1 PM Games
Oakland Raiders (4-10, 2-5 on the road) at Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4, 5-2 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Indianapolis, 21-14; Jacksonville beat Pittsburgh, 29-22.
Oakland has already doubled their win total from last year, but that doesn't really say much, now does it? Jacksonville has the makings of a very dangerous playoff team. Quarterback David Garrard makes very few mistakes, Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew give them the best rushing offense in the AFC and the defense is strong against the run and pass. Plus, Jack Del Rio is one of the better coaches in the league. The only potential drawback? Jacksonville's roster is still largely unproven in the postseason. Of course, they can worry about that in a few weeks. For now, they just have to take care of the hapless Raiders.
Who will win: Jacksonville (13)
*Bruce & Brett say Jacksonville
Kansas City Chiefs (4-10, 2-4 on the road) at Detroit Lions (6-8, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: Kansas City lost to Tennessee, 26-17; Detroit lost to San Diego, 51-14.
Talk about a match-up of two teams headed south. Kansas City has lost 7 straight, while Detroit has dropped 6 consecutive games. 2007 was clearly going to be a rebuilding year for the Chiefs, but they got fans hopes up with a 4-3 start. Injuries have piled up, and their is no offensive firepower to speak of. Detroit was looking like the feel-good team of the season, until their flaws became glaringly obvious. One team has to win, so why not the home team?
Who will win: Detroit (2)
*Bruce says Detroit; Brett says Kansas City
Houston Texans (7-7, 2-5 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (12-2, 5-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston beat Denver, 31-13; Indianapolis beat Oakland, 21-14.
Houston is building momentum for 2008. The offense is playing well, and the defense is no longer atrocious. In fact, defensive end Mario Williams has made those who questioned taking him over Reggie Bush and Vince Young eat their words. One more win will give the Texans their best single season record in their 6-year history. Even though the Colts mail in late season games that don't mean anything, their 8th win probably come this week.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
*Bruce & Brett say Indianapolis
Philadelphia Eagles (6-8, 4-3 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (7-7, 3-4 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia beat Dallas, 10-6; New Orleans beat Arizona, 31-24.
Philadelphia played well last week, but their victory was more of a byproduct of Dallas' sloppiness. Players are playing for their jobs next season, and QB Donovan McNabb may be playing his last couple of games in an Eagles uniform. The Saints need this game desperately if they want to keep pace with the Giants and Vikings in the wild card race. New Orleans is playing well lately, and they do have the home field advantage.
Who will win: New Orleans (3)
*Bruce says Philadelphia; Brett says New Orleans
New York Giants (9-5, 6-1 on the road) at Buffalo Bills (7-7, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Washington, 22-10; Buffalo lost to Cleveland, 8-0.
New York is 3-3 so far in the second half of the season, continuing their trend of trailing off after the midway point. They are in the driver's seat for a wild card spot, but if they're not careful, they could lose their final two games. Buffalo is a tough place to play, and the Bills are playing well of late. A loss this week - with the Patriots looming in the season finale - could be disastrous for the G Men.
Who will win: Buffalo (1)
*Bruce & Brett say Buffalo
Green Bay Packers (12-2, 6-1 on the road) at Chicago Bears (5-9, 2-4 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay lost to St Louis, 33-14; Chicago lost to Minnesota, 20-13.
Green Bay may only end up with the number 2 seed, but they just might be the most dangerous team in the NFC. I don't want to use the 'D word', but Green Bay could be destined for the Super Bowl. Brett Favre is playing the best football of his career, the running game is respectable all of a sudden, the defense is stout, and the Packers are young and hungry. In the meantime, they would love to avenge their early season loss to Chicago. Their long time rivals are down, and the Packers would love nothing more than to kick them.
Who will win: Green Bay (8)
*Bruce & Brett say Green Bay
Cleveland Browns (9-5, 3-4 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-9, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Buffalo, 8-0; Cincinnati lost to San Francisco, 20-13.
The Browns are one of the hottest teams in football right now. Jamal Lewis is running like it's 2003, and the rest of the young offensive stars are only getting better. Their secondary - long believed to be the glaring weakness of the team - is playing their best football of the season. This is the Bengals' Super Bowl, and they would love to spring the upset on their interestate rivals. The Browns skill players should be too much for Cincinnati to handle.
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
*Bruce says Cincinnati; Brett says Cleveland
4 PM Games
Atlanta Falcons (3-11, 1-6 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (6-8, 4-2 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay, 37-3; Arizona lost to New Orleans, 31-24.
Atlanta is in shambles. Bill Parcells turned them down, their former franchise QB is behind bars, and their teams is genuinely woeful. The only way they have a chance is the players show they still have pride, and a GREAT deal of luck. Arizona isn't great, but they should not suffer a letdown at home.
Who will win: Arizona (12)
*Bruce says Arizona; Brett says Atlanta
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-5, 3-4 on the road) at San Fransisco 49ers (4-10, 2-5 at home)
Last Week: Tampa Bay beat Atlanta, 37-3; San Francisco beat Cincinnati, 20-13.
Tampa Bay is not overly impressive, but they play in a pathetic NFC South, so they are already have the division locked up. The Bucs still have something to play for, however, as they can still get the number 3 seed in the playoffs, which would match them up with the team with the worst record. The 49ers are dreadful on both sides of the ball, particularly on defense. The offense isn't much better, as the unit is averaging a meager 13.6 points per game. I would look for a big day from Tampa wide receiver Joey Galloway.
Who will win: Tampa Bay (15)
*Bruce says Tampa Bay; Brett says San Francisco
New York Jets (3-11, 1-6 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (8-6, 4-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to New England, 20-10; Tennessee beat Kansas City, 26-17.
Don't be fooled by the Jets keeping last week's game close vs the Patriots. They weren't playing to win; they were playing not to get blown out. They are a hapless team, and have only managed one road victory - against the 1-win Dolphins. The Titans finally came back from their long slumber with a win last weekend. Vince Young will need to continue to improve as a passer. The Titans only have 9 passing touchdowns, tied for fewest in the NFL. Their running game and defense should be enough this week.
Who will win: Tennessee (10)
*Bruce & Brett say Tennessee
Miami Dolphins (1-13, 0-7 on the road) at New England Patriots (14-0, 7-0 at home)
Last Week: Miami beat Baltimore, 22-16; New England beat New York Jets, 20-10.
Miami shattered (at least for the time being) my dream of seeing an NFL team go winless for an entire season. Oh well. Miami is better than what they've shown, but they still blow. New England is on a mission, and has already thrashed the Dolphins once this season. They only thing that may slow down the Patriots offense is the bad weather.
Who will win: New England (16)
*Bruce & Brett say New England
Baltimore Ravens (4-10, 1-6 on the road) at Seattle Seahawks (9-5, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore lost to Miami, 22-16; Seattle lost to Carolina, 13-10.
Even though they had lost 7 straight games heading into last weekend, the eventual overtime loss to Miami was the official low point of the Ravens' season. Even when they were 4-2 to start the season, Baltimore could not be trusted. Now, it's been confirmed that they are awful. Plus, they are now down to their 3rd stringer - and 2006 Heisman Award winner - Troy Smith at quarterback. Seattle had been playing very well until last week's setback against the Panthers. They are in contention with the Bucs for the 3rd seed in the NFC playoffs. Seattle is very tough to beat at home, especially for a putrid team like the Ravens.
Who will win: Seattle (9)
*Bruce says Baltimore; Brett says Seattle
Sunday Night Game
Washington Redskins (7-7, 3-4 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (8-6, 5-2 at home)
Last Week: Washington beat New York Giants, 22-10; Minnesota beat Chicago, 20-13.
Washington is still mathematically alive, but their playoff hopes could be officially dead soon. A win here, would put them ahead of Minnesota in the wild card standings, however. That won't be an easy task, as Minnesota has the top-ranked rushing attack in all of football. The Vikings also have the league's stingiest run defense, but are susceptible to the passing attack, as they are giving up 266 yards per game, worst in football. At least they get to face 'Skins back-up QB Todd Collins. Minnesota is riding a 5 game winning streak, and I would expect them to make it 6 after this prime-time showdown.
Who will win: Minnesota (4)
*Bruce & Brett say Minnesota
Monday Night Game
Denver Broncos (6-8, 2-5 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (9-5, 6-1 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Houston, 31-13; San Diego beat Detroit, 51-14.
Denver's disappointing season will soon be over. Perhaps no team has underachieved more in 2007 than the Broncos. Young QB Jay Cutler has shown signs of progress, but running back Travis Henry never really got hurt, and the defense was extremely soft. Of course, injuries played a role, but that is true of most teams. The Chargers have the AFC West locked up. After getting off to a 1-3 start, the Chargers' resurgence actually began with a 41-3 blowout in Denver. Still, the Chargers are over-due for a dud. Though the possibility is there, I wouldn't expect it this week. Perhaps two weeks from now in the AFC Wild Card Round ...
Who will win: San Diego (5)
*Bruce and Brett say San Diego
Merry Christmas everyone!
Sunday, December 23, 2007
Tuesday, December 11, 2007
Watching Greatness (Online Magazine article for class)
The links between the Patriots of today and a dynasty from the past continue to grow stronger.
If you've followed the Patriots since 2001, odds are that you've heard the following: "Tom Brady is this generation's Joe Montana." There have been other comparisons, too.
They're both defined as being cool under pressure. Montana won 4 Super Bowls with the San Francisco 49ers in the 80's, while getting named MVP in 3 of those. Brady won 3, getting 2 game MVP's. Both had success at an early age. Both have been accused by critics as being 'system quarterbacks'. Again, all that's been said.
However, as the 2007 Patriots continue to dispatch opponents with ease, the question has to be asked: Just what other similarities are there between the 49ers of then and the Patriots of this millennium?
The 49ers became kings of the NFL in the 1980's. But it sure didn't look like it would be that way early on. How rough was the outlook? In the 2005 best seller "The Blind Side: Evolution of a Game", Bill Walsh revealed to author Michael Lewis that he was set to retire after the 1981 seasons. Walsh was convinced the franchise could not be turned around. Thankfully, the team went on to win the Super Bowl that season, and the rest is history.
Belichick may be regarded as the best coach in the NFL now, but he too was on the hot seat in 2001. After starting 0-2 in Belichick's second season in Foxboro – after a 5-11 season - Patriots fans were getting anxious. Luckily, a young QB by the name of Tom Brady won his first NFL start, and hasn't stopped winning since.
Speaking of Brady, the Patriots finally managed to team him with a weapon that is on his level: wide receiver Randy Moss. As a result, the veteran signall caller is on pace to set new career highs in every major passing category. He's already played at a Hall of Fame level without great skill players around him; now we're seeing what he can do with great skill players around him. It kind of reminds me of another duo. Before the 1985 season kicked off, Joe Montana had already won 2 Super Bowls. In the draft, the 49ers selected a receiver from tiny Mississippi Valley State. Maybe you've heard of him? He went by the name of Jerry Rice. Rice would team with Montana to make the west coast offense a thing of beauty.
The old saying goes, “imitation is the sincerest form of flattery’”. It’s no different in the NFL, where teams copy others’ blueprints for success. The famous “Bill Walsh Coaching Tree” illustrates this point, as several of Walsh’s understudies have gone on to became prominent head coaches themselves. The list includes Super Bowl winning coaches Mike Holmgren, Brian Billick, Tony Dungy, George Seifert and Mike Shanahan. Belichick? His tree doesn’t branch out nearly as much, but other NFL franchises and Universities have certainly taken notice, and will continue to do so. Long-time Belichick disciples Romeo Crennel and Eric Mangini have head coaching jobs in the league. Nick Saban, Charlie Weis, Al Groh and Pat Hill have been successful at the college ranks.
A great team isn’t nearly as fun to watch unless they have an opponent who is a perennial challenger. In the 1980’s, the New York Giants were one of the few teams that could contain Bill Walsh’s high-octane offense. Their physicality and ‘tough-guy’ demeanor of coach Bill Parcells made them the prefect contrast to San Francisco’s creativity and the intellect of Walsh. The teams would meet 5 times in the NFL playoffs, with the winner usually going on to win the Super Bowl.
You would have to be living under a rock to not realize that the Patriots’ chief rival is the Indianapolis Colts. The disdain the two teams have for each other can be felt from the front office down to the equipment guys. The Colts think the Patriots are a bunch of bullying, dirty players that bend the rules to win games. Many Patriots players and fans feel like the Colts are an organization full of whinny, finesse offensive stars. Sound familiar?
Win or lose, the NFL hasn’t seen an organization like the New England Patriots since the 49ers were kings of the league two decades ago.
If you've followed the Patriots since 2001, odds are that you've heard the following: "Tom Brady is this generation's Joe Montana." There have been other comparisons, too.
They're both defined as being cool under pressure. Montana won 4 Super Bowls with the San Francisco 49ers in the 80's, while getting named MVP in 3 of those. Brady won 3, getting 2 game MVP's. Both had success at an early age. Both have been accused by critics as being 'system quarterbacks'. Again, all that's been said.
However, as the 2007 Patriots continue to dispatch opponents with ease, the question has to be asked: Just what other similarities are there between the 49ers of then and the Patriots of this millennium?
The 49ers became kings of the NFL in the 1980's. But it sure didn't look like it would be that way early on. How rough was the outlook? In the 2005 best seller "The Blind Side: Evolution of a Game", Bill Walsh revealed to author Michael Lewis that he was set to retire after the 1981 seasons. Walsh was convinced the franchise could not be turned around. Thankfully, the team went on to win the Super Bowl that season, and the rest is history.
Belichick may be regarded as the best coach in the NFL now, but he too was on the hot seat in 2001. After starting 0-2 in Belichick's second season in Foxboro – after a 5-11 season - Patriots fans were getting anxious. Luckily, a young QB by the name of Tom Brady won his first NFL start, and hasn't stopped winning since.
Speaking of Brady, the Patriots finally managed to team him with a weapon that is on his level: wide receiver Randy Moss. As a result, the veteran signall caller is on pace to set new career highs in every major passing category. He's already played at a Hall of Fame level without great skill players around him; now we're seeing what he can do with great skill players around him. It kind of reminds me of another duo. Before the 1985 season kicked off, Joe Montana had already won 2 Super Bowls. In the draft, the 49ers selected a receiver from tiny Mississippi Valley State. Maybe you've heard of him? He went by the name of Jerry Rice. Rice would team with Montana to make the west coast offense a thing of beauty.
The old saying goes, “imitation is the sincerest form of flattery’”. It’s no different in the NFL, where teams copy others’ blueprints for success. The famous “Bill Walsh Coaching Tree” illustrates this point, as several of Walsh’s understudies have gone on to became prominent head coaches themselves. The list includes Super Bowl winning coaches Mike Holmgren, Brian Billick, Tony Dungy, George Seifert and Mike Shanahan. Belichick? His tree doesn’t branch out nearly as much, but other NFL franchises and Universities have certainly taken notice, and will continue to do so. Long-time Belichick disciples Romeo Crennel and Eric Mangini have head coaching jobs in the league. Nick Saban, Charlie Weis, Al Groh and Pat Hill have been successful at the college ranks.
A great team isn’t nearly as fun to watch unless they have an opponent who is a perennial challenger. In the 1980’s, the New York Giants were one of the few teams that could contain Bill Walsh’s high-octane offense. Their physicality and ‘tough-guy’ demeanor of coach Bill Parcells made them the prefect contrast to San Francisco’s creativity and the intellect of Walsh. The teams would meet 5 times in the NFL playoffs, with the winner usually going on to win the Super Bowl.
You would have to be living under a rock to not realize that the Patriots’ chief rival is the Indianapolis Colts. The disdain the two teams have for each other can be felt from the front office down to the equipment guys. The Colts think the Patriots are a bunch of bullying, dirty players that bend the rules to win games. Many Patriots players and fans feel like the Colts are an organization full of whinny, finesse offensive stars. Sound familiar?
Win or lose, the NFL hasn’t seen an organization like the New England Patriots since the 49ers were kings of the league two decades ago.
Mobile Journalism article
Breaking away from the world of sports, this is an article for my class. I'm sure I'll remove it in the near future. I wrote about my buddy Pat and the positive experiences he has had with the Knights of Columbus.
The Knights of Columbus: A worthwhile experience
Ah, the life of a college student. If you’re reading this, then it’s very likely you know what I’m talking about. You concern yourself primarily with things such as classes, midterms, jobs, internships and Thursday nights – maybe not necessarily in that order. There are, of course, many other things available. For instance, some take up extra curricular activities, such as joining a fraternity or other club.
While the things mentioned above are all well and good, there is another organization that offers dedicated individuals the chance to make a difference – the Knights of Columbus. Surely, most of us have heard of the KOC, yet it remains a mystery. Pat Hegarty, a student at Fitchburg State College, believes firmly in the values the Knights instill in its members. Those principles are, as Hegarty explains, “charity, unity, fraternity and patriotism.”
The Knights of Columbus is the world's largest Roman Catholic fraternal service organization. Founded in the United States in 1882, it is named in honor of Christopher Columbus, and is dedicated to the four principles mentioned above (Wikipedia). Hegarty: “The Knights do a lot for the community. I was able to collect donations for special needs children.” In terms of unity, Hegarty says the bond between the Knights is very strong. “There is a great brotherhood among the knights. You feel like you’re a part of something special.”
For something that can be so personally rewarding, the Knights of Columbus does not require much of a sacrifice. “Time is really the only thing you have to give up”, says Hegarty. It’s not as though the KOC is a full-time job either: “Meetings take place about twice a month, and usually only last roughly 30 minutes.” But how does a person get their foot into a meeting? Hegarty explains: “To go to the meetings, you have to make your first degree. To do that, you simply have to go through the ceremony and come to understand the degrees.” The whole idea is to understand and commit to the concept of the organization. “Your sponsor will speak on your behalf at the ceremony, saying that you are a good candidate at the first degree”, points out Hegarty.
The Knights of Columbus seems to run in the Hegarty family. Terry Hegarty, Pat’s older brother, actually joined the organization before his brother. “I joined to become more involved in service projects”, says the elder Hegarty. Terry actually recommended the Knights to his younger brother. “I think the biggest reward is the fraternity, and getting to know a lot of different people.” Terry actually continued on with his involvement in the Knights of Columbus at Catholic University in Washington, DC. “In college, I packed up prayer books to ship to troops overseas, and was able to volunteer with Little Sisters of the Poor. Terry adds, “my only concern would be that I wish there were more service projects besides fundraising with which to work.”
If you want to learn more about the Knights of Columbus, you can visit their website: http://www.kofc.org/un/index.cfm
The Knights of Columbus: A worthwhile experience
Ah, the life of a college student. If you’re reading this, then it’s very likely you know what I’m talking about. You concern yourself primarily with things such as classes, midterms, jobs, internships and Thursday nights – maybe not necessarily in that order. There are, of course, many other things available. For instance, some take up extra curricular activities, such as joining a fraternity or other club.
While the things mentioned above are all well and good, there is another organization that offers dedicated individuals the chance to make a difference – the Knights of Columbus. Surely, most of us have heard of the KOC, yet it remains a mystery. Pat Hegarty, a student at Fitchburg State College, believes firmly in the values the Knights instill in its members. Those principles are, as Hegarty explains, “charity, unity, fraternity and patriotism.”
The Knights of Columbus is the world's largest Roman Catholic fraternal service organization. Founded in the United States in 1882, it is named in honor of Christopher Columbus, and is dedicated to the four principles mentioned above (Wikipedia). Hegarty: “The Knights do a lot for the community. I was able to collect donations for special needs children.” In terms of unity, Hegarty says the bond between the Knights is very strong. “There is a great brotherhood among the knights. You feel like you’re a part of something special.”
For something that can be so personally rewarding, the Knights of Columbus does not require much of a sacrifice. “Time is really the only thing you have to give up”, says Hegarty. It’s not as though the KOC is a full-time job either: “Meetings take place about twice a month, and usually only last roughly 30 minutes.” But how does a person get their foot into a meeting? Hegarty explains: “To go to the meetings, you have to make your first degree. To do that, you simply have to go through the ceremony and come to understand the degrees.” The whole idea is to understand and commit to the concept of the organization. “Your sponsor will speak on your behalf at the ceremony, saying that you are a good candidate at the first degree”, points out Hegarty.
The Knights of Columbus seems to run in the Hegarty family. Terry Hegarty, Pat’s older brother, actually joined the organization before his brother. “I joined to become more involved in service projects”, says the elder Hegarty. Terry actually recommended the Knights to his younger brother. “I think the biggest reward is the fraternity, and getting to know a lot of different people.” Terry actually continued on with his involvement in the Knights of Columbus at Catholic University in Washington, DC. “In college, I packed up prayer books to ship to troops overseas, and was able to volunteer with Little Sisters of the Poor. Terry adds, “my only concern would be that I wish there were more service projects besides fundraising with which to work.”
If you want to learn more about the Knights of Columbus, you can visit their website: http://www.kofc.org/un/index.cfm
Sunday, December 2, 2007
Week 13 in the NFL
1 PM Games
New York Jets (2-9, 0-5 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-11, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Dallas, 34-3; Miami lost to Pittsburgh, 3-0.
Since the Jets made a change at quarterback from Chad Pennington to Kellen Clemens, not much has really changed. The Jets offense is still anemic, averaging 16.5 points per contest. Clemens hasn't exactly been atrocious, but he has little help around him. Coach Eric Mangini's defense isn't stopping people either. What does all this mean? This could very possibly be the week Miami wins. The Dolphins defense showed signs of life last week, so if the offense can avoid back-breaking turnovers, they may be able to pull this one out.
Who will win: Miami (1)
Detroit Lions (6-5, 2-3 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Detroit lost to Green Bay, 37-26; Minnesota beat New York Giants, 41-17.
Did you hear that? That was the sound of countless bandwagon Lions fans hitting the ground. The Lions have looked very vulnerable the last 3 weeks. Their biggest weakness - the inability to protect QB Jon Kitna - has been obvious to everyone. The defense was playing at an acceptable level - until the Packers scorched them on Thanksgiving. The Vikings are playing well lately, and this game could see the return of running back Adrian Peterson. This loss should continue Detroit's downward spiral.
Who will win: Minnesota (5)
Seattle Seahawks (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat St Louis, 24-19; Philadelphia lost to New England, 31-28.
Seattle may have been lucky to escape St Louis with a victory, but a win is a win. With the Cardinals losing, the 'Hawks are now in the driver's seat in the quest for the NFC West crown, as they enjoy a 2-game lead. A win vs Philadelphia would all but seal the division title. Meanwhile, the Eagles nearly pulled off the upset of the millennium last Sunday night, but fell short. I wouldn't be drinking the AJ Feeley Kool-Aid. Sorry, but he's a career back-up quarterback for a reason.
Who will win: Seattle (4)
Houston Texans (5-6, 2-4 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (6-5, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Houston lost to Cleveland, 27-17; Tennessee lost to Cincinnati, 35-6.
If the Titans front office didn't think free agent to-be Albert Haynesworth wasn't the most valuable player of their defense, the last 3 weeks should persuade them. The Titans have lost all 3 games, and the mammoth defensive tackle has been sorely missed. Haynesworth returns this week, and could give the team a big boost. Tennessee still has a shot at a wild card spot, but a win this week is crucial. The Texans have had a respectable season, but I just think the Titans are due for a great all-around performance.
Who will win: Tennessee (12)
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-3, 4-1 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (9-2, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville beat Buffalo, 36-14; Indianapolis beat Atlanta, 31-13.
Everyone seems to think the Jaguars always have the Colts number. That's not really the case. Since coach Jack Del Rio took over in 2003, the Jags are only 3-6 against the Colts. They always seem to slow down Peyton Manning's offense - they just never stop him. Jacksonville used to be able to count on running the ball on the Colts, but Indianapolis has shored up their run defense. In the friendly confines of the RCA Dome, and with a well-rested team, Indianapolis could dominate like they haven't since early in the season.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
Buffalo Bills (5-6, 2-3 on the road) at Washington Redskins (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to Jacksonville, 36-14; Washington lost to Tampa Bay, 19-13.
Buffalo made the quarterback switch from JP Losman to Trent Edwards. To quote a comedian from the Blue Collar Comedy Tour: "that's like putting a new chandelier up in an old haunted house". *drum hit* thank you, thank you. All lame jokes aside, the Bills offense have no explosion. When your best receiver - Lee Evans - doesn't catch a pass until the final minute of a game, you know you have problems. The Redskins will be playing at the end of a long, emotional week, as the team dealt with the murder of safety Sean Taylor. One of two things can happen: the team can be wiped out, and have nothing in the tank, OR they could play their best game of the season. I'm betting on the latter.
Who will win: Washington (13)
San Diego Chargers (6-5, 1-4 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-7, 2-4 at home)
Last Week: San Diego beat Baltimore, 32-14; Kansas City lost to Oakland, 20-17.
San Diego is back to it's 2005 form: a team with loads of talent that can look great one week, and woeful the next. It seems like they are destined for another underachieving season. Then again, the Chiefs are a ripe target. Kansas City is down to their 3rd string running back, and their fabled home field advantage is a thing of the past. San Diego needs this game much more than the Chiefs do, and I expect the outcome to show that.
Who will win: San Diego (9)
San Francisco 49ers (3-8, 2-4 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-7, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco beat Arizona, 37-31; Carolina lost to New Orleans, 31-6.
San Francisco won for the first time since Week 2 last Sunday. The offense bay area fans were expecting finally showed up. Too bad they waited until Week 12. Don't be surprised to see the 49ers go into tank mode so they can try to get a higher pick in next April's draft. The Panthers are dreadful, just DREADFUL. Unfortunately, I'm going to keep picking them to win at home until they get off the snide. Here's hoping this is the week.
Who will win: Carolina (3)
Atlanta Falcons (3-8, 1-4 on the road) at St Louis Rams (2-9, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta lost to Indianapolis, 31-13; St Louis lost to Seattle, 24-19.
Atlanta got fans at the Georgia Dome very excited on Thanksgiving night, as they built a 10 point lead. Then, they remembered they were the Atlanta Falcons, and stumbled miserably. I can't think of anything interesting to say about this game. St Louis is too talented of a team to be 0-5 at home. They could be riding a 3-game winning streak, if not for a fumbled snap at the end of the 4th quarter last week. St Louis is the better team. 'Nuff said.
Who will win: St Louis (7)
4 PM Games
Cleveland Browns (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Houston, 27-17; Arizona lost to San Francisco, 37-31.
As long as they don't completely self-destruct, the Browns will make the playoffs. This game could still be a challenge, however, as Arizona has the weapons to expose the Browns' biggest weakness - their pass defense. Yes, the Browns are winning football games, but they have had a hard time against good passing offenses. The Cardinals certainly fall into that category, as QB Kurt Warner has been playing very well, and three wide receivers - Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Bryant Johnson - are all talented. Still, I can't see the Browns losing this 'trap game'.
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
Denver Broncos (5-6, 2-3 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (3-8, 1-4 on the road)
Last Week: Denver lost to Chicago, 37-34; Oakland beat Kansas City, 20-17.
Denver should be 6-5, but they decided it would be a good idea to kick to Bears' return ace Devin Hester. 2 touchdowns later, it's obvious that may have been the second worse decision of the 2007 NFL season, followed by Dallas coach Wade Phillips' decision to force Tom Brady to beat him. Thankfully, Denver had coach Mike Shanahan to point out everyone else's mistakes, because he clearly didn't make any. All that aside, Denver should bounce back this weekend vs the lowly Raiders. Look for QB Jay Cutler to shred a weak Oakland secondary.
Who will win: Denver (14)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Tampa Bay beat Washington, 19-13; New Orleans beat Carolina, 31-6.
Winning in the NFL isn't supposed to be particularly easy, but Tampa Bay makes it look excruciatingly difficult. It will get harder if QB Jeff Garcia - a game time decision - is unable to suit up. Tampa has big play receiver Joey Galloway, but can back up quarterback Bruce Gradkowski get him the ball deep down field? Doubtful. The Saints defense is notorious for giving up big plays, so that aspect can not be overlooked. New Orleans needs this game desperately if they want to stay in playoff contention. I'd look for coach Sean Payton to develop a great game plan, and the Saints will be able to do just enough to take this one. Plus, they're playing at home.
Who will win: New Orleans (2)
New York Giants (7-4, 4-1 on the road) at Chicago Bears (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Minnesota, 41-17; Chicago beat Denver, 37-34.
The Giants are officially in the midst of their annual second half collapse. The bad Eli Manning showed up last Sunday, and the G-Men were blown out. New York definitely has the talent to reverse previous trends, though they are dealing with injuries. The Bears have Devin Hester to thank for their remarkable comeback win last Sunday. The Bears are a shell of their 2006 selves, and they will not be able to harass Manning into mistakes like the Vikings.
Who will win: New York (10)
Sunday Night Game
Cincinnati Bengals (4-7, 1-4 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 6-0 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati beat Tennessee, 35-6; Pittsburgh beat Miami, 3-0.
The Bengals finally got the offensive output they had been waiting for last Sunday. The defense actually showed up too, which was nice. The Steelers' pressure will be overwhelming, however, and won't allow Bengals QB Carson Palmer to get into any sort of a rhythm. It's another prime time game at home for Pittsburgh - you have to like their chances.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (15)
Monday Night Game
New England Patriots (11-0, 6-0 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-7, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: New England beat Philadelphia, 31-28; Baltimore lost to San Diego, 32-14.
The Patriots survived their biggest scare of the 2007 season last Sunday. You can't beat everyone by three touchdowns, right? The Patriots CAN definitely beat Baltimore by three scores. Forget about Baltimore having a lot of 'proud veterans'. They haven't played well defensively vs a decent offense yet. Why would that start now? Even if they do play their best defense of the season, the Ravens are going to have to rely on QB Kyle Boller to direct them to a victory. Baltimore may keep it close for a few quarters, but the Patriots should ultimately cover the spread.
Who will win: New England (16)
New York Jets (2-9, 0-5 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-11, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Dallas, 34-3; Miami lost to Pittsburgh, 3-0.
Since the Jets made a change at quarterback from Chad Pennington to Kellen Clemens, not much has really changed. The Jets offense is still anemic, averaging 16.5 points per contest. Clemens hasn't exactly been atrocious, but he has little help around him. Coach Eric Mangini's defense isn't stopping people either. What does all this mean? This could very possibly be the week Miami wins. The Dolphins defense showed signs of life last week, so if the offense can avoid back-breaking turnovers, they may be able to pull this one out.
Who will win: Miami (1)
Detroit Lions (6-5, 2-3 on the road) at Minnesota Vikings (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Detroit lost to Green Bay, 37-26; Minnesota beat New York Giants, 41-17.
Did you hear that? That was the sound of countless bandwagon Lions fans hitting the ground. The Lions have looked very vulnerable the last 3 weeks. Their biggest weakness - the inability to protect QB Jon Kitna - has been obvious to everyone. The defense was playing at an acceptable level - until the Packers scorched them on Thanksgiving. The Vikings are playing well lately, and this game could see the return of running back Adrian Peterson. This loss should continue Detroit's downward spiral.
Who will win: Minnesota (5)
Seattle Seahawks (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat St Louis, 24-19; Philadelphia lost to New England, 31-28.
Seattle may have been lucky to escape St Louis with a victory, but a win is a win. With the Cardinals losing, the 'Hawks are now in the driver's seat in the quest for the NFC West crown, as they enjoy a 2-game lead. A win vs Philadelphia would all but seal the division title. Meanwhile, the Eagles nearly pulled off the upset of the millennium last Sunday night, but fell short. I wouldn't be drinking the AJ Feeley Kool-Aid. Sorry, but he's a career back-up quarterback for a reason.
Who will win: Seattle (4)
Houston Texans (5-6, 2-4 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (6-5, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Houston lost to Cleveland, 27-17; Tennessee lost to Cincinnati, 35-6.
If the Titans front office didn't think free agent to-be Albert Haynesworth wasn't the most valuable player of their defense, the last 3 weeks should persuade them. The Titans have lost all 3 games, and the mammoth defensive tackle has been sorely missed. Haynesworth returns this week, and could give the team a big boost. Tennessee still has a shot at a wild card spot, but a win this week is crucial. The Texans have had a respectable season, but I just think the Titans are due for a great all-around performance.
Who will win: Tennessee (12)
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-3, 4-1 on the road) at Indianapolis Colts (9-2, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville beat Buffalo, 36-14; Indianapolis beat Atlanta, 31-13.
Everyone seems to think the Jaguars always have the Colts number. That's not really the case. Since coach Jack Del Rio took over in 2003, the Jags are only 3-6 against the Colts. They always seem to slow down Peyton Manning's offense - they just never stop him. Jacksonville used to be able to count on running the ball on the Colts, but Indianapolis has shored up their run defense. In the friendly confines of the RCA Dome, and with a well-rested team, Indianapolis could dominate like they haven't since early in the season.
Who will win: Indianapolis (11)
Buffalo Bills (5-6, 2-3 on the road) at Washington Redskins (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to Jacksonville, 36-14; Washington lost to Tampa Bay, 19-13.
Buffalo made the quarterback switch from JP Losman to Trent Edwards. To quote a comedian from the Blue Collar Comedy Tour: "that's like putting a new chandelier up in an old haunted house". *drum hit* thank you, thank you. All lame jokes aside, the Bills offense have no explosion. When your best receiver - Lee Evans - doesn't catch a pass until the final minute of a game, you know you have problems. The Redskins will be playing at the end of a long, emotional week, as the team dealt with the murder of safety Sean Taylor. One of two things can happen: the team can be wiped out, and have nothing in the tank, OR they could play their best game of the season. I'm betting on the latter.
Who will win: Washington (13)
San Diego Chargers (6-5, 1-4 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-7, 2-4 at home)
Last Week: San Diego beat Baltimore, 32-14; Kansas City lost to Oakland, 20-17.
San Diego is back to it's 2005 form: a team with loads of talent that can look great one week, and woeful the next. It seems like they are destined for another underachieving season. Then again, the Chiefs are a ripe target. Kansas City is down to their 3rd string running back, and their fabled home field advantage is a thing of the past. San Diego needs this game much more than the Chiefs do, and I expect the outcome to show that.
Who will win: San Diego (9)
San Francisco 49ers (3-8, 2-4 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-7, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco beat Arizona, 37-31; Carolina lost to New Orleans, 31-6.
San Francisco won for the first time since Week 2 last Sunday. The offense bay area fans were expecting finally showed up. Too bad they waited until Week 12. Don't be surprised to see the 49ers go into tank mode so they can try to get a higher pick in next April's draft. The Panthers are dreadful, just DREADFUL. Unfortunately, I'm going to keep picking them to win at home until they get off the snide. Here's hoping this is the week.
Who will win: Carolina (3)
Atlanta Falcons (3-8, 1-4 on the road) at St Louis Rams (2-9, 0-5 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta lost to Indianapolis, 31-13; St Louis lost to Seattle, 24-19.
Atlanta got fans at the Georgia Dome very excited on Thanksgiving night, as they built a 10 point lead. Then, they remembered they were the Atlanta Falcons, and stumbled miserably. I can't think of anything interesting to say about this game. St Louis is too talented of a team to be 0-5 at home. They could be riding a 3-game winning streak, if not for a fumbled snap at the end of the 4th quarter last week. St Louis is the better team. 'Nuff said.
Who will win: St Louis (7)
4 PM Games
Cleveland Browns (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (5-6, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Houston, 27-17; Arizona lost to San Francisco, 37-31.
As long as they don't completely self-destruct, the Browns will make the playoffs. This game could still be a challenge, however, as Arizona has the weapons to expose the Browns' biggest weakness - their pass defense. Yes, the Browns are winning football games, but they have had a hard time against good passing offenses. The Cardinals certainly fall into that category, as QB Kurt Warner has been playing very well, and three wide receivers - Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Bryant Johnson - are all talented. Still, I can't see the Browns losing this 'trap game'.
Who will win: Cleveland (6)
Denver Broncos (5-6, 2-3 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (3-8, 1-4 on the road)
Last Week: Denver lost to Chicago, 37-34; Oakland beat Kansas City, 20-17.
Denver should be 6-5, but they decided it would be a good idea to kick to Bears' return ace Devin Hester. 2 touchdowns later, it's obvious that may have been the second worse decision of the 2007 NFL season, followed by Dallas coach Wade Phillips' decision to force Tom Brady to beat him. Thankfully, Denver had coach Mike Shanahan to point out everyone else's mistakes, because he clearly didn't make any. All that aside, Denver should bounce back this weekend vs the lowly Raiders. Look for QB Jay Cutler to shred a weak Oakland secondary.
Who will win: Denver (14)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4, 2-3 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Tampa Bay beat Washington, 19-13; New Orleans beat Carolina, 31-6.
Winning in the NFL isn't supposed to be particularly easy, but Tampa Bay makes it look excruciatingly difficult. It will get harder if QB Jeff Garcia - a game time decision - is unable to suit up. Tampa has big play receiver Joey Galloway, but can back up quarterback Bruce Gradkowski get him the ball deep down field? Doubtful. The Saints defense is notorious for giving up big plays, so that aspect can not be overlooked. New Orleans needs this game desperately if they want to stay in playoff contention. I'd look for coach Sean Payton to develop a great game plan, and the Saints will be able to do just enough to take this one. Plus, they're playing at home.
Who will win: New Orleans (2)
New York Giants (7-4, 4-1 on the road) at Chicago Bears (5-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: New York lost to Minnesota, 41-17; Chicago beat Denver, 37-34.
The Giants are officially in the midst of their annual second half collapse. The bad Eli Manning showed up last Sunday, and the G-Men were blown out. New York definitely has the talent to reverse previous trends, though they are dealing with injuries. The Bears have Devin Hester to thank for their remarkable comeback win last Sunday. The Bears are a shell of their 2006 selves, and they will not be able to harass Manning into mistakes like the Vikings.
Who will win: New York (10)
Sunday Night Game
Cincinnati Bengals (4-7, 1-4 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3, 6-0 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati beat Tennessee, 35-6; Pittsburgh beat Miami, 3-0.
The Bengals finally got the offensive output they had been waiting for last Sunday. The defense actually showed up too, which was nice. The Steelers' pressure will be overwhelming, however, and won't allow Bengals QB Carson Palmer to get into any sort of a rhythm. It's another prime time game at home for Pittsburgh - you have to like their chances.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (15)
Monday Night Game
New England Patriots (11-0, 6-0 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-7, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: New England beat Philadelphia, 31-28; Baltimore lost to San Diego, 32-14.
The Patriots survived their biggest scare of the 2007 season last Sunday. You can't beat everyone by three touchdowns, right? The Patriots CAN definitely beat Baltimore by three scores. Forget about Baltimore having a lot of 'proud veterans'. They haven't played well defensively vs a decent offense yet. Why would that start now? Even if they do play their best defense of the season, the Ravens are going to have to rely on QB Kyle Boller to direct them to a victory. Baltimore may keep it close for a few quarters, but the Patriots should ultimately cover the spread.
Who will win: New England (16)
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Week 12 in the NFL (Part 2)
1 PM Games
Buffalo Bills (5-5, 2-2 on the road) at Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to New England, 56-10; Jacksonville beat San Diego, 24-17.
Buffalo just didn't get taken to the woodshed last Sunday night. They got taken there, beaten with a 2 x 4, kicked, defecated on, and left for dead. Other than that, they held their own. The Jaguars aren't in the Patriots class, but they are still a playoff-caliber team. The Bills will again be without rookie running back Marshawn Lynch. Do you trust Buffalo quarterback JP Losman on the road? Me either.
Who will win: Jacksonville (12)
Houston Texans (5-5, 2-3 on the road) at Cleveland Browns (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston beat New Orleans, 23-10; Cleveland beat Baltimore, 33-30.
Houston is still at least a year away from competing for a playoff spot, especially in the very competitive AFC South. They have a young and improving defense. The 2007 Texans are definitely not the laughingstock of the league, especially with star receiver Andre Johnson healthy again. The Browns have quite a collection of talent themselves, and are coming off a huge win in Baltimore. Without Houston running back Ahmad Green playing, Cleveland will be able to focus on stopping QB Matt Schaub and the passing game.
Who will win: Cleveland (7)
Oakland Raiders (2-8, 1-4 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Minnesota, 29-22; Kansas City lost to Indianapolis, 13-10.
The Patriots fan in me wants Oakland to win a few more games, which will help get the San Francisco 49ers a higher draft pick. Instead of the 49ers getting that pick, it will go to the Patriots to complete a trade made in last April's NFL Draft. Anyway, this won't be a week where Oakland takes on another win. Mainly because they suck, and KC is also due for a home win.
Who will win: Kansas City (10)
Seattle Seahawks (6-4, 1-3 on the road) at St Louis Rams (2-8, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat Chicago, 30-23; St Louis beat San Francisco, 13-9.
After the last two weeks, Seattle looks like they have re-established themselves as the clear cut favorite in the NFC West. The Seahawks are not an elite team by any measure, but the rest of the division is weak. The Rams have saved face with back-to-back wins. At least they won't go winless. I just can't see St Louis winning 3 games in a row, and Seattle is clicking right now.
Who will win: Seattle (11)
Minnesota Vikings (4-6, 1-4 on the road) at New York Giants (7-3, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota beat Oakland, 29-22; New York beat Detroit, 16-10.
Minnesota's rookie sensation - running back Adrian Peterson - may return to action this week. He's by far the Vikings' best offensive player. Even if he does play, his team will have their hands full. The Giants have one of the better run defenses in football, and they also know how to get after the opposing quarterback: they lead the NFL with 34 sacks. If the Giants can stop the run early and often, that will mean Tavaris Jackson - the proud owner of a dreadful 55.5 Quarterback rating - will have to carry Minnesota. New York also has the home field advantage.
Who will win: New York (9)
Washington Redskins (5-5, 2-3 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Washington lost to Dallas, 28-23; Tampa Bay beat Atlanta, 31-7.
The 'Skins have lost in consecutive weeks, both to division opponents. On the plus side, QB Jason Campbell has looked very good. Unfortunately, their defense has looked very vulnerable, especially against the pass. Those three sentences comprise the "reverse compliment sandwich". Anyway, I think Washington should be able to squeak this game out. If they can stop Tampa wide receiver Joey Galloway from making big plays, they should be just fine.
Who will win: Washington (1)
New Orleans Saints (4-6, 2-3 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-6, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: New Orleans lost to Houston, 23-10; Carolina lost to Green Bay, 31-17.
This a match up of two teams that have had roller coaster seasons. New Orleans lost their first 4 games, won their next 4, and now have lost the last two weeks. Carolina has yet to win a home game. I just think the Panthers have the better defense, and they're playing in Carolina, where they are way over-due for a win.
Who will win: Carolina (2)
Tennessee Titans (6-4, 3-2 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-7, 2-3 at home)
Last week: Tennessee lost to Denver, 34-20; Cincinnati lost to Arizona, 35-27.
Tennessee got shredded last week by the Broncos, both by Denver's passing and rushing attack. They face a more talented offense this week with the Bengals. Unfortunately for Cincinnati, they have not been able to protect QB Carson Palmer long enough for him to hit his play-making-wide receivers Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. With the potential return of Titans monster defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth, plus the stellar play of Kyle Vanden Bosch, this may not be the week Cincinnati has an explosion.
Who will win: Tennessee (5)
4 PM Games
San Francisco 49ers (2-8, 1-4 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (5-5, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco lost to St Louis, 13-9; Arizona beat Cincinnati, 35-27.
San Francisco has lost 8 straight games. What could possibly make someone think this is the week they snap that streak? I don't know either. The Cardinals are playing pretty well, and the division title is still within their grasp. If they want to capture the NFC West, they need to keep pace with Seattle by trouncing an awful opponent.
Who will win: Arizona (8)
Baltimore Ravens (4-6, 1-4 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (5-5, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore lost to Cleveland, 33-30; San Diego lost to Jacksonville, 24-17.
Baltimore just seems to be a ticking time bomb right now. Coach Brian Billick doesn't have the answers; the defense is a shell of its former self; and the team is one loss away from assuring themselves they won't make the playoffs. Plus, Baltimore has been putrid on the road. San Diego is at a crossroads. The Chiefs and Raiders have fallen off the map, so it's between San Diego and Denver for the AFC West title. This is a game the Chargers need to win more than the Ravens.
Who will win: San Diego (3)
Denver Broncos (5-5, 2-2 on the road) at Chicago Bears (4-6, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Denver beat Tennessee, 34-20; Chicago lost to Seattle, 30-23.
Broncos coach Mike Shanahan put together a great game plan last Monday night vs the Titans. It reiterated the fact that Denver is unbeatable if they build a double digit lead. A good running game will help take the load off of QB Jay Cutler, who looked masterful last week. The Bears have struggled stopping the run, as evidenced by them giving up 125 rushing yards per contest. Denver is in a battle for the division title, while the Bears are definitely the latest victim of a Super Bowl hangover.
Who will win: Denver (4)
Sunday Night Game
Philadelphia Eagles (5-5, 3-2 on the road) at New England Patriots (10-0, 4-0 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia beat Miami, 17-7; New England beat Buffalo, 56-10.
Philadelphia is playing their best football of the season, and they still aren't all that impressive. To make matters worse, QB Donovan McNabb will sit this one out, meaning A.J. Feeley will start in his place. I don't think running back Brian Westbrook will be able to carry his team to a miraculous victory. The Patriots have outscored opponents by a total of 254 points through their first 10 games, meaning the average margin of victory is 25.4. Maybe that 22-point spread isn't so ridiculous after all.
Who will win: New England (16)
Monday Night Game
Miami Dolphins (0-10, 0-5 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3, 5-0 at home)
Last Week: Miami lost to Philadelphia, 17-7; Pittsburgh lost to New York Jets, 19-16.
The tragic number is 6 for Miami. They have 6 more games until they become the 2nd team ever to go winless, joining the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. At least the Bucs were only 0-14 that season, and they were an expansion team, so they had that excuse going for them. What's Miami's going to be if they can't get a win? Time will tell if they can avoid that embarrassment. For the time being, 0-11 is a near certainty, as Pittsburgh is one of the top 5 teams in football. Plus, they lost to a woeful Jets team last week, and they won't make it consecutive losses to two lousy teams. The Steelers have home field advantage for a prime time game. That factor can't be overlooked either.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (15)
Buffalo Bills (5-5, 2-2 on the road) at Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo lost to New England, 56-10; Jacksonville beat San Diego, 24-17.
Buffalo just didn't get taken to the woodshed last Sunday night. They got taken there, beaten with a 2 x 4, kicked, defecated on, and left for dead. Other than that, they held their own. The Jaguars aren't in the Patriots class, but they are still a playoff-caliber team. The Bills will again be without rookie running back Marshawn Lynch. Do you trust Buffalo quarterback JP Losman on the road? Me either.
Who will win: Jacksonville (12)
Houston Texans (5-5, 2-3 on the road) at Cleveland Browns (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Houston beat New Orleans, 23-10; Cleveland beat Baltimore, 33-30.
Houston is still at least a year away from competing for a playoff spot, especially in the very competitive AFC South. They have a young and improving defense. The 2007 Texans are definitely not the laughingstock of the league, especially with star receiver Andre Johnson healthy again. The Browns have quite a collection of talent themselves, and are coming off a huge win in Baltimore. Without Houston running back Ahmad Green playing, Cleveland will be able to focus on stopping QB Matt Schaub and the passing game.
Who will win: Cleveland (7)
Oakland Raiders (2-8, 1-4 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-6, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Oakland lost to Minnesota, 29-22; Kansas City lost to Indianapolis, 13-10.
The Patriots fan in me wants Oakland to win a few more games, which will help get the San Francisco 49ers a higher draft pick. Instead of the 49ers getting that pick, it will go to the Patriots to complete a trade made in last April's NFL Draft. Anyway, this won't be a week where Oakland takes on another win. Mainly because they suck, and KC is also due for a home win.
Who will win: Kansas City (10)
Seattle Seahawks (6-4, 1-3 on the road) at St Louis Rams (2-8, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: Seattle beat Chicago, 30-23; St Louis beat San Francisco, 13-9.
After the last two weeks, Seattle looks like they have re-established themselves as the clear cut favorite in the NFC West. The Seahawks are not an elite team by any measure, but the rest of the division is weak. The Rams have saved face with back-to-back wins. At least they won't go winless. I just can't see St Louis winning 3 games in a row, and Seattle is clicking right now.
Who will win: Seattle (11)
Minnesota Vikings (4-6, 1-4 on the road) at New York Giants (7-3, 3-2 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota beat Oakland, 29-22; New York beat Detroit, 16-10.
Minnesota's rookie sensation - running back Adrian Peterson - may return to action this week. He's by far the Vikings' best offensive player. Even if he does play, his team will have their hands full. The Giants have one of the better run defenses in football, and they also know how to get after the opposing quarterback: they lead the NFL with 34 sacks. If the Giants can stop the run early and often, that will mean Tavaris Jackson - the proud owner of a dreadful 55.5 Quarterback rating - will have to carry Minnesota. New York also has the home field advantage.
Who will win: New York (9)
Washington Redskins (5-5, 2-3 on the road) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Washington lost to Dallas, 28-23; Tampa Bay beat Atlanta, 31-7.
The 'Skins have lost in consecutive weeks, both to division opponents. On the plus side, QB Jason Campbell has looked very good. Unfortunately, their defense has looked very vulnerable, especially against the pass. Those three sentences comprise the "reverse compliment sandwich". Anyway, I think Washington should be able to squeak this game out. If they can stop Tampa wide receiver Joey Galloway from making big plays, they should be just fine.
Who will win: Washington (1)
New Orleans Saints (4-6, 2-3 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-6, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: New Orleans lost to Houston, 23-10; Carolina lost to Green Bay, 31-17.
This a match up of two teams that have had roller coaster seasons. New Orleans lost their first 4 games, won their next 4, and now have lost the last two weeks. Carolina has yet to win a home game. I just think the Panthers have the better defense, and they're playing in Carolina, where they are way over-due for a win.
Who will win: Carolina (2)
Tennessee Titans (6-4, 3-2 on the road) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-7, 2-3 at home)
Last week: Tennessee lost to Denver, 34-20; Cincinnati lost to Arizona, 35-27.
Tennessee got shredded last week by the Broncos, both by Denver's passing and rushing attack. They face a more talented offense this week with the Bengals. Unfortunately for Cincinnati, they have not been able to protect QB Carson Palmer long enough for him to hit his play-making-wide receivers Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. With the potential return of Titans monster defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth, plus the stellar play of Kyle Vanden Bosch, this may not be the week Cincinnati has an explosion.
Who will win: Tennessee (5)
4 PM Games
San Francisco 49ers (2-8, 1-4 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (5-5, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco lost to St Louis, 13-9; Arizona beat Cincinnati, 35-27.
San Francisco has lost 8 straight games. What could possibly make someone think this is the week they snap that streak? I don't know either. The Cardinals are playing pretty well, and the division title is still within their grasp. If they want to capture the NFC West, they need to keep pace with Seattle by trouncing an awful opponent.
Who will win: Arizona (8)
Baltimore Ravens (4-6, 1-4 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (5-5, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Baltimore lost to Cleveland, 33-30; San Diego lost to Jacksonville, 24-17.
Baltimore just seems to be a ticking time bomb right now. Coach Brian Billick doesn't have the answers; the defense is a shell of its former self; and the team is one loss away from assuring themselves they won't make the playoffs. Plus, Baltimore has been putrid on the road. San Diego is at a crossroads. The Chiefs and Raiders have fallen off the map, so it's between San Diego and Denver for the AFC West title. This is a game the Chargers need to win more than the Ravens.
Who will win: San Diego (3)
Denver Broncos (5-5, 2-2 on the road) at Chicago Bears (4-6, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Denver beat Tennessee, 34-20; Chicago lost to Seattle, 30-23.
Broncos coach Mike Shanahan put together a great game plan last Monday night vs the Titans. It reiterated the fact that Denver is unbeatable if they build a double digit lead. A good running game will help take the load off of QB Jay Cutler, who looked masterful last week. The Bears have struggled stopping the run, as evidenced by them giving up 125 rushing yards per contest. Denver is in a battle for the division title, while the Bears are definitely the latest victim of a Super Bowl hangover.
Who will win: Denver (4)
Sunday Night Game
Philadelphia Eagles (5-5, 3-2 on the road) at New England Patriots (10-0, 4-0 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia beat Miami, 17-7; New England beat Buffalo, 56-10.
Philadelphia is playing their best football of the season, and they still aren't all that impressive. To make matters worse, QB Donovan McNabb will sit this one out, meaning A.J. Feeley will start in his place. I don't think running back Brian Westbrook will be able to carry his team to a miraculous victory. The Patriots have outscored opponents by a total of 254 points through their first 10 games, meaning the average margin of victory is 25.4. Maybe that 22-point spread isn't so ridiculous after all.
Who will win: New England (16)
Monday Night Game
Miami Dolphins (0-10, 0-5 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3, 5-0 at home)
Last Week: Miami lost to Philadelphia, 17-7; Pittsburgh lost to New York Jets, 19-16.
The tragic number is 6 for Miami. They have 6 more games until they become the 2nd team ever to go winless, joining the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. At least the Bucs were only 0-14 that season, and they were an expansion team, so they had that excuse going for them. What's Miami's going to be if they can't get a win? Time will tell if they can avoid that embarrassment. For the time being, 0-11 is a near certainty, as Pittsburgh is one of the top 5 teams in football. Plus, they lost to a woeful Jets team last week, and they won't make it consecutive losses to two lousy teams. The Steelers have home field advantage for a prime time game. That factor can't be overlooked either.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (15)
Thursday, November 22, 2007
Week 12 in the NFL (Thanksgiving Day Games)
Due to a S.N.A.F.U last week, I accidentally deleted my Week 11 blog post right before posting it. Oops. As fate would have it, I had a really solid performance, winning 12 of the 16 games, and getting 117 out of a possible 136 points. Think I'm lying? Lucky for you, I'll just copy and paste the results from my Yahoo! pick 'em league:
• JACKSONVILLE San Diego 8 Correct Jac 24, SD 17
• Cleveland BALTIMORE 7 Correct Cle 33, Bal 30
New York (NYG) • DETROIT 3 Incorrect NYG 16, Det 10
HOUSTON • New Orleans 4 Incorrect Hou 23, NO 10
• GREEN BAY Carolina 14 Correct GB 31, Car 17
• INDIANAPOLIS Kansas City 15 Correct Ind 13, KC 10
• MINNESOTA Oakland 6 Correct Min 29, Oak 22
• PHILADELPHIA Miami 13 Correct Phi 17, Mia 7
• Tampa Bay ATLANTA 9 Correct TB 31, Atl 7
• CINCINNATI Arizona 2 Incorrect Ari 35, Cin 27
• Pittsburgh NEW YORK (NYJ) 10 Incorrect NYJ 19, Pit 16
• DALLAS Washington 12 Correct Dal 28, Was 23
• St. Louis SAN FRANCISCO 1 Correct StL 13, SF 9
• SEATTLE Chicago 11 Correct Sea 30, Chi 23
• New England BUFFALO 16 Correct NE 56, Buf 10
• DENVER Tennessee 5 Correct Den 34, Ten 20
Not too bad, if I do say so myself. I wish I had proof of my picks for Weeks 1 and 2, but I do not. At least I can prove my picks from Weeks 3-11. The breakdown is as follows:
Weeks 1 - 11 : 884 points out of a possible 1,251 (70.7%)
Weeks 3 - 11 : 683 points out of a possible 979 (69.8%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 11: 98 wins, 61 losses (61.6%)
Weeks 3 - 11: 80 wins, 49 losses (62%)
Anyhow, here are my Thanksgiving Day picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 16 means I'm as sure as I can be. The remaining 13 games will be broken down in a few days. Happy Thanksgiving!
Green Bay Packers (9-1, 4-0 on the road) at Detroit Lions (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay beat Carolina, 31-17; Detroit lost to New York Giants, 16-10.
For the first half of the season, I would often walk away after watching a Packers game asking myself "How the F$%* did they pull that one out?". The Packers were always 1 or 2 plays away from losing. That's most of the games in the NFL, and the Packers have won almost all of them. Lately, however, Green Bay is blowing lesser opponents out. Detroit's major flaw - the inability to protect quarterback Jon Kitna - has been evident the past two Sundays. Kitna has been sacked 7 times, but has been pressured on dozens of drop backs. Offensive coordinator Mike Martz likes to attack defenses with a vertical passing game, and that requires the offensive line to hold their blocks a few seconds longer. Green Bay can pressure the passer, as evidenced by their 28 sacks this season. Detroit has lost 3 in a row on Thanksgiving: I'd look for this to be number 4.
Who will win: Green Bay (6)
New York Jets (2-8, 0-4 on the road) at Dallas Cowboys (9-1, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: New York beat Pittsburgh, 19-16; Dallas beat Washington, 28-23.
New York had the upset of the Week last Sunday, as they stunned everyone by beating the Steelers in overtime. I'm reminded of what Hall of Fame baseball player Jim 'Catfish' Hunter once said: "The sun don't shine on the same dog's ass all the time." That quote applies to the Jets here. There is no way they beat two top-5 teams in consecutive weeks. The NFC hasn't had truly elite teams in recent seasons. That's obviously changed this year, as Dallas and Green Bay are clearly title contenders. The Cowboys have 15 interceptions, good for second most in the league. They could force young Jets QB Kellen Clemens into some bad decisions. As long as Dallas avoids disastrous turnovers themselves, this game should be over by halftime.
Who will win: Dallas (14)
Indianapolis Colts (8-2, 4-1 on the road) at Atlanta Falcons (3-7, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis beat Kansas City, 13-10; Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay, 31-7.
The Colts gutted out a win last week. The seemingly impossible happened right before the eyes of Indianapolis fans: Peyton Manning and the offense was anemic, kicker Adam Vinatieri missed two field goals, and the Colts nearly lost to a team that had a 4-5 record entering the game. Did I mention the Colts were playing at home? This week should be easier, as the Falcons are one of the worst teams in football. If the turkey doesn't put you to sleep, this game will.
Who will win: Indianapolis (13)
• JACKSONVILLE San Diego 8 Correct Jac 24, SD 17
• Cleveland BALTIMORE 7 Correct Cle 33, Bal 30
New York (NYG) • DETROIT 3 Incorrect NYG 16, Det 10
HOUSTON • New Orleans 4 Incorrect Hou 23, NO 10
• GREEN BAY Carolina 14 Correct GB 31, Car 17
• INDIANAPOLIS Kansas City 15 Correct Ind 13, KC 10
• MINNESOTA Oakland 6 Correct Min 29, Oak 22
• PHILADELPHIA Miami 13 Correct Phi 17, Mia 7
• Tampa Bay ATLANTA 9 Correct TB 31, Atl 7
• CINCINNATI Arizona 2 Incorrect Ari 35, Cin 27
• Pittsburgh NEW YORK (NYJ) 10 Incorrect NYJ 19, Pit 16
• DALLAS Washington 12 Correct Dal 28, Was 23
• St. Louis SAN FRANCISCO 1 Correct StL 13, SF 9
• SEATTLE Chicago 11 Correct Sea 30, Chi 23
• New England BUFFALO 16 Correct NE 56, Buf 10
• DENVER Tennessee 5 Correct Den 34, Ten 20
Not too bad, if I do say so myself. I wish I had proof of my picks for Weeks 1 and 2, but I do not. At least I can prove my picks from Weeks 3-11. The breakdown is as follows:
Weeks 1 - 11 : 884 points out of a possible 1,251 (70.7%)
Weeks 3 - 11 : 683 points out of a possible 979 (69.8%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 11: 98 wins, 61 losses (61.6%)
Weeks 3 - 11: 80 wins, 49 losses (62%)
Anyhow, here are my Thanksgiving Day picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 16 means I'm as sure as I can be. The remaining 13 games will be broken down in a few days. Happy Thanksgiving!
Green Bay Packers (9-1, 4-0 on the road) at Detroit Lions (6-4, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: Green Bay beat Carolina, 31-17; Detroit lost to New York Giants, 16-10.
For the first half of the season, I would often walk away after watching a Packers game asking myself "How the F$%* did they pull that one out?". The Packers were always 1 or 2 plays away from losing. That's most of the games in the NFL, and the Packers have won almost all of them. Lately, however, Green Bay is blowing lesser opponents out. Detroit's major flaw - the inability to protect quarterback Jon Kitna - has been evident the past two Sundays. Kitna has been sacked 7 times, but has been pressured on dozens of drop backs. Offensive coordinator Mike Martz likes to attack defenses with a vertical passing game, and that requires the offensive line to hold their blocks a few seconds longer. Green Bay can pressure the passer, as evidenced by their 28 sacks this season. Detroit has lost 3 in a row on Thanksgiving: I'd look for this to be number 4.
Who will win: Green Bay (6)
New York Jets (2-8, 0-4 on the road) at Dallas Cowboys (9-1, 4-1 at home)
Last Week: New York beat Pittsburgh, 19-16; Dallas beat Washington, 28-23.
New York had the upset of the Week last Sunday, as they stunned everyone by beating the Steelers in overtime. I'm reminded of what Hall of Fame baseball player Jim 'Catfish' Hunter once said: "The sun don't shine on the same dog's ass all the time." That quote applies to the Jets here. There is no way they beat two top-5 teams in consecutive weeks. The NFC hasn't had truly elite teams in recent seasons. That's obviously changed this year, as Dallas and Green Bay are clearly title contenders. The Cowboys have 15 interceptions, good for second most in the league. They could force young Jets QB Kellen Clemens into some bad decisions. As long as Dallas avoids disastrous turnovers themselves, this game should be over by halftime.
Who will win: Dallas (14)
Indianapolis Colts (8-2, 4-1 on the road) at Atlanta Falcons (3-7, 2-3 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis beat Kansas City, 13-10; Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay, 31-7.
The Colts gutted out a win last week. The seemingly impossible happened right before the eyes of Indianapolis fans: Peyton Manning and the offense was anemic, kicker Adam Vinatieri missed two field goals, and the Colts nearly lost to a team that had a 4-5 record entering the game. Did I mention the Colts were playing at home? This week should be easier, as the Falcons are one of the worst teams in football. If the turkey doesn't put you to sleep, this game will.
Who will win: Indianapolis (13)
Wednesday, November 7, 2007
Week 10 in the NFL
Last week was so-so for me, as I went 9-5, accumulating 72 out of a possible 105 points. I wish I had proof of my picks for Weeks 1 and 2, but I do not. At least I can prove my picks from Weeks 3-9. The breakdown is as follows:
Weeks 1 - 9 : 717 points out of a possible 1,010 (71%)
Weeks 3 - 9 : 516 points out of a possible 738 (69.9%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 9: 80 wins, 49 losses (62%)
Weeks 3 - 9: 62 wins, 37 losses (62.6%)
Anyhow, here are my Week 10 picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 14 means I'm as sure as I can be.
1PM Games
Cleveland Browns (5-3, 1-2 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2, 4-0 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Seattle, 33-30; Pittsburgh beat Baltimore, 38 - 7.
They were supposed to be re-building this year, but no one told the Cleveland Browns. Here we are in Week 10, and the team is very much in the AFC playoff picture. With quarterback Derek Anderson, wide receiver Braylon Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow II all emerging at once, fans are excited in the Buckeye State. This week, however, the Browns could be running into a buzz saw. The Steelers have to be considered the third best team in football. Pittsburgh is giving up the fewest passing yards per game, while the Browns are allowing the most. I'd look for Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes to have big days, as the Steelers win a tight game.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (12)
Minnesota Vikings (3-5, 1-3 on the road) at Green Bay Packers (7-1, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota beat San Diego, 35-17; Green Bay beat Kansas City, 33-22.
Minnesota's rookie running back Adrian Peterson is setting the league on fire. He only showed mere flashes of his brilliance back at the University of Oklahoma, but he is carrying the Vikings offense right now. Unfortunately, Green Bay doesn't make it easy for opposing ball-carriers, as they yield only 93.8 rushing yards per contest. Brooks Bollinger or Tavaris Jackson - the two potential starting QB's for the Vikes - will need to make big plays in the passing game to take the load off Peterson. Despite their strong showing last week, Minnesota still allows the 2nd most passing yards per game. Brett Favre and his receivers could have a field day.
Who will win: Green Bay (11)
Philadelphia Eagles (3-5, 2-2 on the road) at Washington Redskins (5-3, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia lost to Dallas, 38-17; Washington beat New York Jets, 23-20.
Ex-Toronto Blue Jay Shea Hillenbrand once wrote the following on the clubhouse chalkboard: "This is a sinking ship". Some on the Eagles must be tempted right now to echo that statement. The Eagles have looked like shadows of their former selves, from QB Donovan McNabb to the underachieving defense, to coach Andy Reid. The Redskins could deliver a knockout punch to their fierce division rival this weekend. With the way Washington rebounded last week against the Jets, they may have enough swagger to do just that.
Who will win: Washington (10)
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3, 3-1 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (6-2, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville lost to New Orleans, 41-24; Tennessee beat Carolina, 20-7.
Last week, Jacksonville looked really bad for the first time all season. They still have a great running game, but have looked much more vulnerable stopping the run then in years past. The Titans are winning by pounding the ball, and playing smothering defense. Highly-touted QB Vince Young hasn't even played well yet, throwing 8 interceptions to just 3 touchdowns. Still, he's a tremendous leader. Tennessee ran all over Jacksonville in the season opener, and the same could happen this weekend. Plus, it's a home game for the Titans.
Who will win: Tennessee (7)
Atlanta Falcons (2-6, 0-4 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-4, 0-3 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta beat San Francisco, 20-16; Carolina lost to Tennessee, 20-7.
Atlanta QB Joey Harrington was the 3rd overall pick in the 2002 Draft. Carlonia's David Carr was the 1st overall pick that year. Harrington is with his third different team, Carr his second. Safe to say these two guys aren't going to be inducted in Canton anytime soon. It's just too bad Carr is out with an injury, otherwise this would be a painful reminder for Lions and Texans fans of front office blunders. The Falcons are playing out the string and preparing for 2008, while the Panthers could still win the NFC South. Carolina will need to clean up it's act quickly, and it must start this week.
Who will win: Carolina (6)
Denver Broncos (3-5, 1-2 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Detroit, 44-7; Kansas City lost to Green Bay, 33-22.
Denver's season is spiraling out of control. The defense - traditionally one of the best in football - has been putrid this season, allowing the most rushing yards in the NFL, while giving up 28 points per contest. Kansas City isn't head and shoulders above Denver, and will be without workhorse running back Larry Johnson. Still, KC running back Priest Holmes will be playing like it's 2003. You heard it here first ... or maybe you heard it somewhere else. Either way, the Chiefs should take this one.
Last Week: Kansas City (9)
Buffalo Bills (4-4, 1-2 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-8, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo beat Cincinnati, 33-21; Miami had the bye week.
While there's a humongous gap between the two teams, the Bills are the undisputed second best team in the AFC East after the Patriots. If not for Adrian Peterson, Bills rookie running back Marshawn Lynch would be receiving a ton of accolades for his performance. He has carried the load offensively, and wide receiver Lee Evans decided to produce all of a sudden. The football Gods do not look favorably upon jealousy. When retired Dolphins coach Don Shula said that the 2007 Patriots should have an asterisk next to any accomplishment, he made people hate the 1972 Miami team even more - if such a thing is possible. I'm thinking the average fan wouldn't mind seeing the 2007 squad go winless.
Who will win: Buffalo (8)
St Louis Rams (0-8, 0-4 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (4-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: St Louis had the bye week; New Orleans beat Jacksonville, 41-24.
If not for the Dolphins, the Rams would be the worst team in the NFL. It seems like just yesterday that they had the most powerful offense in football. Now, they can only muster 12.4 points per game, the lowest total in the NFL. I don't think this is the week they get in the win column, as the Saints are one of the hottest teams in the league. Left for dead after an 0-4 start, New Orleans has had a resurgence, and is thinking about the division title again. I'd look for QB Drew Brees to have a big day.
Who will win: New Orleans (14)
4PM Games
Cincinnati Bengals (2-6, 0-4 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-4, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati lost to Buffalo, 33-21; Baltimore lost to Pittsburgh, 38-7.
The Bengals may have bottomed out last week when they blew a lead in the 4th quarter vs the Bills. The Bengals can't stop anyone on defense, and their offense is not nearly good enough to carry the team. Speaking of hitting rock bottom, the Ravens may have done just that last week on Monday Night Football, when they were creamed by Pittsburgh. Cincinnati is looking to save face, while Baltimore is looking to crawl it's way back into the playoff picture. While I think they're overrated, I have to go with Baltimore because there is still a solid core of veteran leaderships, and they're playing at home.
Who will win: Baltimore (5)
Chicago Bears (3-5, 2-2 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (2-6, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Chicago had the bye week; Oakland lost to Houston, 24-17.
Chicago is the latest victim of a Super Bowl hangover. The team just hasn't looked right all season. Brian Griese is not the permanent answer at quarterback, and hasn't been any better than Rex Grossman was. The duo has combined for 16 interceptions this year, the most out of any NFL team. Granted, the NFC is wide open, but the Bears can really only afford to lose a maximum of 2 games the rest of the year if they want to make the postseason. On the bright side, the defense has recorded 25 sacks, good for second most in the NFL. If they can pressure Raiders QB Daunte Culpepper, the secondary could make a few big plays.
Who will win: Chicago (4)
Dallas Cowboys (7-1, 4-0 on the road) at New York Giants (6-2, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Dallas beat Philadelphia, 38-17; New York had the bye week.
Dallas needs to win this game to keep pace with Green Bay in the race for home field advantage in the NFC playoffs. The Cowboys have arguably the best offense and defense in the NFC. This week won't be easy, however, as the Giants are on a six-game winning streak. Cowboys QB Tony Romo can get happy feet in the pocket when he's pressured, and the Giants have 30 sacks, the most in football. The home field advantage could be the difference in this game.
Who will win: New York (1)
Detroit Lions (6-2, 2-2 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Detroit beat Denver, 44-7; Arizona lost to Tampa Bay, 17-10.
Detroit is having their best season in over a decade. The defense - thought to be the Achilles heel of the team - is playing very well over the past month. However, opposing offenses have been able to move the ball through the air on the Lions. If the offensive line can give Cards QB Kurt Warner ample time, he could hit star receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. Detroit has to slip up a few more times this season - why not this week?
Who will win: Arizona (2)
Sunday Night Game
Indianapolis Colts (7-1, 4-0 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis lost to New England, 24-20; San Diego lost to Minnesota, 35-17.
The Colts had the Patriots on the ropes last week, but couldn't deliver the knockout punch. This week, Peyton Manning and the Colts offense faces another team that has given them problems over the years. The Chargers defense made headlines last week for all the wrong reasons, as they allowed Minnesota's Adrian Peterson to rack up 296 rushing yards, an NFL record. You can't expect the Chargers to play that poorly two weeks in a row, but Colts running back Joseph Addai is a brilliant runner in his own right. Home field or not, I just can't see the Colts losing two in a row.
Who will win: Indianapolis (3)
Monday Night Football
San Francisco 49ers (2-6, 1-3 on the road) at Seattle Seahawks (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco lost to Atlanta, 20-16; Seattle lost to Cleveland, 33-30.
The 49ers are destined for a top 5 pick in the 2008 NFL Draft, which is music to the ears of New England Patriots fans. Instead of getting a franchise player, San Fran will watch the rich get richer, as the Patriots own that selection. In the meantime, the 49ers can drop the pick of a few slots by winning some games. I just wouldn't expect it to be this week. Seattle is hanging on for dear life in the NFC West, the worst division in football. The Seahawks are very tough to beat at home, especially for the 49ers, and especially on Monday Night Football.
Who will win: Seattle (13)
Weeks 1 - 9 : 717 points out of a possible 1,010 (71%)
Weeks 3 - 9 : 516 points out of a possible 738 (69.9%)
Wins and losses are as follows:
Weeks 1 - 9: 80 wins, 49 losses (62%)
Weeks 3 - 9: 62 wins, 37 losses (62.6%)
Anyhow, here are my Week 10 picks. As always, 'confidence points' are in parentheses. 1 point means I'm not so sure; 14 means I'm as sure as I can be.
1PM Games
Cleveland Browns (5-3, 1-2 on the road) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2, 4-0 at home)
Last Week: Cleveland beat Seattle, 33-30; Pittsburgh beat Baltimore, 38 - 7.
They were supposed to be re-building this year, but no one told the Cleveland Browns. Here we are in Week 10, and the team is very much in the AFC playoff picture. With quarterback Derek Anderson, wide receiver Braylon Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow II all emerging at once, fans are excited in the Buckeye State. This week, however, the Browns could be running into a buzz saw. The Steelers have to be considered the third best team in football. Pittsburgh is giving up the fewest passing yards per game, while the Browns are allowing the most. I'd look for Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes to have big days, as the Steelers win a tight game.
Who will win: Pittsburgh (12)
Minnesota Vikings (3-5, 1-3 on the road) at Green Bay Packers (7-1, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Minnesota beat San Diego, 35-17; Green Bay beat Kansas City, 33-22.
Minnesota's rookie running back Adrian Peterson is setting the league on fire. He only showed mere flashes of his brilliance back at the University of Oklahoma, but he is carrying the Vikings offense right now. Unfortunately, Green Bay doesn't make it easy for opposing ball-carriers, as they yield only 93.8 rushing yards per contest. Brooks Bollinger or Tavaris Jackson - the two potential starting QB's for the Vikes - will need to make big plays in the passing game to take the load off Peterson. Despite their strong showing last week, Minnesota still allows the 2nd most passing yards per game. Brett Favre and his receivers could have a field day.
Who will win: Green Bay (11)
Philadelphia Eagles (3-5, 2-2 on the road) at Washington Redskins (5-3, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Philadelphia lost to Dallas, 38-17; Washington beat New York Jets, 23-20.
Ex-Toronto Blue Jay Shea Hillenbrand once wrote the following on the clubhouse chalkboard: "This is a sinking ship". Some on the Eagles must be tempted right now to echo that statement. The Eagles have looked like shadows of their former selves, from QB Donovan McNabb to the underachieving defense, to coach Andy Reid. The Redskins could deliver a knockout punch to their fierce division rival this weekend. With the way Washington rebounded last week against the Jets, they may have enough swagger to do just that.
Who will win: Washington (10)
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3, 3-1 on the road) at Tennessee Titans (6-2, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Jacksonville lost to New Orleans, 41-24; Tennessee beat Carolina, 20-7.
Last week, Jacksonville looked really bad for the first time all season. They still have a great running game, but have looked much more vulnerable stopping the run then in years past. The Titans are winning by pounding the ball, and playing smothering defense. Highly-touted QB Vince Young hasn't even played well yet, throwing 8 interceptions to just 3 touchdowns. Still, he's a tremendous leader. Tennessee ran all over Jacksonville in the season opener, and the same could happen this weekend. Plus, it's a home game for the Titans.
Who will win: Tennessee (7)
Atlanta Falcons (2-6, 0-4 on the road) at Carolina Panthers (4-4, 0-3 at home)
Last Week: Atlanta beat San Francisco, 20-16; Carolina lost to Tennessee, 20-7.
Atlanta QB Joey Harrington was the 3rd overall pick in the 2002 Draft. Carlonia's David Carr was the 1st overall pick that year. Harrington is with his third different team, Carr his second. Safe to say these two guys aren't going to be inducted in Canton anytime soon. It's just too bad Carr is out with an injury, otherwise this would be a painful reminder for Lions and Texans fans of front office blunders. The Falcons are playing out the string and preparing for 2008, while the Panthers could still win the NFC South. Carolina will need to clean up it's act quickly, and it must start this week.
Who will win: Carolina (6)
Denver Broncos (3-5, 1-2 on the road) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: Denver lost to Detroit, 44-7; Kansas City lost to Green Bay, 33-22.
Denver's season is spiraling out of control. The defense - traditionally one of the best in football - has been putrid this season, allowing the most rushing yards in the NFL, while giving up 28 points per contest. Kansas City isn't head and shoulders above Denver, and will be without workhorse running back Larry Johnson. Still, KC running back Priest Holmes will be playing like it's 2003. You heard it here first ... or maybe you heard it somewhere else. Either way, the Chiefs should take this one.
Last Week: Kansas City (9)
Buffalo Bills (4-4, 1-2 on the road) at Miami Dolphins (0-8, 0-4 at home)
Last Week: Buffalo beat Cincinnati, 33-21; Miami had the bye week.
While there's a humongous gap between the two teams, the Bills are the undisputed second best team in the AFC East after the Patriots. If not for Adrian Peterson, Bills rookie running back Marshawn Lynch would be receiving a ton of accolades for his performance. He has carried the load offensively, and wide receiver Lee Evans decided to produce all of a sudden. The football Gods do not look favorably upon jealousy. When retired Dolphins coach Don Shula said that the 2007 Patriots should have an asterisk next to any accomplishment, he made people hate the 1972 Miami team even more - if such a thing is possible. I'm thinking the average fan wouldn't mind seeing the 2007 squad go winless.
Who will win: Buffalo (8)
St Louis Rams (0-8, 0-4 on the road) at New Orleans Saints (4-4, 2-2 at home)
Last Week: St Louis had the bye week; New Orleans beat Jacksonville, 41-24.
If not for the Dolphins, the Rams would be the worst team in the NFL. It seems like just yesterday that they had the most powerful offense in football. Now, they can only muster 12.4 points per game, the lowest total in the NFL. I don't think this is the week they get in the win column, as the Saints are one of the hottest teams in the league. Left for dead after an 0-4 start, New Orleans has had a resurgence, and is thinking about the division title again. I'd look for QB Drew Brees to have a big day.
Who will win: New Orleans (14)
4PM Games
Cincinnati Bengals (2-6, 0-4 on the road) at Baltimore Ravens (4-4, 3-0 at home)
Last Week: Cincinnati lost to Buffalo, 33-21; Baltimore lost to Pittsburgh, 38-7.
The Bengals may have bottomed out last week when they blew a lead in the 4th quarter vs the Bills. The Bengals can't stop anyone on defense, and their offense is not nearly good enough to carry the team. Speaking of hitting rock bottom, the Ravens may have done just that last week on Monday Night Football, when they were creamed by Pittsburgh. Cincinnati is looking to save face, while Baltimore is looking to crawl it's way back into the playoff picture. While I think they're overrated, I have to go with Baltimore because there is still a solid core of veteran leaderships, and they're playing at home.
Who will win: Baltimore (5)
Chicago Bears (3-5, 2-2 on the road) at Oakland Raiders (2-6, 1-3 at home)
Last Week: Chicago had the bye week; Oakland lost to Houston, 24-17.
Chicago is the latest victim of a Super Bowl hangover. The team just hasn't looked right all season. Brian Griese is not the permanent answer at quarterback, and hasn't been any better than Rex Grossman was. The duo has combined for 16 interceptions this year, the most out of any NFL team. Granted, the NFC is wide open, but the Bears can really only afford to lose a maximum of 2 games the rest of the year if they want to make the postseason. On the bright side, the defense has recorded 25 sacks, good for second most in the NFL. If they can pressure Raiders QB Daunte Culpepper, the secondary could make a few big plays.
Who will win: Chicago (4)
Dallas Cowboys (7-1, 4-0 on the road) at New York Giants (6-2, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Dallas beat Philadelphia, 38-17; New York had the bye week.
Dallas needs to win this game to keep pace with Green Bay in the race for home field advantage in the NFC playoffs. The Cowboys have arguably the best offense and defense in the NFC. This week won't be easy, however, as the Giants are on a six-game winning streak. Cowboys QB Tony Romo can get happy feet in the pocket when he's pressured, and the Giants have 30 sacks, the most in football. The home field advantage could be the difference in this game.
Who will win: New York (1)
Detroit Lions (6-2, 2-2 on the road) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5, 2-1 at home)
Last Week: Detroit beat Denver, 44-7; Arizona lost to Tampa Bay, 17-10.
Detroit is having their best season in over a decade. The defense - thought to be the Achilles heel of the team - is playing very well over the past month. However, opposing offenses have been able to move the ball through the air on the Lions. If the offensive line can give Cards QB Kurt Warner ample time, he could hit star receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. Detroit has to slip up a few more times this season - why not this week?
Who will win: Arizona (2)
Sunday Night Game
Indianapolis Colts (7-1, 4-0 on the road) at San Diego Chargers (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: Indianapolis lost to New England, 24-20; San Diego lost to Minnesota, 35-17.
The Colts had the Patriots on the ropes last week, but couldn't deliver the knockout punch. This week, Peyton Manning and the Colts offense faces another team that has given them problems over the years. The Chargers defense made headlines last week for all the wrong reasons, as they allowed Minnesota's Adrian Peterson to rack up 296 rushing yards, an NFL record. You can't expect the Chargers to play that poorly two weeks in a row, but Colts running back Joseph Addai is a brilliant runner in his own right. Home field or not, I just can't see the Colts losing two in a row.
Who will win: Indianapolis (3)
Monday Night Football
San Francisco 49ers (2-6, 1-3 on the road) at Seattle Seahawks (4-4, 3-1 at home)
Last Week: San Francisco lost to Atlanta, 20-16; Seattle lost to Cleveland, 33-30.
The 49ers are destined for a top 5 pick in the 2008 NFL Draft, which is music to the ears of New England Patriots fans. Instead of getting a franchise player, San Fran will watch the rich get richer, as the Patriots own that selection. In the meantime, the 49ers can drop the pick of a few slots by winning some games. I just wouldn't expect it to be this week. Seattle is hanging on for dear life in the NFC West, the worst division in football. The Seahawks are very tough to beat at home, especially for the 49ers, and especially on Monday Night Football.
Who will win: Seattle (13)
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