: Denver (7)
Carolina Panthers (1-1) at Atlanta Falcons (0-2), 4PM
How the Panthers win: Receiver Steve Smith wins his one-on-one match up vs cornerback DeAngelo Hall. Both are top 5 players their respective positions. The Panthers menacing front four on defense could have a field day vs the Falcons,
who have allowed 13 sacks in their first two games. 13 is actually a higher number than the total amount of points Atlanta has put up this season (10).
How the Falcons win: Ummm ... Hope Michael Vick is allowed back?
Who will win: Carolina (13)
New York Giants (0-2) at Washington Redskins (2-0), 4PM
How the Giants win: They tighten up a defensive unit that has allowed 80 points in their first two games. Unless Lawrence Taylor and Bill Belichick come back, New York may be out of luck.
How the Redskins win: By continuing to play classic Joe Gibbs football: solid running game, stingy defense, and an opportunistic passing attack. That surprising win in Philadelphia may not have been a fluke. Look for the 'skins to challenge for the NFC East title.
Who will win: Washington (9)
Dallas Cowboys (2-0) at Chicago Bears (1-1), 8:15 PM
How the Cowboys win: The young, highly touted and unproven defense lives up to it's billing. The offense has done its part, tallying 82 points so far. If they can pressure Bears QB Rex Grossman, he could make some of his patented bad decisions.
How the Bears win: Speaking of Rex, he is the key to almost all Bears contests. When he's good, the Bears are pretty much unstoppable with their defense. When he's bad, he can give away points to the other team. If Cedric Benson shows he's capable of being a full-time back and the receivers make 1-2 big plays, the Bears will be in good shape.
Who will win: Dallas (4)
Tennessee Titans (1-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-2), 8:30 PM (Monday Night)
How the Titans win: They continue their dominant ground game. QB Vince Young and Co. are leading the NFL with 211.5 rushing yards per contest. On defense, the Titans will look to keep the Saints in their early season rut.
How the Saints win: By attacking the field vertically. Unlike last season where they had quick-scoring drives, the Saints have averaged a pathetic 5.3 yards per attempt, tied for last in the league. Look for them to emphasize the run a bit more with DeuceMcCallister and Reggie Bush, then try to get a favorable match up with speedster Devery Henderson.
Who will win: New Orleans (10)
Thanks and hope you come back soon.
Feel free to leave comments and/or CONSTRUCTIVE criticism.
Saturday, September 22, 2007
Red Sox: Shades of 1978?
We all remember what it was like.
It was Memorial Day, and our Boston Red Sox held a seemingly insurmountable 13 1/2 game lead over the New York Yankees. Fast-forward to the morning of September 22, 2007: the lead is now a minuscule 2 1/2 game advantage over the Bronx Bombers. How did this happen? Is there still time to prevent what would possibly be the most embarrassing collapse in baseball history?
Don't look now, old-time Red Sox fans, but we may re-live possibly the most infamous year in the star-crossed existence of the local nine: 1978.
To be fair, it's not as though the Red Sox have played horribly over the last 4 months; it's just that the Yankees have played better. Since the morning of May 28 (Memorial Day), Boston has gone a respectable 56-48. Unfortunately, the Evil Empire has posted a 67-37 mark, allowing them to chop 11 games off of the deficit.
2007: Baseball purists claim a team will only go as far as their pitching will take them. With a starting staff headed by Cy Young candidate Josh Beckett, Daisuke Matsuzaka and Tim Wakefield, Boston certainly had the arms to get them the lead. Couple that rotation with one of the league's best bullpens, and it's easy to see why they've had success. 1978: Dennis Eckersley, Mike Torrez and Luis Tiant all win at least 13 games, as Boston finishes 4th in the American League in ERA.
Interestingly enough, the 2007 edition of the Boston Red Sox represents the antithesis of the stereotypical Boston squad: all pitching, erratic hitting. Headlined by mega free agent busts Julio Lugo and JD Drew, the offense has been about as consistent as New England weather. One night the team can look like the '27 Yankees. The next? More like a little league squad going against the '27 Yankees. Still, they are currently 3rd in the AL in runs scored. 1978: With big stars Jim Rice (MVP), Dwight Evans, Carlton Fisk and Fredd Lynn anchoring the lineup, the BoSox finished 2nd in runs scored. However, the 2007 squad has already outscored their '78 counterparts ... and there's still a week left.
Despite boasting the best record in baseball for much of the season, so many out there think this team is doomed. Has there ever been a Boston baseball team that's done this well, yet been so scrutinized? So many think Boston will go the way of the 2000 Giants, 2002 Athletics and 2006 Yankees: teams with the best record in baseball who get ousted in the first round.
In New York, things could not have started any worse for the Yankees. The most potent lineup in baseball could not overcome a starting rotation that was in shambles (a situation which ultimately led to the desperate signing of Roger Clemens). Robinson Cano, Johnny Damon and Bobby Abreu were all slumping badly, and the bullpen was getting taxed to the point of exhaustion. Unfortunately, it's the Sox go-to guys out of the 'pen (Hideki Okajima and Jonathan Papelbon) who are showing signs of fatigue. And Lugo and Drew have failed to get it going, whereas the Yankees trio has picked up the slack.
As I sit here this morning, Boston is clinging to a 2 1/2 game lead. This is not 1978. The cast of characters has obviously changed, as has the mindset of both the Sox and Yanks, with Boston exercising their demons in 2004. Heck, baseball now has a wild card, meaning the 2nd place team will still make the postseason in all likelihood.
But do you really think blowing a seemingly insurmountable lead would not effect the psyche of the Red Sox? The 1978 team didn't get a chance in the playoffs. The 2007 team is almost a guaranteed lock for the postseason; the final week will let fans know how they will head into it: a shell-shocked team, or one on a roll.
It was Memorial Day, and our Boston Red Sox held a seemingly insurmountable 13 1/2 game lead over the New York Yankees. Fast-forward to the morning of September 22, 2007: the lead is now a minuscule 2 1/2 game advantage over the Bronx Bombers. How did this happen? Is there still time to prevent what would possibly be the most embarrassing collapse in baseball history?
Don't look now, old-time Red Sox fans, but we may re-live possibly the most infamous year in the star-crossed existence of the local nine: 1978.
To be fair, it's not as though the Red Sox have played horribly over the last 4 months; it's just that the Yankees have played better. Since the morning of May 28 (Memorial Day), Boston has gone a respectable 56-48. Unfortunately, the Evil Empire has posted a 67-37 mark, allowing them to chop 11 games off of the deficit.
2007: Baseball purists claim a team will only go as far as their pitching will take them. With a starting staff headed by Cy Young candidate Josh Beckett, Daisuke Matsuzaka and Tim Wakefield, Boston certainly had the arms to get them the lead. Couple that rotation with one of the league's best bullpens, and it's easy to see why they've had success. 1978: Dennis Eckersley, Mike Torrez and Luis Tiant all win at least 13 games, as Boston finishes 4th in the American League in ERA.
Interestingly enough, the 2007 edition of the Boston Red Sox represents the antithesis of the stereotypical Boston squad: all pitching, erratic hitting. Headlined by mega free agent busts Julio Lugo and JD Drew, the offense has been about as consistent as New England weather. One night the team can look like the '27 Yankees. The next? More like a little league squad going against the '27 Yankees. Still, they are currently 3rd in the AL in runs scored. 1978: With big stars Jim Rice (MVP), Dwight Evans, Carlton Fisk and Fredd Lynn anchoring the lineup, the BoSox finished 2nd in runs scored. However, the 2007 squad has already outscored their '78 counterparts ... and there's still a week left.
Despite boasting the best record in baseball for much of the season, so many out there think this team is doomed. Has there ever been a Boston baseball team that's done this well, yet been so scrutinized? So many think Boston will go the way of the 2000 Giants, 2002 Athletics and 2006 Yankees: teams with the best record in baseball who get ousted in the first round.
In New York, things could not have started any worse for the Yankees. The most potent lineup in baseball could not overcome a starting rotation that was in shambles (a situation which ultimately led to the desperate signing of Roger Clemens). Robinson Cano, Johnny Damon and Bobby Abreu were all slumping badly, and the bullpen was getting taxed to the point of exhaustion. Unfortunately, it's the Sox go-to guys out of the 'pen (Hideki Okajima and Jonathan Papelbon) who are showing signs of fatigue. And Lugo and Drew have failed to get it going, whereas the Yankees trio has picked up the slack.
As I sit here this morning, Boston is clinging to a 2 1/2 game lead. This is not 1978. The cast of characters has obviously changed, as has the mindset of both the Sox and Yanks, with Boston exercising their demons in 2004. Heck, baseball now has a wild card, meaning the 2nd place team will still make the postseason in all likelihood.
But do you really think blowing a seemingly insurmountable lead would not effect the psyche of the Red Sox? The 1978 team didn't get a chance in the playoffs. The 2007 team is almost a guaranteed lock for the postseason; the final week will let fans know how they will head into it: a shell-shocked team, or one on a roll.
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